Jack Foley
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 90 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.85). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (37 rides).
The record is strongest at Tramore (13.3%, n=30), clear of the rider's 6.6% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18.9% (n=37, Fair A/E 1.57), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2% (n=49, Fair A/E 0.44). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.60 and −180.85 to a £1 stake over 248 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. W P Mullins supplies 16% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.2%, A/E 0.60). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 1.9% over 54 rides, 4.7pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the EMS Copiers Novice Handicap Chase at Punchestown (Apr 2022, £59,000).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2015→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 755 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 755 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 September 2015 to 30 November 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Jack Foley's strike rate?
- Jack Foley has won 29 of 442 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jack Foley do best at?
- Tramore by strike rate: 4 wins from 30 rides (13.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Jack Foley ride most for?
- W P Mullins, with 69 rides since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (7.2%).
- What is Jack Foley's Fair A/E?
- 0.85, from 442 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.