Hugh Morgan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 40 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.00).
Eoin Doyle supplies 25% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10% vs 5.1%, A/E 2.19) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Good going (10.2%, n=49) and off a 15-30-day break (8.8%, n=57). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Ryans Cleaning Handicap Chase at Punchestown (Nov 2021, £23,600).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2016→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 863 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 863 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 May 2016 to 8 June 2025.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Hugh Morgan's strike rate?
- Hugh Morgan has won 10 of 198 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which yard does Hugh Morgan ride most for?
- Eoin Doyle, with 50 rides since 2022 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (10%).
- What is Hugh Morgan's Fair A/E?
- 1.00, from 198 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.