What is Sean O'Keeffe's strike rate?

Sean O'Keeffe has won 132 of 1,846 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Sean O'Keeffe do best at?

Wexford by strike rate: 17 wins from 126 rides (13.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Sean O'Keeffe ride most for?

W P Mullins, with 302 rides since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (9.9%).

Is Sean O'Keeffe in form?

In the last 14 days: 15 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 20%. That is above the baseline of 7.2% since 2022.

What is Sean O'Keeffe's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 1,846 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Sean O'Keeffe

1,846 rides in the last 5 seasons · 865 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

In form — 3 winners last 14 days Won yesterday Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2022

132–1,846

Wins / Runs

7.2%

Strike rate

n=1,846

403 (22%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=1,846 · 0.83 incl. margin

−578.75

£1 level stake

n=1,846 at SP · −31.4%

£3.12m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.2%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 370 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (146 rides). The rider is in form now — 3 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,846 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Jan 36.3% when favourite W P Mullins: 9.9% from 302 LTO winners: 12.3% Rides the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wexford (13.5%, n=126) and Limerick (12.7%, n=110) — all clear of the rider's 7.2% baseline. It is weakest at Ballinrobe (0% over 58 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.3% (n=146, Fair A/E 0.96). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 5.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −234.47 to a £1 stake over 452 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the rider is firing: 3 winners from 15 rides in the last 14 days (20%, 12.8pts above the 7.2% baseline). W P Mullins supplies 16% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9.9% vs 7.2%, A/E 0.89). 36 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Brown Advisory Novices' Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2025, £112,760). The standout partner of the record: Feet Of A Dancer (FR) — 5 wins from 15 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Nov–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.4%−0.8

n=761 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −283.25

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.3%+5.1

n=146 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −28.01

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.3%−1.9

n=452 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −234.47

When favourite

36.3%

n=91 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −3.22

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

0%−7.2

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.3%−1.9

n=981 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −308.20

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.7%+0.5

n=287 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −95.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Paul Nolan 13.9% vs 7.2% · n=266

With C&D winners 14.4% vs 7.2% · n=97

At Wexford 13.5% vs 7.2% · n=126

At Ballinrobe 0% vs 7.2% · n=58

At Downpatrick 0% vs 7.2% · n=38

At Limerick 12.7% vs 7.2% · n=110

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,289 92 7.1% −391.60

Chase 550 40 7.3% −180.15

Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 746 58 7.8% −148.22

Good 394 20 5.1% −194.97

Good to Soft 377 26 6.9% −107.10

Heavy 324 27 8.3% −128.96

Good to Firm 4 1 25% +1.50

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 193 10 5.2% −105.74

Fairyhouse 172 13 7.6% −56.86

Wexford 126 17 13.5% +66.57

Limerick 110 14 12.7% −25.92

Clonmel 103 5 4.9% −56.75

Naas 97 8 8.2% −31.17

Cork 95 10 10.5% −16.67

Thurles 89 7 7.9% +16.83

Tramore 85 3 3.5% −62.80

Leopardstown 68 2 2.9% −48.00

Navan 66 4 6.1% −25.25

Galway 65 4 6.2% −2.00

Gowran Park 64 3 4.7% −47.09

Killarney 64 4 6.3% −27.40

Tipperary 63 5 7.9% −27.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 311 23 7.4% −90.00

Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 105 38 36.2% 1.19 −1.97

2nd–3rd fav 258 27 10.5% 0.68 −123.78

4th–6th fav 468 40 8.5% 1.22 −23.00

7th+ in betting 1,015 27 2.7% 1.06 −430.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84% completed · 1,839 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 550 77.8% 20 18 80 3 1

Hurdle 1,289 86.6% 29 10 126 3 5

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sandor Clegane (IRE) 18 2 6 4 Nov 26

Battle Of Mirbat (IRE) 16 1 6 21 May 26

King In Love (FR) 15 2 4 25 Oct 26

Feet Of A Dancer (FR) 15 5 9 12 Mar 26

Only A Dollar (IRE) 14 1 2 22 Jul 26

Sonny May (IRE) 14 2 3 14 May 26

Conyers Hill (IRE) 14 3 8 15 Nov 25

Happy Dreams (FR) 13 3 6 14 Feb 26

Western Model (IRE) 11 2 4 6 Jul 26

Patty O'farrell (IRE) 11 1 3 18 Apr 26

O'moore Park (IRE) 11 0 2 10 Apr 26

An Peann Dearg (IRE) 10 3 3 4 Nov 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 865 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

3 from 15 20% · +12.8pts vs baseline

Last 14 days20%

5-season base7.2%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

106103810755699

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardW P Mullins

16% of all rides
9.9% SR · A/E 0.89

TrainerRWSR£1

W P Mullins 302 30 9.9% −127.74

Paul Nolan 266 37 13.9% +66.82

Sean Aherne 135 9 6.7% +2.00

Michael J McDonagh 90 6 6.7% −54.29

Mrs John Harrington 89 4 4.5% −47.50

John Patrick Ryan 86 5 5.8% −31.50

Peter Maher 71 1 1.4% −60.00

Liz Doyle 46 2 4.3% +3.00

Shane Crawley 36 4 11.1% +2.33

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

240

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.05m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 42 wins

Lecky Watson (IRE) — Brown Advisory Novices' Chase (Grade 1) (Registered As The Broadway Novices' Chase) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2025 · Grade 1

£112,760

The Nice Guy (IRE) — Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Registered As The Spa Novices' Hurdle) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2022 · Grade 1

£78,680

Flame Bearer (IRE) — WilllowWarm Gold Cup Novice Chase (Grade 1) Fairyhouse · Apr 2023 · Grade 1

£59,000

Notable horses

Feet Of A Dancer (FR) Conyers Hill (IRE) Happy Dreams (FR) Capture The Action (IRE) Black Samurai (GB) An Peann Dearg (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Walk In The Park (IRE) 10.6% · 7–66

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,030 runs since 2011 (704 horses).

Fame And Glory (GB) 11.7% · 7–60

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,212 runs since 2016 (504 horses).

Shirocco (GER) 10% · 5–50

Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,183 runs since 2010 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Ocovango (GB) 6.4% · 3–47

Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,010 runs since 2019 (307 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 196.

Getaway (GER) 6.7% · 3–45

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,985 runs since 2016 (1,030 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Mahler (GB) 11.9% · 5–42

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,877 runs since 2014 (787 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,264 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,264 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 August 2017 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) The Big Clubman (IRE)T: Paul Nolan racingtv.com/freetrial Beginners Chase15.5f · Yielding · 9 ran 1st 11/8F

04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Sandor Clegane (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Michael Hickey Memorial Chase (listed)23f · Yielding · 4 ran 3rd 9/1

04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Mcallister (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Start Your Free Trial On Racing Tv Now Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 9th 2/1F

04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) An Peann Dearg (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Botanica International Rated Novice Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 8 ran 1st 18/1

04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) East Wall (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Racing Tv Free Trial For A Month Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 4th 10/1

03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Sageborough (FR)T: Paul Nolan Group Discounts For Winter Festival General Admission Rated Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 5 ran 2nd 100/30

03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Look Sport (FR)T: Paul Nolan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Steeplechase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 1st 40/1

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Maxicourt (IRE)T: Patrick J Duffy Ballymaloe Foods Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 21 ran 15th 20/1

31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Rightly Snookered (IRE)T: Shane Crawley Lough Construction Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 12th 125/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Louve D'irlande (FR)T: Paul Nolan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Hurdle20.5f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 6/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Well Friend (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 14/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Toll Road (FR)T: Paul Nolan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Academy Hurdle18f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 15/2

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) The Great Nudie (IRE)T: Colin Bowe Jim And Kay Whitty Memorial Handicap Steeplechase19.5f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 9/2

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) King In Love (FR)T: Sean Aherne William Hill Challenge Series Irish EBF Beginners Steeplechase19.5f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 33/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Casheldale Lass (IRE)T: Andrew Kinirons Sligo Fillies Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 11th 11/1

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Stily (FR)T: Michael J McDonagh Clonmel Oil Chase Day November 5th Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 11/2

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Market Ready (IRE)T: Sean Aherne Mahon Falls Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 3rd 11/2

23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Del Boys Diva (IRE)T: Shane Crawley Park Run At Wexford Saturday Mornings Handicap Hurdle (Div II)16.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 100/30F

23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Trixaboutmaisie (IRE)T: Colin Bowe Cottage Autism Network Handicap Hurdle (Div II)24f · Good · 14 ran 11th 13/2

23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Ersudaly (GB)T: Colin Bowe Cottage Autism Network Handicap Hurdle (Div I)24f · Good · 13 ran 8th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 4 Nov 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 1) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Sean O'Keeffe's strike rate?: Sean O'Keeffe has won 132 of 1,846 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sean O'Keeffe do best at?: Wexford by strike rate: 17 wins from 126 rides (13.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Sean O'Keeffe ride most for?: W P Mullins, with 302 rides since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (9.9%).
Is Sean O'Keeffe in form?: In the last 14 days: 15 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 20%. That is above the baseline of 7.2% since 2022.
What is Sean O'Keeffe's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 1,846 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.