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Horse profile

Tropical Storm (GB)

4yo gelding · Trainer Andrew Balding · Owner Teme Valley Racing
by Eqtidaar (IRE) out of Avon Breeze (GB) (Avonbridge)
16 runs · 8 courses · from Apr 2024
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
2 wins · York Last run 5 Jul 2026 · 5th of 9 Last raced off OR 91
KTB Profile

Tropical Storm is a gelding who won two of 16 starts including the British Stallion Studs EBF Westow Stakes and the Listed Julia Graves Roses Stakes both at York on good to firm ground over under 6f. All wins came at Class 1. He has two Listed wins in our archive. Typically held up he finished fifth of nine at Southwell on the AW in Jul 2026 when last seen off a mark of 91 which was 12lb below his highest ever mark.

Based on 16 archived runs · run-style from 13 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 25 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Typically prominent All wins at Class 1 OR ↓ 12lb off peak
Official rating91↓ 12lb off peak
91 91–103

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 121 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Goodwood, 1 May 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 16 figures · best 121A · median 87.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
Good7121A832 runs · 121 / 100.5
Good to Firm6104A90—
Standard (AW)1——1 run · —
Soft1——1 run · —
Good to Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
Under 6f13121A863 runs · 121 / 111
6f – 7f3104A911 run · —

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 16 figures from 16 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 99A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Goodwood, 1 May 2026 Official rating 91 at the last run, 5 Jul 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 16 figures · best 112A · median 90
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
Good7112A922 runs · 99 / 92.5
Good to Firm6111A88.5—
Standard (AW)1——1 run · —
Soft1——1 run · —
Good to Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
Under 6f13112A933 runs · 99 / 98
6f – 7f386A841 run · —

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 16 figures from 16 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 13 analysed runs since Aug 2024

  • Prominent 8 (62%) · 2 wins
  • Held up 4 (31%) · 0 wins
  • Mid-division 1 (8%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Eqtidaar (IRE)

Progeny in our archive have won 8% of 436 runs since Jan 2008 (49 horses).

Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 14.5% from 117. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.7% from 232.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm100%−8—
Good to Firm55610.9%+2.92 from 6
Good6822.9%−5.10 from 7
Good to Soft3937.7%−0.30 from 1
Soft4436.8%−1.20 from 1
Heavy7114.3%+6.3—
Standard (AW)222209%+10 from 1
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f59610.2%+2.22 from 13
6f – 7f232114.7%−3.30 from 3
1m – 1m1f1171714.5%+6.5—
1m2f – 1m4f2514%−4—
1m5f – 2m200%−8—
2m1f – 2m4f100%−8—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 25 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Avon Breeze (GB) (Avonbridge)

3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Liberty Breeze (GB) (3 wins).

The wins came over 5f–7f; the highest grade won is Listed (Purosangue (GB)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Liberty Breeze (GB)3137fClass 6
Purosangue (GB)2825f–6fListed
Red Savitar (GB)70——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good 7 0 0% −7.00
Good to Firm 6 2 33% +2.50
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 1 7 2 29% +1.50
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
York 4 2 50% +4.50
Ascot 3 0 0% −3.00
Goodwood 2 0 0% −2.00
Doncaster 2 0 0% −2.00
Newmarket 2 0 0% −2.00
Southwell (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Musselburgh 1 0 0% −1.00
Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
Under 6f 13 2 15% −4.50
6f – 7f 3 0 0% −3.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Oisin Murphy 11 2 18% −2.50
Rob Hornby 3 0 0% −3.00
Colin Keane 1 0 0% −1.00
David Probert 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 14 2 14% −5.50
Visor 2 0 0% −2.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 4 0 0% −4.00
2025 6 1 17% −1.00
2024 6 1 17% −2.50

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 4 runs
05 Jul 26+53d Southwell (AW) Download The At The Races App Handicap Class 3 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran Held up on the near rail early - tracking the front bunch - in the pack as rivals converged 2f out - lost ground a furlong out - stayed on late without threatening for the win 5/9 2 9-6 91111A88A Rob Hornby 15/2
13 May 26+12d York Churchill Tyres Handicap Class 2 · 6f · Good · 22 ran Held up handy in the pack early - pushed along with 2f left - dropped away soon after - finished well held in 12th 12/22 2 9-2 9380C86A Rob Hornby 22/1
01 May 26+27d Goodwood Fitzdares Official Partner Of Season Opener Handicap Class 2 · 5f · Good · 11 ran Settled just behind the pace - pushed along and closed a furlong out before moving into third inside the final furlong 3/11 1¾ 9-0 95121A99A Rob Hornby 11/2
04 Apr 26+203d Musselburgh Virgin Bet Scottish Sprint Cup Handicap Class 2 · 5f · Soft · 14 ran Held up towards the back and lost touch early - nudged into contention approaching final furlong - dropped away close home to finish 8th beaten 4 lengths 8/14 nk 9-4 9780C98A Oisin Murphy 7/1
2025 · 6 runs
13 Sep 25+21d Doncaster Betfred Portland (Heritage Handicap) Class 2 · 5.5f · Good · 21 ran Settled towards the back on the far flank - squeezed for space inside the final two furlongs - found some late response a furlong out but never a threat to the front - finished ninth beaten 3.75L 9/21 shd 9-5 9979C98A Oisin Murphy 22/1
23 Aug 25+28d York Sky Bet Constantine Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Class 2 · 6f · Good To Firm · 20 ran Held up in the pack - squeezed for space with a furlong left - unable to threaten leaders late - finished well held in 14th 14/20 1¼ 9-7 10191C84A Oisin Murphy 28/1
26 Jul 25+39d Ascot Whispering Angel Handicap Class 2 · 5f · Good · 14 ran Drifted right at the off - raced handily early - dropped away 1f out - well held in 14th 14/14 32 9-9 1018C57C Oisin Murphy 7/1
17 Jun 25+33d Ascot King Charles III Stakes (Group 1) Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 20 ran Held up near the back - drifted wide after 2f - lost touch and driven approaching the final furlong - responded late to close gap to the line 17th 17/20 ½ 9-1 10283C78A Colin Keane 50/1
15 May 25+12d York British Stallion Studs EBF Westow Stakes (Listed) Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran Settled just behind the pace on the wide flank - moved into second approaching the final 2f - fought on gamely inside the closing furlong to get up in the last strides 1/7 9-4 103101A93A Oisin Murphy 4/1
03 May 25+232d Newmarket Hong Kong Jockey Club World Pool Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Class 1 · 5f · Good · 11 ran Held up towards the back - crept closer in the closing stages - unable to challenge - finished sixth 6/11 hd 9-0 10390A82A Oisin Murphy 5/1
2024 · 6 runs
13 Sep 24+20d Doncaster Carlsberg Danish Pilsner Flying Childers Stakes (Group 2) Class 1 · 5f · Good · 10 ran Sat close to the front pair - asked for effort with a furlong left - kept on to finish fourth beaten under three lengths 4/10 1¼ 9-3 10390A92A Oisin Murphy 13/2
24 Aug 24+23d York Julia Graves Roses Stakes (Listed) Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 16 ran Moved smoothly into a forward spot - hit the front two out and asked for effort - opened a two-length gap entering the last furlong - edge narrowed near the line - just lasted for the win 1/16 9-2 10189C111A Oisin Murphy 5/2F
01 Aug 24+42d Goodwood Markel Richmond Stakes (Group 2) Class 1 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran Sat behind pace early - moved to front 4f out - pressed and gave up advantage entering final furlong - drifted left under pressure and faded to finish 8th 8/9 ¾ 9-2 101104A79A Oisin Murphy 9/2
20 Jun 24+46d Ascot Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 2/13 1 9-3 —86C102A Oisin Murphy 11/1
05 May 24+16d Newmarket Tattersalls 40,000 EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 2 · 5f · Good · 7 ran 2/7 nk 9-7 —83A112A Oisin Murphy 6/1
19 Apr 24 Newbury Dubai Duty Free Golf World Cup EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5/8 hd 9-7 —65A84A David Probert 17/2

Quick answers

How many races has Tropical Storm won?
Tropical Storm (GB) won 2 of 16 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 12.5%. Placed 5 times in total (31.3% of starts).
Who trains Tropical Storm?
Tropical Storm (GB) is trained by Andrew Balding, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 5 July 2026.
Who is Tropical Storm's sire?
Tropical Storm (GB) is by Eqtidaar (IRE) out of Avon Breeze (GB), whose sire is Avonbridge.
What going does Tropical Storm prefer?
Tropical Storm (GB) has the best record on good to firm going: 2 wins from 6 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Tropical Storm's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 91, from the run on 5 July 2026. The highest on record is 103.
What is Tropical Storm's sire's record?
Eqtidaar (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 8% of 436 runs since Jan 2008 (49 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 14.5% from 117. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.7% from 232.
Who are Tropical Storm's siblings?
Out of Avon Breeze (GB), Tropical Storm (GB) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Liberty Breeze (GB) (3). Highest grade won: Listed (Purosangue (GB)). The wins came over 5f–7f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from April 2024. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.