Unexpected Arrival (IRE)
Unexpected Arrival (IRE) is yet to win from 6 starts, though has placed twice. Best effort: 2nd of 6 at Yarmouth (Jul 2021).
- 0–6Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 2 (33.3%)Placed
- −6.00£1 level staken=6 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=6 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 68Highest OR
- 88dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 93
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 2 | 79A | 66 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 93A | 89 | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 6 | 93A | 76 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 6 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.5% of 304 runs since Jan 2008 (34 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | +23.8 | — |
| Good to Firm | 55 | 3 | 5.5% | −4 | 0 from 2 |
| Good | 51 | 3 | 5.9% | −3.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 25 | 2 | 8% | −1.5 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 54 | 4 | 7.4% | −2.1 | — |
| Heavy | 26 | 2 | 7.7% | −1.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 90 | 14 | 15.6% | +6.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 55 | 6 | 10.9% | +1.4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 128 | 13 | 10.2% | +0.7 | 0 from 6 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | +5.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | −1.2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 30 | 1 | 3.3% | −6.2 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 27 | 2 | 7.4% | −2.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 11 | 0 | 0% | −9.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 22 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Lord Caprio (IRE) (8 wins).
The wins came over 6f–2m4f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Lord Caprio (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lord Caprio (IRE) | 36 | 8 | 7f–2m4f | Class 4 |
| Scandinavian Lady (IRE) | 10 | 1 | 6f | Class 6 |
| On The Sherbet (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| Runwell (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Listowel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Cherchi | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Shane Foley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Shane Crosse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| William Buick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Laura Pearson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Tongue tie | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2021 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 22+116d | Listowel | Rose Hotel Handicap (47-65) (Div 1) | 12/12 | 3¼ | 10-0 | 64 | 53C | 44C | Shane Foley | 50/1 |
| 27 May 22+275d | Fairyhouse | CPAC MODULAR Building Ingenuity Fillies Maiden | 15/15 | 37 | 9-3 | 68 | 0C | 42C | Shane Crosse | 150/1 |
| 25 Aug 21+20d | Lingfield (AW) | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415/ EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) | 3/9 | 1¾ | 8-12 | 68 | 73A | 63A | William Buick | 11/8F |
| 05 Aug 21+14d | Brighton | Streamline Taxis 202020 Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 3/5 | 1 | 8-11 | — | 85C | 64B | Stefano Cherchi | 11/10F |
| 22 Jul 21+16d | Yarmouth | QuinnBet Daily Free Bet Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 2/6 | shd | 8-9 | — | 93A | 63B | Stefano Cherchi | 10/3 |
| 06 Jul 21 | Brighton | bet365 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 5/8 | nk | 8-6 | — | 79A | 58A | Laura Pearson | 12/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Unexpected Arrival (IRE) won?
- Unexpected Arrival (IRE) has yet to win, from 6 archived starts between 2021 and 2022. Placed 2 times in total (33.3% of starts).
- Who trained Unexpected Arrival (IRE)?
- Unexpected Arrival (IRE) was trained by J Larkin on the most recent run on record, at Listowel on 20 September 2022.
- Who is Unexpected Arrival (IRE)'s sire?
- Unexpected Arrival (IRE) is by Moohaajim (IRE) out of Azzurra Du Caprio (IRE), whose sire is Captain Rio.
- What is Unexpected Arrival (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 64, from the run on 20 September 2022. The highest on record is 68.
- What is Unexpected Arrival (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Moohaajim (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.5% of 304 runs since Jan 2008 (34 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Unexpected Arrival (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Azzurra Du Caprio (IRE), Unexpected Arrival (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Lord Caprio (IRE) (8). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Lord Caprio (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–2m4f. As at Oct 2026.