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Trainer profile

J Larkin

87 runners in the last 5 seasons · 16 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Apr 2024
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
1–87
Wins / Runs
1.1%
Strike rate
n=87
3 (3%)
Placed
0.48
Fair A/E
n=87 · 0.38 incl. margin
−46.00
£1 level stake
n=87 at SP · −52.9%
£11,390
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.1
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.1
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
11.1%+10.0
n=9 · A/E 4.94 · £1 +32.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−1.1
n=57 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −57.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 0% vs 1.1% · n=57 · A/E 0.00
In Flat races 1.3% vs 1.1% · n=77 · A/E 0.53
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 77 1 1.3% −36.00
Hurdle 6 0 0% −6.00
Chase 3 0 0% −3.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 24 1 4.2% +17.00
Soft 21 0 0% −21.00
Standard (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00
Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Soft 11 0 0% −11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00
Bellewstown 9 0 0% −9.00
Navan 8 0 0% −8.00
Listowel 7 0 0% −7.00
Gowran Park 5 1 20% +36.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00
Leopardstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Down Royal 4 0 0% −4.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Curragh 4 0 0% −4.00
Roscommon 3 0 0% −3.00
Sligo 3 0 0% −3.00
Downpatrick 2 0 0% −2.00
Cork 2 0 0% −2.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
4th–6th fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
7th+ in betting 80 1 1.3% 0.67 −39.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Helmet Star (GB) 13 1 1 22 Dec 23
Almost An Angel (GB)from David Evans 13 0 0 22 Nov 23
Sense Of Security (GB)from George Baker 10 0 1 6 Dec 23
Black Bridie (IRE) 10 0 0 29 Aug 23
Praying Mantis (IRE)from Adrian McGuinness 9 0 0 22 Nov 23
Inductive (GB)from Michael Dods 6 0 1 13 May 22
Anycity (IRE)from Michael Wigham 5 0 0 23 Nov 23
Let Her Flow (IRE)from Mark Fahey 5 0 0 15 Sep 23
Ernest Loring (IRE)from John C McConnell · then W J Austin 3 0 0 20 Apr 23
Harry Stoneless (GB) 3 0 0 5 Apr 23
Curley Rose (GB)from James Ferguson 2 0 0 12 Apr 24
Our Major (IRE) 2 0 0 15 Oct 23
All 16 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 16 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive; 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
·000001400000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Sean Bird 14 0 0% −14.00
Cian MacRedmond 12 0 0% −12.00
Danny Sheehy 11 1 9.1% +30.00
Conor Maxwell 7 0 0% −7.00
Shane Foley 6 0 0% −6.00
Chris Hayes 5 0 0% −5.00
Mikey Sheehy 4 0 0% −4.00
Alan Persse 3 0 0% −3.00
Patrick M O'Brien 3 0 0% −3.00
Kyle Faulkner 3 0 0% −3.00
Jake Coen 2 0 0% −2.00
James Ryan 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
35
Archived wins
£392k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 5 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Total Demolition (IRE) — Hop House 13 Handicap Galway · Jul 2016
£12,300
Chillie Billie (GB) — Ladbrokes Red Day Handicap (50-75) Galway · Aug 2015
£8,280
Total Demolition (IRE) — Toals.com Bookmakers Handicap Fairyhouse · Jun 2018
£7,700
Notable horses
Total Demolition (IRE) House Limit (IRE) Chillie Billie (GB) Emphatic (IRE) Foreign Legion (IRE) Bay Of Kotor (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Heeraat (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 8% of 2,992 runs since 2008 (194 horses).
Helmet (AUS) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,851 runs since 2008 (351 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 148.
Havana Gold (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,043 runs since 2008 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.3% from 115. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.9% from 519. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.
Vadamos (FR) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,076 runs since 2008 (217 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.2% from 155.
Epaulette (AUS) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9.1% of 3,066 runs since 2008 (221 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4% from 173. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 222.
Canford Cliffs (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,091 runs since 2008 (314 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 263.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 927 · newest first

The latest 50 of 927 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 31 May 2007 to 12 April 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
12 Apr 24 Dundalk (AW) Curley Rose (GB)J: Sean Bird Friday 12th July Ladies Day At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-65)7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 125/1
16 Feb 24 Dundalk (AW) Curley Rose (GB)J: Cian MacRedmond Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Handicap (47-70)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 80/1
22 Dec 23 Dundalk (AW) Helmet Star (GB)J: Sean Bird Irishinjuredjockeys.com Apprentice Rated Race8f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 200/1
06 Dec 23 Dundalk (AW) Sense Of Security (GB)J: Shane Foley Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)6f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 22/1
01 Dec 23 Dundalk (AW) Sense Of Security (GB)J: Conor Maxwell Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Handicap (47-75)6f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 80/1
24 Nov 23 Dundalk (AW) Sense Of Security (GB)J: Shane Foley Dundalk Stadium Celebrates 20 Years 29th November Handicap (47-65)6f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 100/1
23 Nov 23 Thurles Anycity (IRE)J: Mr I Ryan Start Christmas Here December 17th (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran F 250/1
22 Nov 23 Dundalk (AW) Almost An Angel (GB)J: James Ryan Dundalk Stadium Gift Vouchers Available Online Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)7f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 50/1
22 Nov 23 Dundalk (AW) Praying Mantis (IRE)J: Danny Sheehy Dundalk Stadium Gift Vouchers Available Online Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 125/1
08 Nov 23 Dundalk (AW) Almost An Angel (GB)J: Cian MacRedmond Bet On The Best Night Out At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)7f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 80/1
31 Oct 23 Curragh Almost An Angel (GB)J: James Ryan Follow ToteRacing On Twitter Handicap (47-65)7f · Heavy · 20 ran 13th 33/1
15 Oct 23 Naas Our Major (IRE)J: Mikey Sheehy Tifrums Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden6f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 150/1
07 Oct 23 Curragh Our Major (IRE)J: Mikey Sheehy Irish European Breeders Fund Median Sires Series Maiden6f · Soft · 13 ran 13th 200/1
04 Oct 23 Navan Anycity (IRE)J: Cian MacRedmond Yellow Furze Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)10f · Yielding · 20 ran 19th 66/1
04 Oct 23 Navan Sense Of Security (GB)J: Sean Bird Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Apprentice Handicap (47-65)5.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 15th 28/1
04 Oct 23 Navan Our Dagger (IRE)J: Mikey Sheehy Arkle Bar Median Auction Maiden5.5f · Yielding · 18 ran 11th 150/1
25 Sep 23 Down Royal Praying Mantis (IRE)J: Jamie Powell Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap (47-70)7f · Heavy · 11 ran 11th 28/1
23 Sep 23 Curragh Our Dagger (IRE)J: Mikey Sheehy Bermingham Cameras Photo Finish Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 9th 150/1
21 Sep 23 Listowel Anycity (IRE)J: Danny Sheehy Tote Ireland Handicap (50-80)9f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 11th 25/1
21 Sep 23 Listowel Almost An Angel (GB)J: Danny Sheehy Thorn Plant Hire Handicap (47-70)8f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 8th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J Larkin's strike rate?
J Larkin has won 1 of 87 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 1.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is J Larkin's Fair A/E?
0.48, from 87 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).