Stefano Cherchi
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 100 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.82). When claiming the record reads 10% (238 rides).
It is weakest at Yarmouth (0% over 32 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Claiming rides have been a positive signal at 10.1% (n=238, Fair A/E 0.99), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 0% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.00). Amy Murphy supplies 22% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (4.4% vs 7.1%, A/E 0.53). The rider also reads well on Good going (13.3%, n=75) and off a 8-14-day break (12.7%, n=79). The record reads poorly at trips under 6f — 3.1% over 65 rides, 4pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Jul–Sep.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2018→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,119 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,119 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 August 2018 to 16 November 2023.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Stefano Cherchi's strike rate?
- Stefano Cherchi has won 37 of 522 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Stefano Cherchi do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 80 rides (7.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Stefano Cherchi ride most for?
- Amy Murphy, with 114 rides since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (4.4%).
- What is Stefano Cherchi's Fair A/E?
- 0.82, from 521 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.