As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won at Southwell (AW)Headgear returns LTOLast run 19 Jun 2026 · 8th of 10Last raced off OR 56
KTB Profile
What Fools Believe is a filly who has one win from nine starts, the success coming in a Class 6 handicap at Southwell over 1m to 1m1f on standard going in Apr 2026. She has raced exclusively on all-weather for her wins and has never scored on turf from three starts. Her last run, at Redcar in Jun 2026, saw her finish eighth of 10 in a Class 6 handicap off a mark of 56 while wearing headgear that returns. She is by Zoustar out of a Golden Horn mare.
Based on 9 archived runs · run-style from 9 commented runs since Nov 2025 · updated 8 Nov 2026
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating56↓ 3lb off peak
5655–59
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed84the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Beverley, 12 May 2026
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat 9 figures · best 84B · median 69
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 8 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)
6
82C
68.5
6 runs · 82 / 68.5
Good
2
78C
63.5
2 runs · 78 / 63.5
Good to Firm
1
—
—
1 run · —
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 8 Nov 2025
6f – 7f
5
78C
68
5 runs · 78 / 68
1m – 1m1f
3
82C
69
3 runs · 82 / 69
1m2f – 1m4f
1
—
—
1 run · —
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 9 figures from 9 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
KTB Rating
Best recent KTB Rating47Athe best of the last 3 rated runs · Beverley, 12 May 2026Official rating 56at the last run, 19 Jun 2026
What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →
Flat 9 figures · best 70A · median 47
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 8 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)
6
70A
54
6 runs · 70 / 54
Good
2
38C
31
2 runs · 38 / 31
Good to Firm
1
—
—
1 run · —
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 8 Nov 2025
6f – 7f
5
59A
44
5 runs · 59 / 44
1m – 1m1f
3
70A
52
3 runs · 70 / 52
1m2f – 1m4f
1
—
—
1 run · —
KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 9 figures from 9 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 9 analysed runs since Nov 2025
Held up4 (44%)· 0 wins
Mid-division3 (33%)· 1 win
Prominent2 (22%)· 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Zoustar (AUS)
Progeny in our archive have won 10.8% of 2,769 runs since Mar 2022 (315 horses).
Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 331. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.6% from 194.
Going
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Firm
14
3
21.4%
+10.6
—
Good to Firm
440
43
9.8%
−1
0 from 1
Good
593
52
8.8%
−2
0 from 2
Good to Soft
249
21
8.4%
−2.4
—
Soft
265
29
10.9%
+0.1
—
Heavy
87
14
16.1%
+5.3
—
Standard (AW)
1,121
137
12.2%
+1.4
1 from 6
Distance (all codes)
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Under 6f
331
48
14.5%
+3.7
—
6f – 7f
1,436
154
10.7%
−0.1
0 from 5
1m – 1m1f
679
84
12.4%
+1.6
1 from 3
1m2f – 1m4f
194
7
3.6%
−7.2
0 from 1
1m5f – 2m
64
1
1.6%
−9.2
—
2m1f – 2m4f
49
4
8.2%
−2.6
—
2m5f – 3m
14
1
7.1%
−3.7
—
Over 3m
2
0
0%
−10.8
—
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Mar 2022 · as at 7 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.
Record by conditions
Going
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Standard (AW)
6
1
17%
+7.00
Good
2
0
0%
−2.00
Good to Firm
1
0
0%
−1.00
Class
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Class 5
5
0
0%
−5.00
Class 6
4
1
25%
+9.00
Course
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Southwell (AW)
3
1
33%
+10.00
Newcastle (AW)
3
0
0%
−3.00
Redcar
1
0
0%
−1.00
Ripon
1
0
0%
−1.00
Beverley
1
0
0%
−1.00
Distance
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
6f – 7f
5
0
0%
−5.00
1m – 1m1f
3
1
33%
+10.00
1m2f – 1m4f
1
0
0%
−1.00
Jockey
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
Barry McHugh
3
0
0%
−3.00
David Nolan
2
1
50%
+11.00
Sean D Bowen
1
0
0%
−1.00
Jason Hart
1
0
0%
−1.00
Silvestre De Sousa
1
0
0%
−1.00
Tom Eaves
1
0
0%
−1.00
Headgear
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
None
7
1
14%
+6.00
Cheekpieces
2
0
0%
−2.00
Season
Runs
Wins
SR
£1
2026
6
1
17%
+7.00
2025
3
0
0%
−3.00
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Ripon Theatre Festival 5th - 12th July HandicapClass 6 · 1m · Good · 8 ranTook strong hold early - settled towards the back - pushed along with 3f left and unable to land a blow - well held in 8th
Racing Welfare Supporting Mental Health HandicapClass 6 · 1m2f · Good To Firm · 9 ranSettled at the back - shifted right for room over 2f out - couldn't quicken when asked and faded from there
Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 HandicapClass 5 · 1m · Standard · 5 ranSettled in fourth - driven approaching final 2f - unable to close and lost touch in closing stages - finished 5th
Summer Socials At Southwell Racecourse HandicapClass 6 · 1m · Standard · 12 ranHeld mid-division early - driven into contention inside final furlong and finished full of running - got up right at the line to score
What Fools Believe (GB) won 1 of 9 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 11.1%. Placed 1 time in total (11.1% of starts).
Who trains What Fools Believe?
What Fools Believe (GB) is trained by Ivan Furtado, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 19 June 2026.
Who is What Fools Believe's sire?
What Fools Believe (GB) is by Zoustar (AUS) out of Festive Star (GB), whose sire is Golden Horn.
What going does What Fools Believe prefer?
What Fools Believe (GB) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 1 win from 6 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is What Fools Believe's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 56, from the run on 19 June 2026. The highest on record is 59.
What is What Fools Believe's sire's record?
Zoustar (AUS)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.8% of 2,769 runs since Mar 2022 (315 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 331. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.6% from 194.
What Fools Believe (GB)·1–9·SR 11.1%
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