What is Ivan Furtado's strike rate?

Ivan Furtado has won 158 of 1,889 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ivan Furtado do best at?

Nottingham by strike rate: 6 wins from 44 runners (13.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ivan Furtado?

Elle-May Croot, with 388 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (8%).

Is Ivan Furtado in form?

In the last 14 days: 28 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 7.1%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.4% since 2022.

What is Ivan Furtado's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 1,877 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ivan Furtado

1,889 runners in the last 5 seasons · 243 individual horses

As at 26 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 6.6% of 595 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 26 Oct 2026.

Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2022

158–1,889

Wins / Runs

8.4%

Strike rate

n=1,889

443 (24%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=1,877 · 0.81 incl. margin

−669.93

£1 level stake

n=1,889 at SP · −35.5%

£1.64m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 380 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.95). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 17% (53 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,889 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 26 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr 28.8% when favourite Elle-May Croot: 8% from 388 New recruits: 10.3% Headgear returns: 17% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 17% (n=53, Fair A/E 2.04), but debutants struggle at 1.7% (n=115, Fair A/E 0.54). Elle-May Croot rides 21% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (15.1%, n=86) and over 1m5f – 2m (14.3%, n=112). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 0% over 54 runners, 8.4pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Japan Racing Association Sceptre Fillies' Stakes at Doncaster (Sep 2021, £45,368). The stable star of the record: Lednikov (GB) — 7 wins from 54 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.9%−0.5

n=267 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −29.12

New recruits · first run for the yard

10.3%+1.9

n=87 · A/E 1.54 · £1 +9.96

Debutants · first career start

1.7%−6.7

n=115 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −83.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8%−0.4

n=87 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −49.29

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

17%+8.6

n=53 · A/E 2.04 · £1 +39.00

When favourite

28.8%

n=146 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −22.76

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.3%−0.1

n=448 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −142.12

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.4

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 15.7% vs 8.4% · n=159

With headgear back on 17% vs 8.4% · n=53

In Class 2 0% vs 8.4% · n=54

With debutants 1.7% vs 8.4% · n=115

Off a 0-7-day break 15.1% vs 8.4% · n=86

Over 1m5f – 2m 14.3% vs 8.4% · n=112

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,884 157 8.3% −693.93

NH Flat 3 1 33.3% +26.00

Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,181 101 8.6% −408.02

Good 271 18 6.6% −120.43

Good to Firm 242 23 9.5% −38.63

Good to Soft 105 10 9.5% −49.85

Soft 72 4 5.6% −41.75

Heavy 18 2 11.1% −11.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell (AW) 411 28 6.8% −193.42

Wolverhampton (AW) 296 29 9.8% −66.83

Newcastle (AW) 222 26 11.7% +5.70

Doncaster 118 8 6.8% −48.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 115 8 7% −74.34

Kempton (AW) 79 4 5.1% −57.88

Redcar 62 7 11.3% −3.50

Lingfield (AW) 57 6 10.5% −20.25

Beverley 45 4 8.9% −26.25

Leicester 45 2 4.4% +9.00

York 45 3 6.7% −22.00

Nottingham 44 6 13.6% −11.29

Pontefract 44 6 13.6% −1.25

Thirsk 35 1 2.9% −28.50

Chester 29 1 3.4% −25.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 842 91 10.8% −155.06

Class 5 612 48 7.8% −183.38

Class 4 316 15 4.7% −240.99

Class 3 57 4 7% −28.50

Class 2 54 0 0% −54.00

Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 176 48 27.3% 0.99 −28.51

2nd–3rd fav 311 51 16.4% 1.03 −34.75

4th–6th fav 601 37 6.2% 0.83 −254.67

7th+ in betting 801 22 2.7% 0.97 −352.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Lednikov (GB) 54 7 13 24 Oct 26

May Remain (GB)from George Baker 43 3 12 2 May 25

Boasty (IRE)from Fergal Birrane 40 4 18 2 Sep 25

Rock N Roll Pinkie (GB) 38 6 11 14 Oct 26

Bowood (GB)from Katie Scott 32 5 9 10 Oct 26

Wilde And Dandy (GB)from Michael Bell 31 4 14 1 Aug 26

Electric Avenue (GB)from George Baker 24 4 6 29 Apr 26

Stoic Syd (IRE) 22 2 5 21 Apr 25

Brave Empire (IRE)from Roger Varian 20 0 2 21 Jul 26

Star Of St James (GER)from Richard Fahey 20 2 5 17 Jan 25

Relevant Range (IRE)from Gillian Scott 19 3 8 17 Oct 26

Rotokura Belle (GB) 19 3 5 13 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 243 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 33 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Craig Lidster (8) and George Baker (2); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Denis Quinn (2); 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

2 from 28 7.1% · −1.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days7.1%

5-season base8.4%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

8713116791077116

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderElle-May Croot

21% of all rides
8% SR · A/E 1.08

RiderRWSR£1

Elle-May Croot 388 31 8% −134.32

Jason Hart 174 15 8.6% −99.37

Joey Haynes 148 9 6.1% −97.37

Marco Ghiani 130 16 12.3% −39.49

Tom Eaves 120 8 6.7% −18.62

Kieran O'Neill 95 11 11.6% −46.50

Silvestre De Sousa 76 6 7.9% −35.62

David Nolan 72 10 13.9% +34.00

Jordan Nason 39 3 7.7% −28.30

Lewis Edmunds 39 3 7.7% −17.00

Luke Morris 38 3 7.9% −25.92

Trevor Whelan 38 4 10.5% +0.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

336

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.92m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 41 wins

Just Beautiful (GB) — Japan Racing Association Sceptre Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Group 3) Doncaster · Sep 2021 · Group 3

£45,368

Just Beautiful (GB) — Every Race Live On RacingTV Maggie Dickson Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Listed) Musselburgh · Jun 2021 · Listed

£20,983

Rock N Roll Pinkie (GB) — Skybet Proud To Support RoR Stayers Handicap (GBBPlus Race) York · Sep 2025 · Class 3

£15,462

Notable horses

Lednikov (GB) Crazy Spin (GB) Hector's Here (GB) Rock N Roll Pinkie (GB) Zaeem (GB) Bowood (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mayson (GB) 5.2% · 4–77

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,373 runs since 2008 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 1,730. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Kodiac (GB) 10.3% · 7–68

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,554 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Dandy Man (IRE) 8.3% · 5–60

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,935 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 11.7% · 7–60

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,790 runs since 2008 (937 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Dark Angel (IRE) 3.7% · 2–54

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,890 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Havana Grey (GB) 11.3% · 6–53

Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,551 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.2% from 411.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 26 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,645 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,645 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 May 2015 to 24 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Finn Ironside (GB)J: Elle-May Croot All-weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 11/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Lednikov (GB)J: Elle-May Croot Join The Midnite Movement Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 14/1

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Itsatenfromlen (GB)J: Jason Hart Rfj And Bee Jays Electrical Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Heavy · 12 ran 11th 28/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Blake's Monarch (IRE)J: Jack Callan Awc Season 14 Has Begun Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 4 ran 3rd 2/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Time And Effort (GB)J: Tom Eaves Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 22/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Talora (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill All Weather Championship Is Back Ebf Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 250/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) True Heart (GB)J: Jason Hart AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 40/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Gilleangirl (USA)J: Kieran O'Neill All-Weather Championship Is Back Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 100/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Filly Eilish (IRE)J: Luke Morris All-Weather Championship Is Back Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 100/30

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Texting (GB)J: David Nolan AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 3/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Chesneys Charm (GB)J: Jason Hart Awc Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 4/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Alkumatic Jo Jo (IRE)J: Jason Hart AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 11/2

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Dolo's Star (IRE)J: Jason Hart All-Weather Championships Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 66/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) We've Got This (IRE)J: Jason Hart bettingsites.co.uk Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 100/30

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Crown Inn To Win (IRE)J: Barry McHugh bettingsites.co.uk New Betting Sites Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 33/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Alfa Whiteburd (IRE)J: Elle-May Croot Cavani Best Dressed Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 10/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Sailthisshipalone (GB)J: Andrew Mullen Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Heavy · 9 ran 5th 8/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Arc La Shari (GB)J: Joe Leavy Winter Ladies Night Saturday 28th November Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 33/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Relevant Range (IRE)J: Elle-May Croot Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 22/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Helmsley (IRE)J: David Nolan Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good · 7 ran 7th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ivan Furtado's strike rate?: Ivan Furtado has won 158 of 1,889 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ivan Furtado do best at?: Nottingham by strike rate: 6 wins from 44 runners (13.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ivan Furtado?: Elle-May Croot, with 388 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (8%).
Is Ivan Furtado in form?: In the last 14 days: 28 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 7.1%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.4% since 2022.
What is Ivan Furtado's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 1,877 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.