What is Tom Eaves's strike rate?

Tom Eaves has won 208 of 2,827 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tom Eaves do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 12 wins from 96 rides (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Tom Eaves ride most for?

Kevin Ryan, with 965 rides since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 103 (10.7%).

Is Tom Eaves in form?

In the last 14 days: 23 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 4.3%. That is below the baseline of 7.4% since 2022.

What is Tom Eaves's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 2,806 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Tom Eaves

2,827 rides in the last 5 seasons · 1,136 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

208–2,827

Wins / Runs

7.4%

Strike rate

n=2,827

656 (23%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=2,806 · 0.82 incl. margin

−1,051.71

£1 level stake

n=2,827 at SP · −37.2%

£3.92m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 570 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (201 rides). The rider is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,827 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Apr 35.3% when favourite Kevin Ryan: 10.7% from 965 LTO winners: 12.4% Rides the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hamilton (12.5%, n=96), clear of the rider's 7.4% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.4% (n=201, Fair A/E 0.95), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.6% (n=388, Fair A/E 0.76). Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 1 from 23 rides in the last 14 days (4.3%, 3.1pts below the 7.4% baseline). Kevin Ryan supplies 34% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.7% vs 7.4%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 37 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Commonwealth Cup at Ascot (Jun 2024, £411,573). The standout partner of the record: Tangerine Trees (GB) — 12 wins from 46 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Nov–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.3%−2.1

n=1,034 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −508.20

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.4%+5.0

n=201 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −52.60

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.4%−1.0

n=390 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −183.39

When favourite

35.3%

n=133 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +1.24

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.6%−3.8

n=388 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −191.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7%−0.4

n=100 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −25.42

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Michael Dods 0% vs 7.4% · n=55

On last-time-out winners 12.4% vs 7.4% · n=201

With Ray Craggs 13.9% vs 7.4% · n=36

At Hamilton 12.5% vs 7.4% · n=96

With Kevin Ryan 10.7% vs 7.4% · n=965

With new recruits 2.9% vs 7.4% · n=105

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,101 96 8.7% −314.22

Good 698 40 5.7% −350.50

Good to Firm 426 24 5.6% −164.42

Good to Soft 291 26 8.9% −103.10

Soft 249 19 7.6% −69.97

Heavy 62 3 4.8% −49.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 514 49 9.5% −109.66

Southwell (AW) 368 34 9.2% −100.44

Wolverhampton (AW) 182 9 4.9% −80.92

York 165 9 5.5% −46.75

Thirsk 147 11 7.5% −48.00

Ayr 147 9 6.1% −81.12

Redcar 136 8 5.9% −42.00

Beverley 135 9 6.7% −69.50

Doncaster 130 11 8.5% −29.47

Carlisle 116 7 6% −84.45

Catterick 114 8 7% −43.38

Pontefract 103 4 3.9% −90.05

Hamilton 96 12 12.5% −1.40

Haydock 86 6 7% −38.17

Ripon 73 2 2.7% −59.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 907 64 7.1% −329.19

Class 5 850 68 8% −293.95

Class 4 547 34 6.2% −322.94

Class 2 215 14 6.5% −15.00

Class 3 206 21 10.2% −63.21

Class 1 100 7 7% −25.42

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 155 48 31% 1.12 −14.26

2nd–3rd fav 416 77 18.5% 1.16 +16.55

4th–6th fav 913 54 5.9% 0.81 −309.50

7th+ in betting 1,343 29 2.2% 0.71 −744.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Kodebreaker (IRE) 34 2 12 31 Oct 25

Bergerac (IRE) 31 5 8 27 Aug 26

Anif (IRE) 26 2 6 10 Apr 25

Belsito (GER) 23 3 8 17 Oct 26

Vantheman (IRE) 21 4 9 19 Oct 26

Soames Forsyte (GB) 21 2 7 31 Aug 26

Yoshimi (IRE) 21 2 7 16 Oct 25

Apiarist (IRE) 18 3 6 11 Jul 26

Good Earth (IRE) 17 1 8 13 Aug 26

Bay Of Naples (IRE) 17 0 7 20 Apr 25

Shaladar (FR) 17 2 7 30 Oct 24

Araifjan (GB) 17 1 5 3 Jun 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,136 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

1 from 23 4.3% · −3.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days4.3%

5-season base7.4%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1011109759557810

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardKevin Ryan

34% of all rides
10.7% SR · A/E 1.10

TrainerRWSR£1

Kevin Ryan 965 103 10.7% −226.61

Michael Herrington 337 26 7.7% −120.60

Ivan Furtado 119 8 6.7% −17.62

Craig Lidster 110 11 10% +37.80

Tracy Waggott 73 6 8.2% −43.00

Alan Brown 71 4 5.6% −48.72

Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood 60 4 6.7% −33.62

Tony Coyle 59 3 5.1% −36.50

Michael Dods 55 0 0% −55.00

Sam England 49 4 8.2% −17.00

Tim Easterby 47 1 2.1% −32.00

Ruth Carr 38 1 2.6% −17.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,318

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£15.0m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 94 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Inisherin (GB) — Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Ascot · Jun 2024 · Group 1

£411,573

Brando (GB) — LARC Prix Maurice de Gheest (3yo+) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2017 · Group 1

£185,583

Glass Slippers (GB) — Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Longines (2yo+) (Sprint Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2019 · Group 1

£180,171

Notable horses

Tangerine Trees (GB) Chookie Royale (GB) Chookie Hamilton (GB) Smalljohn (GB) Oriental Relation (IRE) Kind Review (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodi Bear (IRE) 13.9% · 16–115

Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,926 runs since 2008 (386 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7% from 256.

Night Of Thunder (IRE) 11.5% · 12–104

Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,064 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 157.

Kodiac (GB) 5.6% · 5–90

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,534 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Washington Dc (IRE) 13.1% · 11–84

Progeny have won 9.9% of 849 runs since 2008 (70 horses). Weakest on Good going: 6.8% from 191.

Mehmas (IRE) 9.1% · 6–66

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,107 runs since 2008 (747 horses).

Acclamation (GB) 8.1% · 5–62

Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 16,610 · newest first

The latest 50 of 16,610 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Vantheman (IRE)T: Kevin Ryan William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 3/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Statten Island (IRE)T: Kevin Ryan William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 18/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Belsito (GER)T: Kevin Ryan William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Veterans' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 7th 11/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock American Bay (GB)T: Paul Midgley Shape Engineering Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Heavy · 14 ran 13th 50/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Thunder Roar (GB)T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood M6Toll Road To Victory Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 7th 18/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Rambuso Creek (IRE)T: Michael Herrington Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 3/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Ubetterseethis (GB)T: Craig Lidster Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 33/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Blake's Lass (GB)T: Ivan Furtado 31st Oct Halloween Spooktacular Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 14/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Roman Secret (IRE)T: Lawrence Mullaney racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 11/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Sergeant Wilko (IRE)T: Kevin Ryan Happy 80th Reg Ling Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 2nd 8/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Harry The Rogue (IRE)T: Stephen Hanlon Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse Book Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 28/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Pivotal Voyage (IRE)T: Kevin Ryan British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 5/2J

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Ziva's Star (GB)T: Simon Whitaker Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 40/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Not Me (GB)T: Alan Brown Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 40/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Showtown (IRE)T: Kevin Ryan Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 12/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Wreck It Ryley (IRE)T: Alan Brown Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 20/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Powerful Force (GB)T: Kevin Ryan Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 20/1

10 Oct 26 York Matteo (IRE)T: Kevin Ryan Sky Bet Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 33/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Isle of Fernandez (GB)T: Kevin Ryan Godolphin Under Starters Orders EBF Boadicea Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 13 ran 10th 50/1

08 Oct 26 Ayr Big Fun (IRE)T: Kevin Ryan Tennent's Lager Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Heavy · 11 ran 9th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tom Eaves's strike rate?: Tom Eaves has won 208 of 2,827 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tom Eaves do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 12 wins from 96 rides (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Tom Eaves ride most for?: Kevin Ryan, with 965 rides since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 103 (10.7%).
Is Tom Eaves in form?: In the last 14 days: 23 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 4.3%. That is below the baseline of 7.4% since 2022.
What is Tom Eaves's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 2,806 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.