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Jockey profile

Aiden Smithies

32 rides in the lifetime window · 16 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Nov 2020 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–32
Wins / Runs
3.1%
Strike rate
n=32
6 (19%)
Placed
0.70
Fair A/E
n=32 · 0.59 incl. margin
−24.00
£1 level stake
n=32 at SP · −75.0%
£8,620
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−3.1
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−3.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−3.1
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
3.1%+0.0
n=32 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −24.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−3.1
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 13 1 7.7% −5.00
Good 8 0 0% −8.00
Soft 4 0 0% −4.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Beverley 6 0 0% −6.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Doncaster 2 0 0% −2.00
Redcar 2 0 0% −2.00
Thirsk 1 0 0% −1.00
Hamilton 1 0 0% −1.00
Chepstow 1 0 0% −1.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Kempton (AW) 1 1 100% +7.00
York 1 0 0% −1.00
Yarmouth 1 0 0% −1.00
Lingfield (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Carlisle 1 0 0% −1.00
Ripon 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 17 1 5.9% −9.00
Class 5 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
4th–6th fav 5 1 20% 2.89 +3.00
7th+ in betting 24 0 0% 0.00 −24.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Interrupted Dream (GB) 5 1 2 24 Jan 20
Athollblair Boy (IRE) 4 0 0 16 Sep 20
Bollihope (GB) 4 0 1 3 Sep 20
Violette Szabo (IRE) 3 0 2 28 Sep 20
Sheepscar Lad (IRE) 2 0 1 4 Nov 20
Jungle Rock (IRE) 2 0 0 7 Oct 20
Firmdecisions (IRE) 2 0 0 15 Sep 20
Koovers (IRE) 2 0 0 12 Oct 19
Just Heather (IRE) 1 0 0 28 Sep 20
Stealing Silk (IRE) 1 0 0 16 Sep 20
Jupiter Road (GB) 1 0 0 17 Jul 20
Valley Of Silver (IRE) 1 0 0 11 Jul 20
All 16 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0···0000800·
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Nigel Tinkler 20 0 0% −20.00
Mark Johnston 6 1 16.7% +2.00
Gay Kelleway 5 0 0% −5.00
John Wainwright 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
1
Archived wins
£8,620
Prize money
2019
Best season · 1 win
Interrupted Dream (GB) — 100% Profit Boost At 32RedSport.com Nursery Kempton (AW) · Sep 2019 · Class 6
£3,105
Notable horses
Interrupted Dream (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Oasis Dream (GB) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,040 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 484. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.
Frozen Power (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,887 runs since 2015 (132 horses).
Medicean (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).
Excelebration (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9% of 3,605 runs since 2016 (244 horses).
Arcano (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,647 runs since 2014 (262 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 147.
Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,248 runs since 2018 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 123. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 32 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Aiden Smithies's 32 archived rides, from 7 May 2019 to 4 November 2020, newest first — one winner among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Nov 20 Nottingham Sheepscar Lad (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Download The MansionBet App HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 6/1
26 Oct 20 Redcar Sheepscar Lad (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Watch Race Replays At racingtv.com Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 16 ran 2nd 18/1
07 Oct 20 Newcastle (AW) Jungle Rock (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Follow At The Races On Twitter HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 125/1
28 Sep 20 Newcastle (AW) Violette Szabo (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Visit attheraces.com Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 17/2
28 Sep 20 Newcastle (AW) Just Heather (IRE)T: John Wainwright Visit attheraces.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 400/1
17 Sep 20 Pontefract Jungle Rock (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Like Racing TV On Facebook Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 9th 66/1
16 Sep 20 Beverley Stealing Silk (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Racing Again Next Tuesday Apprentice Classified StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Good · 15 ran 10th 40/1
16 Sep 20 Beverley Athollblair Boy (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Annie Oxtoby Memorial HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good · 11 ran 10th 25/1
15 Sep 20 Redcar Firmdecisions (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Visit racingtv.com Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 10th 33/1
08 Sep 20 Newcastle (AW) Violette Szabo (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler attheraces.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 50/1
04 Sep 20 Thirsk Athollblair Boy (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler JW 4x4 Northallerton HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 18th 40/1
03 Sep 20 Newcastle (AW) Bollihope (GB)T: Nigel Tinkler Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 20/1
27 Aug 20 Beverley Violette Szabo (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Churchill Tyres A Great British Brand Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 20/1
12 Aug 20 Beverley Athollblair Boy (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Routh Carrs HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 8th 20/1
18 Jul 20 York Firmdecisions (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler williamhill.com Best Odds Guaranteed HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Good · 18 ran 17th 40/1
17 Jul 20 Beverley Jupiter Road (GB)T: Nigel Tinkler Welcome Back To Racehorse Owners HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 13th 66/1
16 Jul 20 Hamilton Bollihope (GB)T: Nigel Tinkler Every Race Live On Racing Tv HandicapClass 6 · 9f · Good · 11 ran 9th 6/1
11 Jul 20 Newcastle (AW) Valley Of Silver (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Visit attheraces.com/British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10/GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 150/1
05 Jul 20 Doncaster Bollihope (GB)T: Nigel Tinkler Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 19 ran 2nd 22/1
30 Jun 20 Doncaster Athollblair Boy (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler attheraces.com HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 6th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Aiden Smithies's strike rate?
Aiden Smithies has won 1 of 32 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Aiden Smithies's Fair A/E?
0.70, from 32 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).