What is Gay Kelleway's strike rate?

Gay Kelleway has won 70 of 691 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Gay Kelleway do best at?

Yarmouth by strike rate: 8 wins from 43 runners (18.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Gay Kelleway?

Luke Morris, with 111 runners since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (11.7%).

Is Gay Kelleway in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Gay Kelleway's Fair A/E?

1.11, from 683 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Gay Kelleway

691 runners in the last 5 seasons · 84 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago 98% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

70–691

Wins / Runs

10.1%

Strike rate

n=691

155 (22%)

Placed

1.11

Fair A/E

n=683 · 0.95 incl. margin

−89.30

£1 level stake

n=691 at SP · −12.9%

£584k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 140 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.11). With a claiming rider up the record reads 14% (190 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 691 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 29.7% when favourite Luke Morris: 11.7% from 111 Claiming riders: 14.2% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Yarmouth (18.6%, n=43) and Kempton (AW) (18%, n=50) — all clear of the yard's 10.1% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 14.2% (n=190, Fair A/E 1.54), but a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 5.3% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.69). Luke Morris rides 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.7%, A/E 1.13) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (19.2%, n=73) and in Class 6 (14.8%, n=298). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Unibet 3 Year Old Sprint All-Weather Championships Conditions Stakes at Lingfield (AW) (Apr 2015, £93,375). The stable star of the record: Mukha Magic (GB) — 12 wins from 74 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.3%−2.8

n=82 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −25.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.3%−1.8

n=24 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −7.50

Debutants · first career start

6.5%−3.6

n=46 · A/E 1.90 · £1 +26.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.3%+0.2

n=39 · A/E 1.55 · £1 +25.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.3%−4.8

n=38 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −30.62

When favourite

29.7%

n=37 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −8.35

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

14.2%+4.1

n=190 · A/E 1.54 · £1 +24.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.1

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 21.3% vs 10.1% · n=75

Over 1m5f – 2m 19.2% vs 10.1% · n=73

At Yarmouth 18.6% vs 10.1% · n=43

At Kempton (AW) 18% vs 10.1% · n=50

In Class 6 14.8% vs 10.1% · n=298

With Saffie Osborne 16.1% vs 10.1% · n=56

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 675 70 10.4% −73.30

Hurdle 6 0 0% −6.00

NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Chase 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 409 45 11% −34.45

Good to Firm 90 12 13.3% +1.70

Good 79 5 6.3% −39.25

Soft 56 3 5.4% +18.00

Good to Soft 48 4 8.3% −31.30

Heavy 8 1 12.5% −3.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell (AW) 87 11 12.6% +25.33

Wolverhampton (AW) 82 7 8.5% +7.75

Chelmsford City (AW) 79 7 8.9% −38.93

Lingfield (AW) 59 4 6.8% −29.00

Brighton 56 7 12.5% −17.85

Newcastle (AW) 51 7 13.7% −15.10

Kempton (AW) 50 9 18% +16.50

Yarmouth 43 8 18.6% +12.50

Leicester 19 1 5.3% −10.00

Bath 15 1 6.7% −8.00

Newmarket 14 0 0% −14.00

Windsor 13 0 0% −13.00

Nottingham 12 2 16.7% +0.50

Newmarket 11 0 0% −11.00

Epsom Downs 7 1 14.3% +1.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 298 44 14.8% +47.90

Class 5 256 18 7% −85.70

Class 4 91 5 5.5% −58.50

Class 2 26 2 7.7% +23.50

Class 3 15 1 6.7% −11.50

Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 41 12 29.3% 0.91 −8.85

2nd–3rd fav 139 29 20.9% 1.24 +12.55

4th–6th fav 268 24 9% 1.25 +3.00

7th+ in betting 243 5 2.1% 0.69 −96.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Court Drive (IRE) 39 7 15 20 Oct 26

Moveonup (IRE) 36 3 5 18 Jan 24

Mukha Magic (GB) 33 7 11 5 Dec 23

Comedian Leader (GB)from Alice Haynes · then Jim & Suzi Best 27 5 7 17 Feb 24

Silver Bubble (GB) 26 4 6 15 Feb 24

Habanero Star (GB) 24 6 12 19 Oct 23

Central City (IRE)from Ian Williams · then B F Brookhouse 20 3 5 31 Jan 23

Alrazeen (IRE)then Keiran Burke 19 5 8 19 Feb 26

Manton Road (GB)from Jack Jones · then Richard Phillips 19 4 8 27 Oct 25

Eloso (IRE)from Robyn Brisland · then Jim & Suzi Best 18 2 5 25 Mar 23

King David (IRE)from Marco Botti 17 0 4 6 Oct 26

Native Melody (IRE) 17 1 2 17 Jun 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 84 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from George Boughey (2); 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for Jim & Suzi Best (5) and B F Brookhouse (2); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

17121086126176673

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLuke Morris

16% of all rides
11.7% SR · A/E 1.13

RiderRWSR£1

Luke Morris 111 13 11.7% −29.50

Saffie Osborne 56 9 16.1% +5.95

Billy Loughnane 49 8 16.3% −0.12

Bradley Furniss 33 3 9.1% +14.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

434

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.43m

Prize money

2008

Best season · 48 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lightscameraction (IRE) — Unibet 3 Year Old Sprint All-Weather Championships Conditions Stakes Lingfield (AW) · Apr 2015 · Class 2

£93,375

Cosmelli (ITY) — Betfred Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation Race for The Northumberland Plate) Newcastle (AW) · Jun 2018 · Class 2

£46,688

Vortex (GB) — Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Newmarket · Jun 2005 · Group 3

£29,000

Notable horses

Mukha Magic (GB) Layline (IRE) Ubla (IRE) Boundless Prospect (USA) Court Drive (IRE) Bienheureux (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Inns Of Court (IRE) 10.8% · 8–74

Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,246 runs since 2023 (232 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.7% from 150.

Mayson (GB) 20% · 10–50

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,384 runs since 2016 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 1,731. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Phoenix Reach (IRE) 4.3% · 2–46

Progeny have won 7.9% of 1,948 runs since 2010 (140 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14% from 178. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.1% from 257.

Galileo Gold (GB) 16.7% · 7–42

Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,036 runs since 2021 (174 horses).

Zebedee (GB) 8.3% · 3–36

Progeny have won 9% of 7,139 runs since 2014 (435 horses).

Mukhadram (GB) 21.2% · 7–33

Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,443 runs since 2018 (199 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.2% from 302.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,832 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,832 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 26 Newmarket India Gold (IRE)J: Clifford Lee German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 11th 33/1

26 Oct 26 Leicester Miss Mambo (IRE)J: Jack Callan Fireworks Festival Here Saturday 7th November Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 16 ran 12th 33/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Court Drive (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Infobond Turnkey & Personnel Services Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 15/2

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth India Gold (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Seadell Shops & Holiday Chalets Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 15 ran 13th 12/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Als Dawn (GB)J: Tyler Heard Each Way Extra At bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 6 ran 6th 250/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Miss Mambo (IRE)J: Benoit de la Sayette Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 10th 12/1

08 Oct 26 Bath Court Drive (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Mj Church Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 6/1

08 Oct 26 Bath Als Dawn (GB)J: Tyler Heard Seat Unique EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 12th 400/1

08 Oct 26 Bath Faster Love (GB)J: Jack Mitchell EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Good · 7 ran 7th 100/1

06 Oct 26 Brighton King David (IRE)J: Charles Bishop Matchbook Monthly Bet- Builder Rebate Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 9/1

28 Sep 26 Brighton King David (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Play Your Multiples At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 5th 11/2

24 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Court Drive (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 5/1

16 Sep 26 Yarmouth Court Drive (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Eastern Power Systems Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 3/1F

07 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Miss Mambo (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Call 01902 390016 To Name A Race Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 5/2F

01 Sep 26 Brighton King David (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Download The Matchbook App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 2/1F

01 Sep 26 Brighton Twilight Baby (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At matchbook.com Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 10/1

30 Aug 26 Yarmouth Court Drive (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Bodhi Solutions - Facilities Management Front Runner Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 5/2J

24 Aug 26 Brighton King David (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Streamline Taxis Always Going The Distance Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 2nd 16/1

11 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) King David (IRE)J: Toby Moore Follow @AtTheRaces On Instagram Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 13/2

06 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Court Drive (IRE)J: Jack Callan Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 8 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Gay Kelleway's strike rate?: Gay Kelleway has won 70 of 691 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Gay Kelleway do best at?: Yarmouth by strike rate: 8 wins from 43 runners (18.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Gay Kelleway?: Luke Morris, with 111 runners since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (11.7%).
Is Gay Kelleway in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Gay Kelleway's Fair A/E?: 1.11, from 683 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.