What is Alexis Mercurol's strike rate?

Alexis Mercurol has won 27 of 208 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 13% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alexis Mercurol do best at?

Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 15 wins from 111 rides (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Alexis Mercurol's Fair A/E?

1.25, from 149 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Alexis Mercurol

208 rides in the lifetime window · 140 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2016 95% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

27–208

Wins / Runs

13%

Strike rate

n=208

49 (24%)

Placed

1.25

Fair A/E

n=149 · 1.32 incl. margin

+60.60

£1 level stake

n=161 at SP · +37.6%

£754k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.25). When claiming the record reads 32% (34 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 208 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 16.9% Claiming: 32.4%

The read

It is weakest at Enghien (FR) (3.4% over 58 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Claiming rides have been a positive signal at 32.4% (n=34, Fair A/E 2.14), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.4% (n=74, Fair A/E 1.40). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 11.5% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.21 and +57.40 to a £1 stake over 139 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The rider also read well off a 61-180-day break (20.5%, n=39) and in Chase races (17.6%, n=74). The record read poorly on Heavy going — 9.2% over 65 rides, 3.8pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Le Parisien - Grande Course De Haies De Printemps Handicap) at Auteuil (FR) (May 2010, £61,726).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

11.5%−1.5

n=139 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +57.40

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

24%+11.0

n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

16.9%+3.9

n=71 · A/E 1.05 · £1 +43.80

When favourite

37.5%

n=8 · A/E 1.09 · £1 +11.40

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

32.4%+19.4

n=34 · A/E 2.14 · £1 +6.80

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.4%−7.6

n=74 · A/E 1.40 · £1 −10.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.5%−0.5

n=24 · A/E 4.39 · £1 +33.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

When claiming 32.4% vs 13% · n=34

With P Lenogue 29% vs 13% · n=31

At Enghien (FR) 3.4% vs 13% · n=58

Off a 61-180-day break 20.5% vs 13% · n=39

In Chase races 17.6% vs 13% · n=74

On Heavy going 9.2% vs 13% · n=65

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 124 14 11.3% +10.90

Chase 74 13 17.6% +53.70

Flat 10 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 125 15 12% +57.20

Heavy 65 6 9.2% −0.30

Good to Soft 11 3 27.3% +3.70

Good 6 2 33.3% —

Good to Firm 1 1 100% —

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 111 15 13.5% +6.30

Enghien (FR) 58 2 3.4% −4.30

Lyon Parilly 5 1 20% +0.50

Vichy 3 0 0% −1.00

Nimes 2 1 50% +14.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer 2 0 0% −1.00

Moulins 2 0 0% −1.00

Paray-Le-Monial 2 0 0% —

Vittel 2 0 0% —

Compiegne 2 1 50% −1.00

Hyeres 2 1 50% +3.20

Pau 2 0 0% −2.00

Dieppe 2 0 0% −2.00

Nantes 1 1 100% —

Angers 1 1 100% +50.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 24 3 12.5% +33.30

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 8 3 37.5% 1.09 +11.40

2nd–3rd fav 16 3 18.8% 0.63 +45.00

4th–6th fav 31 3 9.7% 1.49 +11.80

7th+ in betting 106 4 3.8% 1.50 −7.60

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

73.2% completed · 198 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 74 81.1% 6 0 8 0 0

Hurdle 124 68.5% 2 0 31 0 6

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Agence De L'Isle (FR) 7 1 2 22 May 15

Tiger Sy (FR) 5 0 2 12 Apr 16

Numero Special (FR) 5 1 2 13 Nov 11

Trita Bella (FR) 5 1 3 14 May 10

Lake World (FR) 4 1 2 20 Oct 12

Labeille (FR) 4 4 4 4 Jul 11

Ristabad (FR) 4 3 4 22 Mar 09

Superburg (FR) 3 1 1 9 Sep 16

Ulbery (FR) 3 0 0 10 Nov 15

Ardetone (FR) 3 1 2 16 Mar 14

Saintel (FR) 3 0 1 20 Oct 12

Triangle D'Or (FR) 3 0 0 22 Apr 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 140 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

00327519670902033

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardP Lenogue

15% of all rides
29% SR · A/E 0.91

TrainerRWSR£1

P Lenogue 31 9 29% −1.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£775k

Prize money

2011

Best season · 7 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Unidentified Thief (FR) — Prix Le Parisien - Grande Course De Haies De Printemps (Hurdle) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2010 · Grade 3

£61,726

Numero Special (FR) — Prix Rigoletto (Chase) () (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Jun 2010 · Listed

£48,850

Lake World (FR) — Prix Violon II (Chase) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Sep 2011 · Listed

£40,733

Notable horses

Labeille (FR) Ristabad (FR) Agence De L'Isle (FR) Kalif De L'Orme (FR) Numero Special (FR) Trita Bella (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Discover D'Auteuil (FR) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 10.2% of 954 runs since 2008 (87 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 18.4% from 103. Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 408. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13.3% from 195.

Secret Singer (FR) 12.5% · 1–8

Progeny have won 10% of 617 runs since 2009 (72 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13.5% from 148.

Dom Alco (FR) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 17.1% of 1,831 runs since 2008 (159 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 21.5% from 326. Weakest on Good going: 14.1% from 389.

Le Triton (USA) 28.6% · 2–7

Progeny have won 9.4% of 384 runs since 2008 (58 horses).

Nikos (GB) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 12.9% of 628 runs since 2008 (57 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 17.7% from 130. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.8% from 147.

Ballingarry (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 10.4% of 2,432 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.4% from 125.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 216 · newest first

The latest 50 of 216 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 December 2006 to 11 September 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Sep 16 Lyon Parilly (FR) Attalco (FR)T: S Culin Prix Ucello II (Chase)20.5f · Good To Soft · 3 ran 1st 1/2F

09 Sep 16 Auteuil (FR) Superburg (FR)T: S Culin Prix Gelas (Chase) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 18 ran 7th 237/10

06 Jun 16 Auteuil (FR) Carrieriste (FR)T: E Vagne Prix Trinidad (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 18 ran 12th 115/10

04 May 16 Auteuil (FR) Carrieriste (FR)T: E Vagne Prix Vanille (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo Fillies) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran 4th 6/1

12 Apr 16 Enghien (FR) Tiger Sy (FR)T: A Sannier Prix Necor (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 18 ran 7th 63/10

19 Mar 16 Auteuil (FR) Utathou (FR)T: E Vagne Prix Lilium (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 18 ran 6th 34/1

07 Mar 16 Enghien (FR) Superburg (FR)T: Mme J Laurent-Joye Prix Avranchin (Chase) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)17f · Very Soft · 8 ran 4th 28/1

28 Feb 16 Hyeres Fire Burg (FR)T: Mme J Laurent-Joye Prix Paul Klein (Hurdle)19f · Heavy · 3 ran 2nd —

16 Feb 16 Toulouse Kenzo (GER)T: U Stech Prix Fineau (Hurdle)17.5f · Heavy · 4 ran 3rd 11/1

30 Jan 16 Pau (FR) Castor Solaire (FR)T: Mlle I Gallorini Prix de Laruns (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 17 ran 9th 26/1

22 Nov 15 Auteuil (FR) Tiger Sy (FR)T: A Sannier Prix Leon Olry-Roederer (Hurdle) (5yo+) (Turf)21.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 8th 132/1

10 Nov 15 Enghien (FR) Ulbery (FR)T: E Vagne Prix des Coudraies (Chase) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)18.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran 8th 76/1

08 Nov 15 Auteuil (FR) Tiger Sy (FR)T: A Sannier Prix Mondeville (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 17 ran 3rd 15/1

04 Nov 15 Enghien (FR) Baguette Magique (FR)T: E Vagne Prix Cerilly (Chase) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 12 ran F 192/10

04 Nov 15 Enghien (FR) Belle Des Boulats (FR)T: E Vagne Prix la Fregate (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo Fillies) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 6th 197/10

25 Oct 15 Paray-Le-Monial Bourbon Jaq (FR)T: C Provot Prix Telephone Store (Prix Ucello II) (Cross Country)22.5f · Good To Soft · 3 ran 3rd —

26 Sep 15 Auteuil (FR) Ulbery (FR)T: E Vagne Prix Violon II (Chase) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 16 ran 10th 76/1

22 May 15 Auteuil (FR) Agence De L'Isle (FR)T: E Vagne Prix Jasmin II (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo Non-Thoroughbreds) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 7 ran 7th 13/1

13 Apr 15 Hyeres Superburg (FR)T: Mme J Laurent-Joye Prix Colonel Jean Pepin (Hurdle) (Turf)17.5f · Good To Soft · 3 ran 1st 16/5

14 Mar 15 Auteuil (FR) Tiger Sy (FR)T: A Sannier Prix Lilium (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 19 ran 13th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alexis Mercurol's strike rate?: Alexis Mercurol has won 27 of 208 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 13% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alexis Mercurol do best at?: Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 15 wins from 111 rides (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Alexis Mercurol's Fair A/E?: 1.25, from 149 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.