F Vermeulen
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.81). New recruits from other yards win at 13% first time out (39 runs).
It is weakest at Chantilly (FR) (4% over 75 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 12.8% (n=39, Fair A/E 1.76), but debutants struggle at 2.8% (n=72, Fair A/E 0.32). Aurelien Lemaitre rides 22% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.8%, A/E 0.61). The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (11.4%, n=44). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 3.1% over 65 runners, 4.5pts below the baseline. 21 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Prix Marcel Boussac - Criterium des Pouliches at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2018, £202,265). The stable star of the record: Prophets Pride (GB) — 7 wins from 22 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2007→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,127 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,127 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 February 2007 to 16 September 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is F Vermeulen's strike rate?
- F Vermeulen has won 24 of 316 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does F Vermeulen do best at?
- Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 8 wins from 84 runners (9.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for F Vermeulen?
- Aurelien Lemaitre, with 69 runners since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (5.8%).
- What is F Vermeulen's Fair A/E?
- 0.81, from 316 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.