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Jockey profile

Arnaud Duchene

367 rides in the lifetime window · 217 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride May 2019 98% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
44–367
Wins / Runs
12%
Strike rate
n=367
119 (32%)
Placed
0.86
Fair A/E
n=332 · 0.82 incl. margin
−22.03
£1 level stake
n=361 at SP · −6.1%
£2.47m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.86). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (40 rides). Rode mostly for G Macaire — 43% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 367 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Apr–May Fresh horses: 14.9% 41.5% when favourite G Macaire: 20.3% from 158 First rides: 12.4% LTO winners: 17.5% Rode the favourite in 14% of races
The read

It is weakest at Auteuil (FR) (8.6% over 255 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.5% (n=40, Fair A/E 0.68), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6.5% (n=93, Fair A/E 0.98). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 8.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.69 and −37.03 to a £1 stake over 102 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. G Macaire supplied 43% of the rides and beats the rider's average (20.3% vs 12%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record read poorly on Heavy going — 8.4% over 107 rides, 3.6pts below the baseline. 19 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Grand Prix d'Automne at Auteuil (FR) (Nov 2005, £95,745). Seasonally, the rider fired Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
12.4%+0.4
n=217 · A/E 1.03 · £1 +55.77
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
17.5%+5.5
n=40 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −24.93
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
14.9%+2.9
n=101 · A/E 1.05 · £1 +35.50
When favourite
41.5%
n=53 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −1.73
Big fields · 14+ runners
6.5%−5.5
n=93 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −13.90
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
8.8%−3.2
n=102 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −37.03

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With G Macaire 20.3% vs 12% · n=158
With L Viel 3.2% vs 12% · n=31
With debutants 7.1% vs 12% · n=70
On last-time-out winners 17.5% vs 12% · n=40
At Auteuil (FR) 8.6% vs 12% · n=255
On Heavy going 8.4% vs 12% · n=107
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 194 22 11.3% +36.60
Chase 166 19 11.4% −58.93
Flat 7 3 42.9% +0.30

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 248 31 12.5% +32.27
Heavy 107 9 8.4% −53.30
Good to Soft 7 2 28.6% −1.30
Good 5 2 40% +0.30

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 255 22 8.6% +8.07
Enghien (FR) 60 8 13.3% −26.80
Compiegne 17 2 11.8% −12.30
Bordeaux Le Bouscat 4 1 25% +3.70
Toulouse 4 1 25% −0.90
Lyon Parilly 3 1 33.3% −1.60
Pau 3 1 33.3% +1.00
Marseille Borely 3 3 100% +3.00
Strasbourg 2 0 0% −2.00
Angouleme 2 0 0% —
Chateaubriant 2 0 0% −2.00
Craon 2 1 50% +1.00
Vittel 2 1 50% +2.60
Dax 2 1 50% +0.00
Nancy 1 1 100% —

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 102 9 8.8% −37.03

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 54 22 40.7% 0.98 −2.73
2nd–3rd fav 90 11 12.2% 0.72 −25.10
4th–6th fav 96 4 4.2% 0.52 −45.30
7th+ in betting 121 6 5% 1.53 +51.10
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81.1% completed · 360 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 166 77.7% 19 2 14 0 2
Hurdle 194 84% 2 0 24 0 5
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Saint Pistol (FR) 14 1 4 19 May 19
D'Accord D'Accord (FR) 8 1 3 23 Jun 17
Buddy Banks (FR) 7 2 4 2 Apr 16
Petillo (FR) 6 2 4 22 Nov 15
Pierrot Bay (FR) 6 1 4 4 May 11
Monsieur Co (FR) 5 1 1 7 Nov 16
Poly Grandchamp (FR) 4 0 1 17 Apr 19
Storm Of Saintly (FR) 4 2 4 27 Nov 16
Orbasa (FR) 4 1 1 10 Sep 15
Cardline (FR) 4 0 0 19 Apr 15
Latyle (FR) 4 1 1 12 Sep 14
Auenwirbel (GER) 4 2 3 5 Sep 14
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 217 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
33331016147·20183520
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardG Macaire
43% of all rides
20.3% SR · A/E 1.02
TrainerRWSR£1
G Macaire 158 32 20.3% +20.47
T Trapenard 51 4 7.8% +19.20
L Viel 31 1 3.2% −8.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
60
Archived wins
19
Pattern / graded wins
£3.33m
Prize money
2014
Best season · 14 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Millenium Royal (FR) — Grand Prix d'Automne (Hurdle) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2005 · Grade 1
£95,745
Saint Pistol (FR) — Prix du President de la Republique (Chase) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2015 · Grade 3
£78,488
Storm Of Saintly (FR) — Prix Ingre (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2014 · Grade 3
£60,000
Notable horses
Kasbah Bliss (FR) Buddy Banks (FR) Millenium Royal (FR) Petillo (FR) Auenwirbel (GER) Storm Of Saintly (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Saint Des Saints (FR) 16.7% · 7–42
Progeny have won 15% of 5,359 runs since 2008 (643 horses).
Kapgarde (FR) 15.8% · 3–19
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,634 runs since 2008 (725 horses).
Poliglote (GB) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 15.6% of 4,224 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 234. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19% from 691. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 196.
Sholokhov (IRE) 31.6% · 6–19
Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,273 runs since 2008 (422 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.
Martaline (GB) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,347 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.
Turgeon (USA) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 12.3% of 3,189 runs since 2008 (341 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 268.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 459 · newest first

The latest 50 of 459 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 March 2005 to 19 May 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 May 19 Auteuil (FR) Saint Pistol (FR)T: L Viel Zeturf Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris (5yo+) (Turf)30f · Very Soft · 19 ran UR 66/1
17 Apr 19 Auteuil (FR) Poly Grandchamp (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix William Head (Chase) () (5yo+) (Turf)23.5f · Very Soft · 8 ran 8th 4/1
09 Jun 18 Auteuil (FR) Bob And Co (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix la Barka (Hurdle) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 12 ran 5th 12/1
04 Jun 18 Auteuil (FR) Roadvision (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix Caldarium (Chase) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)18.5f · Very Soft · 8 ran 7th 11/5F
04 Jun 18 Auteuil (FR) Aragorn D'Alalia (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix Jean Victor (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 16 ran F 22/5
03 Jun 18 Dax Dustin Des Mottes (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix M. De Lalande (Hurdle)19f · Soft · 3 ran 1st EvensF
10 Apr 18 Compiegne (FR) Bambinette Beatrix (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix du Finistere (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)16f · Heavy · 8 ran 3rd 33/10
07 Apr 18 Auteuil (FR) Roi Mage (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix Murat (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 7 ran 4th 57/10
07 Apr 18 Auteuil (FR) Liffey (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix de Saint-Maixent (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran 8th 14/1
07 Apr 18 Auteuil (FR) Royal Et Tic (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix Grandak (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo unraced over hurdles/fences) (Turf)15f · Very Soft · 13 ran 4th 9/1
03 Apr 18 Compiegne (FR) Balkan Du Pecos (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix Journaliste (Chase) () (5yo+) (Turf)20.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 3rd 16/1
03 Apr 18 Compiegne (FR) Sagaline (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix des Cadettes (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)16f · Heavy · 6 ran 2nd 11/2
28 Mar 18 Compiegne (FR) Seltot (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix Etienne Balsan (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 12 ran 6th 12/5F
28 Mar 18 Compiegne (FR) Dulsao (FR)T: Patrice Quinton Prix des Benjamins (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)16f · Heavy · 7 ran PU 16/1
25 Mar 18 Auteuil (FR) Kapeloi (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix le Touquet (Chase) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 20/1
25 Mar 18 Auteuil (FR) Santa Diana (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix Alain Grimaux (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 12 ran 3rd 53/10
25 Mar 18 Auteuil (FR) Domisana (POL)T: R Chatel Prix Auricula (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Fillies unraced over hurdles/fences) (Turf)15f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 11/1
26 Nov 17 Auteuil (FR) Vauquoise (FR)T: E Lecoiffier Prix Andre Michel (Hurdle) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 13 ran 8th 247/10
18 Nov 17 Auteuil (FR) Baljaman (FR)T: J Bertran De Balanda Prix Elseneur (Chase) (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran F 72/1
05 Nov 17 Auteuil (FR) Turkey Jackson (FR)T: Frederic Sanchez Prix Mondeville (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 17 ran 5th 233/10

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Arnaud Duchene's strike rate?
Arnaud Duchene has won 44 of 367 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Arnaud Duchene do best at?
Enghien (FR) by strike rate: 8 wins from 60 rides (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Arnaud Duchene ride most for?
G Macaire, with 158 rides since 2008 — 43% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (20.3%).
What is Arnaud Duchene's Fair A/E?
0.86, from 332 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).