What is M Seror's strike rate?

M Seror has won 162 of 1,649 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does M Seror do best at?

Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 8 wins from 69 runners (11.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for M Seror?

Kevin Nabet, with 195 runners since 2022 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (12.3%).

In the last 14 days: 38 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 5.3%. That is below the baseline of 9.8% since 2022.

What is M Seror's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 1,643 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

M Seror

1,649 runners in the last 5 seasons · 375 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 2.3% of 616 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

from 1 Jan 2022

162–1,649

Wins / Runs

9.8%

Strike rate

n=1,649

493 (30%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=1,643 · 0.82 incl. margin

−273.01

£1 level stake

n=1,647 at SP · −16.6%

£8.86m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 330 runners a season, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). The yard is quiet just now — 2 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,649 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 32.9% when favourite Kevin Nabet: 12.3% from 195 New recruits: 10.2% Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 6.4% (n=234, Fair A/E 0.80). A horse in first-time headgear are the standout value angle: 10.8% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.18 and +23.50 to a £1 stake over 176 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 6.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −161.10 to a £1 stake over 430 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 2 from 38 runners in the last 14 days (5.3%, 4.5pts below the 9.8% baseline). Kevin Nabet rides 12% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.3% vs 9.8%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (17.3%, n=81). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 6.2% over 615 runners, 3.6pts below the baseline. 40 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix du President de la Republique Handicap) at Auteuil (FR) (Apr 2026, £91,957). The stable star of the record: Le Roi David (FR) — 6 wins from 37 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.5%−2.3

n=425 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −186.70

New recruits · first run for the yard

10.2%+0.4

n=118 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +14.70

Debutants · first career start

6.4%−3.4

n=234 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −11.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.8%+1.0

n=176 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +23.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.1%−2.7

n=56 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −40.70

When favourite

32.9%

n=149 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +0.56

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.6%−2.2

n=343 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −151.20

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.5%−3.3

n=430 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −161.10

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Good to Soft going 17.3% vs 9.8% · n=81

On last-time-out winners 16.3% vs 9.8% · n=147

With D Ubeda 3.2% vs 9.8% · n=63

On Heavy going 6.2% vs 9.8% · n=615

With Bastien Marchand 3.2% vs 9.8% · n=31

With A Zuliani 5% vs 9.8% · n=100

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,011 87 8.6% −260.21

Chase 357 43 12% −57.95

Flat 276 32 11.6% +50.15

NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 826 93 11.3% −106.06

Heavy 615 38 6.2% −242.00

Standard (AW) 90 10 11.1% +7.80

Good to Soft 81 14 17.3% +77.95

Good 21 5 23.8% −0.40

Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 865 82 9.5% −169.06

Compiegne (FR) 266 25 9.4% −43.60

Clairefontaine (FR) 92 6 6.5% −39.80

Chantilly 78 7 9% −14.50

Saint-Cloud (FR) 69 8 11.6% −1.10

Longchamp (FR) 49 5 10.2% +55.60

Dieppe (FR) 46 5 10.9% −12.10

Deauville (FR) 44 5 11.4% +3.70

Fontainebleau (FR) 42 4 9.5% −22.30

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 35 4 11.4% −3.90

Strasbourg (FR) 10 4 40% +4.75

Pau (FR) 9 0 0% −9.00

Vittel (FR) 7 2 28.6% −0.30

Lyon Parilly (FR) 7 2 28.6% −2.60

Moulins (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 442 32 7.2% −94.60

Class 3 33 5 15.2% +9.00

Class 2 19 1 5.3% −14.50

Class 4 19 3 15.8% −12.40

Class 5 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 160 50 31.3% 1.19 −6.44

2nd–3rd fav 389 50 12.9% 0.85 −121.97

4th–6th fav 517 32 6.2% 0.76 −209.60

7th+ in betting 581 30 5.2% 1.42 +65.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.1% completed · 1,362 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 355 84.2% 26 8 21 1 0

Hurdle 1,007 84.1% 36 8 115 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Le Roi David (FR) 37 6 13 26 Sep 26

Lovely Angel (FR)then M Drean 30 3 14 28 Oct 25

Rock And Roll (FR)from Simone Brogi 27 3 12 17 Oct 26

Jour Polaire (FR)from F-H Graffard 27 4 8 26 Aug 26

Jost (FR) 25 3 10 12 Oct 26

Jouvancelle (FR) 21 2 7 26 Aug 26

Rooster Crowing (FR) 20 1 4 22 Jul 26

Ventura Highway (FR)then Gary & Josh Moore 19 2 5 16 Nov 25

Imbatable Du Seuil (FR) 19 2 9 18 Oct 25

Great Feeling (FR) 19 0 2 28 Sep 24

Kel Story (FR)from Hugo Merienne 18 2 6 17 Oct 26

Kaline Des Boullat (FR) 17 3 5 26 Aug 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 375 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from F-H Graffard (2) and Olly Murphy (2); 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard; 52 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

2 from 38 5.3% · −4.5pts vs baseline

Last 14 days5.3%

5-season base9.8%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

71071010101261310611

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderKevin Nabet

12% of all rides
12.3% SR · A/E 1.08

RiderRWSR£1

Kevin Nabet 195 24 12.3% −50.80

A Madamet 150 18 12% +10.50

Baptiste Le Clerc 141 11 7.8% −13.50

J Phelippe 127 17 13.4% +30.23

Nathan Howie 111 9 8.1% −58.20

Bryony Frost 104 12 11.5% +50.80

A Zuliani 100 5 5% −41.70

L Philipperon 99 13 13.1% −1.27

D Ubeda 63 2 3.2% −56.40

Johnny Charron 56 5 8.9% −35.90

Felix De Giles 50 6 12% −22.50

Mlle Sarah Boulet 37 2 5.4% −14.60

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

258

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£12.7m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 55 wins

Keyreine Du Seuil (FR) — Prix du President de la Republique (Chase) Handicap) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2026 · Grade 3

£91,957

Altura (FR) — Prix Jean Stern (Chase) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2025 · Grade 2

£87,397

Kalibre (FR) — Prix Montgomery (Groupe Iii) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2026 · Class 1

£68,400

Notable horses

Le Roi David (FR) Golden Park (FR) Hextrawel Du Porto (FR) Jour Polaire (FR) Dandy Du Seuil (FR) Champenoise (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Doctor Dino (FR) 13.6% · 8–59

Progeny have won 15.9% of 3,176 runs since 2008 (488 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.7% from 553. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.5% from 211. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 689. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.8% from 137.

Galiway (GB) 11.5% · 6–52

Progeny have won 11.3% of 1,692 runs since 2008 (282 horses). Strongest on Good going: 15.7% from 261. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.8% from 383. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 18.8% from 223. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.5% from 474.

Bathyrhon (GER) 14.3% · 7–49

Progeny have won 12.3% of 1,165 runs since 2008 (185 horses).

Jeu St Eloi (FR) 10.6% · 5–47

Progeny have won 13.9% of 787 runs since 2008 (151 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 20% from 120.

American Devil (FR) 9.3% · 4–43

Progeny have won 7.8% of 540 runs since 2008 (78 horses).

Goliath Du Berlais (FR) 18.9% · 7–37

Progeny have won 16.2% of 407 runs since 2008 (114 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 23.1% from 108.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,995 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,995 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 May 2010 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Bancaster (FR)J: Baptiste Le Clerc Prix Jumna18f · Heavy · 10 ran 3rd 5/2J

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Tajmaly (FR)J: Ludovic Philipperon Prix Falzarego17f · Heavy · 9 ran 2nd 3/1

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Cignataire (FR)J: Joel Phelippe Prix De Saint-raphael17f · Heavy · 12 ran 3rd 10/1

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Tacticien (FR)J: Joel Phelippe Prix Vertige17f · Heavy · 6 ran 4th 5/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Vanta (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Casimir Delamarre9f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 9/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Lestru (FR)J: Arthur Duvacher Prix Ferdinand RiantClass 2 · 22f · Heavy · 9 ran 5th 14/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Mossy Walsh (IRE)J: Arthur Duvacher Prix Soulange-bodin21.5f · Heavy · 18 ran 9th 5/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) For Friendship (FR)J: Joel Phelippe Prix Soulange-bodin21.5f · Heavy · 18 ran 2nd 7/2F

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Olga De Kiev (FR)J: Ludovic Philipperon Prix Pierre De LassusClass 1 · 19.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 16/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Maharaja (FR)J: Baptiste Le Clerc Prix Pierre De LassusClass 1 · 19.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 14/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Lewis Du Seuil (FR)J: Baptiste Le Clerc Prix Adrien BesnouinClass 2 · 18f · Heavy · 13 ran 5th 22/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Rock And Roll (FR)J: Joel Phelippe Prix Prince D'ecouen - Grand Handicap D'automneClass 1 · 21.5f · Heavy · 18 ran PU 12/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Kel Story (FR)J: Ludovic Philipperon Prix Prince D'ecouen - Grand Handicap D'automneClass 1 · 21.5f · Heavy · 18 ran 6th 5/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Victrix Du Mesnil (FR)J: Baptiste Le Clerc Prix OrcadaClass 1 · 22f · Heavy · 7 ran F 7/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Nelson Du Seuil (FR)J: Ludovic Philipperon Prix Isopani18f · Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 11/2

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Mon Comedien (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Des Boucles De La Seine10f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 5th 6/1

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Victorstrung (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Guemul8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 16/1

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Glori Leader (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix De Bolivar12f · Good To Soft · 14 ran PU 11/4F

12 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Magic Trillion (FR)J: Ludovic Philipperon Prix Henry Maze-sencier17.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 6th 13/8F

12 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Goodness Gracious (FR)J: Joel Phelippe Prix Jean-jacques GuyonClass 3 · 17.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 3rd 6/5F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Seror's strike rate?: M Seror has won 162 of 1,649 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Seror do best at?: Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 8 wins from 69 runners (11.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M Seror?: Kevin Nabet, with 195 runners since 2022 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (12.3%).
Is M Seror in form?: In the last 14 days: 38 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 5.3%. That is below the baseline of 9.8% since 2022.
What is M Seror's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 1,643 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.