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Trainer profile

Francois Nicolle

1,385 runners in the last 5 seasons · 368 individual horses
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 3.4% of 293 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 25 Oct 2026.
Last runner yesterday 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
209–1,385
Wins / Runs
15.1%
Strike rate
n=1,385
522 (38%)
Placed
0.93
Fair A/E
n=1,371 · 0.78 incl. margin
−321.16
£1 level stake
n=1,378 at SP · −23.3%
£14.9m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
14.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 280 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 15% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.93). With a claiming rider up the record reads 23% (120 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,385 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 25 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Fresh horses: 15.2% 31% when favourite A Zuliani: 16.1% from 629 Claiming riders: 23.3% Sends off the favourite in 21% of races
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 23.3% (n=120, Fair A/E 1.42). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 12.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −242.40 to a £1 stake over 627 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. A Zuliani rides 45% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (16.1%, A/E 0.89). The record reads poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 11.3% over 302 runners, 3.8pts below the baseline. 267 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Le Defi des Haras - Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris at Auteuil (FR) (May 2025, £334,711). The stable star of the record: L'Autonomie (FR) — 16 wins from 26 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
15.2%+0.1
n=461 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −145.70
New recruits · first run for the yard
16.7%+1.6
n=12 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −2.50
Debutants · first career start
15.3%+0.2
n=262 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −4.60
First-time headgear · true-first definition
15.9%+0.8
n=239 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −16.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
22.2%+7.1
n=18 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +1.80
When favourite
31%
n=287 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −60.26
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
23.3%+8.2
n=120 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +31.20
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
12.8%−2.3
n=627 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −242.40

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Charly Prichard 27% vs 15.1% · n=37
With claiming riders up 23.3% vs 15.1% · n=120
With T Lemagnen 5.9% vs 15.1% · n=34
With Lucas Zuliani 7% vs 15.1% · n=43
With Kevin Nabet 19.8% vs 15.1% · n=131
Over 2m5f – 3m 11.3% vs 15.1% · n=302
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 784 116 14.8% −193.31
Chase 597 92 15.4% −128.35
Flat 4 1 25% +0.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 705 109 15.5% −109.59
Heavy 659 96 14.6% −207.45
Good 10 3 30% +4.38
Good to Soft 6 1 16.7% −3.50
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 991 151 15.2% −195.65
Compiegne (FR) 283 43 15.2% −79.40
Clairefontaine (FR) 31 5 16.1% −3.90
Pau (FR) 23 2 8.7% −17.70
Fontainebleau (FR) 11 1 9.1% −5.80
Dieppe (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Nantes (FR) 5 0 0% −4.00
La Teste De Buch (FR) 5 2 40% +0.00
Senonnes-Pouance (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Toulouse (FR) 4 1 25% −1.62
Saint-Malo (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Moulins (FR) 3 1 33.3% −1.09
Craon (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Aix-Les-Bains (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Angers (FR) 2 0 0% —

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 630 80 12.7% −245.40
Class 3 17 3 17.6% +0.38
Class 2 15 4 26.7% +45.25
Class 4 7 1 14.3% −4.50
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 301 90 29.9% 0.93 −71.16
2nd–3rd fav 470 80 17% 1.00 −98.30
4th–6th fav 419 27 6.4% 0.73 −162.90
7th+ in betting 188 11 5.9% 1.34 +11.20
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
82.2% completed · 1,380 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 596 79.7% 38 26 55 0 2
Hurdle 784 84.2% 28 9 86 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Kentucky Wood (FR) 25 3 10 24 Oct 26
Game Of Storm (FR) 23 9 16 24 Oct 26
Kyrov (FR) 23 5 13 17 Sep 26
Six One (FR) 22 3 11 27 Sep 25
Lecoeurdeshommes (FR) 16 4 6 30 May 26
Hermes Baie (FR) 15 5 11 23 Feb 26
La Manigance (FR) 15 4 8 19 May 24
Goliath Du Rheu (FR) 14 5 11 17 Oct 26
Japon (FR) 14 3 5 16 May 26
Olympic Story (FR) 13 5 9 24 Oct 26
Glorice (FR) 13 2 5 2 Oct 25
Gibralfaro (FR) 13 0 6 15 Jun 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 368 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 56 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 56 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 13
Only 13 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
02017151117141821101316
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderA Zuliani
45% of all rides
16.1% SR · A/E 0.89
RiderRWSR£1
A Zuliani 629 101 16.1% −155.56
Kevin Nabet 131 26 19.8% −18.70
Bertrand Lestrade 118 23 19.5% −24.50
Gwen Richard 70 11 15.7% −0.40
Theo Chevillard 70 8 11.4% −38.40
Lucas Zuliani 43 3 7% −28.60
Charly Prichard 37 10 27% +13.20
T Lemagnen 34 2 5.9% +5.30
Clement Lefebvre 30 3 10% −11.40
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
849
Archived wins
267
Pattern / graded wins
£49.5m
Prize money
2020
Best season · 105 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Diamond Carl (FR) — Le Defi des Haras - Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2025 · Grade 1
£334,711
Bipolaire (FR) — Prix La Haye Jousselin (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2017 · Grade 1
£211,538
Bipolaire (FR) — Prix la Haye Jousselin (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2019 · Grade 1
£210,811
Notable horses
L'Autonomie (FR) The Stomp (FR) De Bon Coeur (FR) Bipolaire (FR) Hermes Baie (FR) Alex De Larredya (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Cokoriko (FR) 26.5% · 30–113
Progeny have won 13.2% of 2,289 runs since 2008 (379 horses).
Doctor Dino (FR) 15.8% · 15–95
Progeny have won 15.9% of 3,188 runs since 2008 (490 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.7% from 553. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.5% from 211. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 691. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.
Saint Des Saints (FR) 11.3% · 7–62
Progeny have won 15.1% of 5,345 runs since 2008 (643 horses).
Jeu St Eloi (FR) 15.3% · 9–59
Progeny have won 13.9% of 792 runs since 2008 (152 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 19.8% from 121.
No Risk At All (FR) 15.1% · 8–53
Progeny have won 14.4% of 3,121 runs since 2008 (432 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.4% from 942.
Great Pretender (IRE) 21.3% · 10–47
Progeny have won 13% of 3,541 runs since 2008 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 25 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,560 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,560 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 May 2005 to 24 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Diamant Du Rheu (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix CerillyClass 1 · 17f · Heavy · 12 ran 2nd 9/2
24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Olympic Story (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix De BesanconClass 1 · 18f · Heavy · 8 ran 7th 9/2
24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Kentucky Wood (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Grand Steeple-chase De CompiegneClass 1 · 20.5f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 22/1
24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Game Of Storm (FR)J: Kevin Nabet Grand Steeple-chase De CompiegneClass 1 · 20.5f · Heavy · 10 ran F 7/4F
24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Boystone (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Dominique SartiniClass 1 · 18f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 14/1
24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Northman (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix VatelysClass 1 · 17f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 5/2J
24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Belle Gosse (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix De Beaune18f · Heavy · 15 ran UR 20/1
19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Non Conformiste (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix De Saint-raphael17f · Heavy · 12 ran 10th 5/1
17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Lord Brett (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Ferdinand RiantClass 2 · 22f · Heavy · 9 ran 1st 7/4F
17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Lacokokeldy (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix Heros XiiClass 1 · 22f · Heavy · 10 ran F 12/1
17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Goliath Du Rheu (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Heros XiiClass 1 · 22f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 11/8F
17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Marinello (FR)J: Tristan Lemagnen Prix OrcadaClass 1 · 22f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 33/1
17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Neuf Fois Sur Dix (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Isopani18f · Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 4/1
11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Micawber (FR)J: Tristan Lemagnen Prix BayonnetClass 1 · 22f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 12/1
11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Kingland (IRE)J: Kevin Nabet Prix Carmarthen (grade 3)Class 1 · 21.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 1st 2/1
11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Nom D'un Chien (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Georges De Talhouet-roy (grade 2)Class 1 · 18f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 33/1
11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Runnin'blue (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Magne (grade 3)Class 1 · 18f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 12/1
11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Lebrio Des Mottes (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Montgomery (Groupe Iii)Class 1 · 23.5f · Heavy · 16 ran PU 22/1
11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Nokia Des Mottes (FR)J: Tristan Lemagnen Prix NoiroClass 1 · 18f · Heavy · 8 ran 7th 40/1
11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Nalko Des Mottes (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix NoiroClass 1 · 18f · Heavy · 8 ran 2nd 2/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Francois Nicolle's strike rate?
Francois Nicolle has won 209 of 1,385 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 15.1% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Francois Nicolle do best at?
Clairefontaine (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 31 runners (16.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Francois Nicolle?
A Zuliani, with 629 runners since 2022 — 45% of the total. That pairing has won 101 (16.1%).
Is Francois Nicolle in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Francois Nicolle's Fair A/E?
0.93, from 1,371 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 25 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).