Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceFirst rides: 2.9%
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 1.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
2.9%+1.3
n=34 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −23.70
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−1.6
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−1.6
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
0%−1.6
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−1.6
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−1.6
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Over 2m1f – 2m4f1.8% vs 1.6% · n=57 · A/E 0.43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle4912%−39.70
Chase1200%−11.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Heavy3500%−35.00
Soft2414.2%−15.70
Good to Soft100%—
Good100%—
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR)3200%−32.00
Compiegne (FR)1100%−11.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR)6116.7%+1.30
Clairefontaine (FR)400%−4.00
Fontainebleau (FR)300%−3.00
Pau (FR)100%−1.00
Nancy (FR)100%—
Machecoul (FR)100%−1.00
Wissembourg (FR)100%—
Argentan (FR)100%—
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 1800%−8.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite100%0.00−1.00
2nd–3rd fav300%0.00−3.00
4th–6th fav1119.1%1.24−3.70
7th+ in betting4300%0.00−43.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f5711.8%−47.70
1m5f – 2m300%−3.00
2m5f – 3m100%—
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2022600%−5.00
20232000%−19.00
20242414.2%−16.70
20251000%−9.00
2026100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps1815.6%−10.70
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners2600%−24.00
11-13 runners1516.7%−7.70
14-16 runners1100%−11.00
17+ runners500%−5.00
5-7 runners400%−3.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 34 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Current form
significance-gated
Last 14 days
Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.
By month
strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0000000·00020
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Progeny have won 7.8% of 3,301 runs since 2008 (315 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 225. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.1% from 195.
Progeny have won 16% of 3,191 runs since 2008 (490 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.7% from 553. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.5% from 211. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.8% from 692. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,671 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.9% from 540. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 305. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 2.7% from 147.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 300 · newest first
The latest 50 of 300 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 April 2010 to 22 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Benoit Claudic's strike rate?
Benoit Claudic has won 1 of 61 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 1.6% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Benoit Claudic do best at?
Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 0 wins from 32 rides (0%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Benoit Claudic in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Benoit Claudic's Fair A/E?
0.42, from 58 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Benoit Claudic·SR 1.6%·A/E 0.42
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