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Trainer profile

Jean-Raymond Breton

106 runners in the last 5 seasons · 32 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 17 days ago 92% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
3–106
Wins / Runs
2.8%
Strike rate
n=106
18 (17%)
Placed
0.62
n=104 · 0.51 incl. margin
−74.30
£1 level stake
n=104 at SP · −71.4%
£247k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.62).

Deterministic profile computed from 106 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 3 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Jean-Baptiste Breton: 4.3% from 69 Claiming riders: 3.3%
The read

Jean-Baptiste Breton rides 65% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.3%, A/E 0.81). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.69 across 89 runners (3.4% strike, −57.30 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Predicateur at Auteuil (FR) (Mar 2025, £40,909).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.3%−0.5
n=44 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −37.20
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.8
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.8
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.8
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.3%+0.5
n=61 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −44.40
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
3.8%+1.0
n=26 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −10.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Heavy going 5.7% vs 2.8% · n=53
On Soft going 0% vs 2.8% · n=49
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 2.8% · n=46
With Jean-Baptiste Breton 4.3% vs 2.8% · n=69 · A/E 0.81
In Hurdle races 3.4% vs 2.8% · n=89 · A/E 0.69
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 89 3 3.4% −57.30
Chase 9 0 0% −9.00
Flat 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 53 3 5.7% −21.30
Soft 49 0 0% −49.00
Standard (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 64 3 4.7% −34.30
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 18 0 0% −18.00
Compiegne (FR) 10 0 0% −10.00
Chantilly (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Machecoul (FR) 2 0 0% —
Clairefontaine (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Dieppe (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Deauville (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 26 1 3.8% −10.90

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 9 2 22.2% 1.86 +5.60
4th–6th fav 21 0 0% 0.00 −21.00
7th+ in betting 73 1 1.4% 0.50 −57.90
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
64.3% completed · 98 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 9 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Hurdle 89 60.7% 2 0 32 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Reve De Prince (FR) 30 3 11 17 May 26
Igloo Igloo (FR)from G Chaignon 22 0 5 17 Oct 26
Cirano De Pail (FR)from N Milliere 8 0 2 14 Oct 23
Jolifou De Guye (FR)from Mathieu Pitart 4 0 0 10 Apr 25
Climatic (IRE)from Christopher Head 3 0 0 17 May 26
Klassaction Sivola (FR) 3 0 0 25 Jun 24
Hortelao Has (FR)from Francois Nicolle 3 0 0 11 Nov 23
Stetten (FR) 2 0 0 6 Jan 26
Soccia (IRE)from C Ferland 2 0 0 6 Jan 26
Chateau Yoghurt (FR)from F Head 2 0 0 14 Oct 23
All 32 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 32 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from F Vermeulen (2) and Mathieu Pitart (2); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00110000·00140
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
65% of all rides
4.3% SR · A/E 0.81
RiderRWSR£1
Jean-Baptiste Breton 69 3 4.3% −38.30
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
9
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£413k
Prize money
2016
Best season · 2 wins
Reve De Prince (FR) — Prix Predicateur (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (6yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Mar 2025 · Listed
£40,909
Reve De Prince (FR) — Prix Mondeville (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2023
£24,690
Reve De Prince (FR) — Prix Lilium (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Mar 2024
£24,261

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Prince Gibraltar (FR) 10% · 3–30
Progeny have won 9.4% of 880 runs since 2019 (130 horses).
Gemix (FR) 0% · 0–22
Progeny have won 10.3% of 728 runs since 2019 (124 horses).
Kapgarde (FR) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,629 runs since 2008 (725 horses).
Saint Des Saints (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 15% of 5,356 runs since 2008 (643 horses).
Willywell (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.4% of 149 runs since 2017 (31 horses).
No Risk At All (FR) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 14.3% of 3,144 runs since 2016 (438 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.5% from 949.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 250 · newest first

The latest 50 of 250 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 April 2013 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jean-Raymond Breton's strike rate?
Jean-Raymond Breton has won 3 of 106 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.8% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jean-Raymond Breton do best at?
Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 3 wins from 64 runners (4.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Jean-Raymond Breton?
Jean-Baptiste Breton, with 69 runners since 2022 — 65% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (4.3%).
What is Jean-Raymond Breton's Fair A/E?
0.62, from 104 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).