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Trainer profile

J Carayon

185 runners in the last 5 seasons · 42 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 33 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)
from 1 Jan 2022
9–185
Wins / Runs
4.9%
Strike rate
n=185
31 (17%)
Placed
0.95
Fair A/E
n=185 · 0.79 incl. margin
−76.00
£1 level stake
n=185 at SP · −41.1%
£382k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.95).

Deterministic profile computed from 185 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
The read

The record is strongest at Deauville (AW) (8.3%, n=36), clear of the yard's 4.9% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.9% (n=53, Fair A/E 0.37). The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (9.9%, n=71). The market has also underrated the yard over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 1.22 across 68 runners (7.4% strike, +3.10 to a £1 stake).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.9%−3.0
n=53 · A/E 0.37 · £1 −35.80
New recruits · first run for the yard
13.3%+8.4
n=15 · A/E 2.45 · £1 +21.20
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.9
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.9
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −0.60
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.6%−1.3
n=28 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −10.80
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.9
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 9.9% vs 4.9% · n=71
At Deauville (AW) 8.3% vs 4.9% · n=36
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 7.4% vs 4.9% · n=68
At Saint-Cloud (FR) 2.3% vs 4.9% · n=43
On Standard (AW) going 7.3% vs 4.9% · n=55
Off a 61-180-day break 2.6% vs 4.9% · n=38
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 137 7 5.1% −52.50
Hurdle 42 2 4.8% −17.50
Chase 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 63 2 3.2% −41.60
Standard (AW) 55 4 7.3% −7.80
Heavy 41 2 4.9% −16.50
Good to Soft 20 1 5% −4.10
Good 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Saint-Cloud (FR) 43 1 2.3% −27.10
Deauville (AW) 36 3 8.3% +5.60
Auteuil (FR) 30 2 6.7% −5.50
Chantilly (FR) 29 1 3.4% −23.40
Longchamp (FR) 22 1 4.5% −19.60
Compiegne (FR) 13 0 0% −13.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 9 0 0% −9.00
Dieppe (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Moulins (FR) 1 1 100% +18.00
Toulouse (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 20 0 0% −20.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.35 −0.60
2nd–3rd fav 17 3 17.6% 1.36 +3.70
4th–6th fav 39 1 2.6% 0.33 −29.90
7th+ in betting 126 4 3.2% 1.12 −49.20
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
You Rock (FR) 13 1 4 7 Mar 24
Diva Donna (FR) 12 1 4 16 Dec 23
Joey Up (FR)then Edouard Monfort 12 2 2 14 May 23
Clever Actress (FR)then Julien Phelippon 10 0 1 11 Mar 23
Forza (FR)from J-C Sarais 8 1 1 18 Oct 25
Venes (FR)then Mathieu Pitart 8 1 1 26 Dec 23
Azaba (FR) 8 0 3 6 Dec 23
Zanhowe (FR)from Hugo Merienne 7 0 1 4 May 26
Grand Balcon (FR)from J Merienne · then P Monfort 7 1 3 5 Jun 25
Ladelonette (FR)then J-C Sarais 7 0 0 3 Feb 25
Logos Jelois (FR)then V Devillars 7 0 0 7 Aug 22
Kiwicat (FR) 6 0 0 17 Sep 26
All 42 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 42 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from D Cottin (2) and J Merienne (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for I Endaltsev (2) and L Guilloux (2); 26 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
074130025000711
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Jerome Moutard 28 1 3.6% −12.10
Enzo Bonnet 19 1 5.3% −1.80
Alexis Pouchin 12 2 16.7% +21.80
Rosario Mangione 11 0 0% −11.00
Tony Piccone 8 0 0% −8.00
Thomas Trullier 6 0 0% −6.00
Benjamin Marie 6 0 0% −6.00
Theo Bachelot 6 1 16.7% −0.40
Christophe Soumillon 5 0 0% −5.00
Theo Chevillard 5 0 0% −5.00
Fabrice Veron 5 0 0% −5.00
Anthony Crastus 5 0 0% −5.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
20
Archived wins
£682k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 3 wins
Prima Perfect (FR) — Prix du Hong Kong Jockey Club (Handicap) (3yo) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2018
£24,336
Mohican (FR) — Prix Guy Hunault (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Mar 2025
£23,430
You Rock (FR) — Prix Flamant (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2020
£16,229
Notable horses
Joey Up (FR) You Rock (FR) Prima Perfect (FR) Diva Donna (FR) Godric (GB) Agapi Mia (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Whipper (USA) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,594 runs since 2008 (395 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.6% from 513. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.7% from 1,126.
Youmzain (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,738 runs since 2008 (211 horses).
Cima De Triomphe (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 11.2% of 329 runs since 2008 (45 horses).
Ectot (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8.6% of 604 runs since 2008 (102 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.9% from 202. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.5% from 179.
Intello (GER) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,471 runs since 2008 (389 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15% from 227. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 184.
Milanais (FR) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 5% of 218 runs since 2008 (30 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 405 · newest first

The latest 50 of 405 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 September 2015 to 17 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Sep 26 Dieppe (FR) Kiwicat (FR)J: Ludovic Boisseau Prix De PornichetClass 4 · 9f · Soft · 14 ran 5th 7/1
27 Jun 26 Deauville (AW) Habiba (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Bois des Bouleaux Handicap12.5f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 7th 14/1
18 Jun 26 Longchamp (FR) Habiba (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix Perplexite (Handicap) (Turf)11f · Good · 9 ran 7th 10/1
04 May 26 Compiegne (FR) Zanhowe (FR)J: Enzo Bonnet Prix Fils de Reine (Handicap Chase) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 14 ran 13th 53/1
02 May 26 Auteuil (FR) Kokin (FR)J: Dylan Ubeda Prix Arthur Veil-Picard (Conditions) (Hurdle) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran 7th 50/1
30 Apr 26 Longchamp (FR) Mayamar (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix de la Vieille Tour (Handicap) (Turf)12.5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 29/1
13 Apr 26 Auteuil (FR) Kokin (FR)J: Dylan Ubeda Prix du Vivarais (Conditions Hurdle) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 9 ran 8th 45/1
10 Apr 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Mayamar (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix du Parc de Becon (Handicap) (Turf)12f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 6th 15/1
10 Apr 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Kiwicat (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix du Chemin du Moulin (Handicap) (Turf)8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 12th 12/1
28 Mar 26 Auteuil (FR) Zanhowe (FR)J: Jordan Majorcryk Prix Colonel de la Horie - Chall. de l'Obst. Equinaxy (Handicap Chase) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 5th 12/1
28 Mar 26 Auteuil (FR) Royal Moon (FR)J: Theo Chevillard Prix Rose Or No (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 16 ran PU 57/1
19 Mar 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Kiwicat (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix du Petit Morin (Handicap) (Turf)7.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 8th 9/1
14 Mar 26 Auteuil (FR) Megamind (FR)J: Gauvain Faivre-Picon Prix Kashnil (Handicap Hurdle) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 53/1
11 Mar 26 Compiegne (FR) Royal Moon (FR)J: Theo Chevillard Prix Strada (Handicap Hurdle) (Fillies & Mares) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 15 ran 10th 37/1
23 Feb 26 Auteuil (FR) Mohican (FR)J: Enzo Bonnet Prix Juigne Hurdle) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 5th 68/1
23 Feb 26 Auteuil (FR) Kokin (FR)J: Dylan Ubeda Prix Rohan (Maiden Hurdle) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 15/1
06 Feb 26 Deauville (FR) Eridita Dover (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix du Chene de la Ferme de Socquentot (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 15 ran 13th 38/1
21 Jan 26 Chantilly (FR) Kiwicat (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix du Chemin de Chantilly (Handicap) (All Weather)8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 21/1
16 Jan 26 Deauville (FR) Eridita Dover (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix de Rugles (Handicap) (All Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 76/1
06 Jan 26 Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) Jubilation (FR)J: Enzo Bonnet Prix du Limousin (Conditions Hurdle) (Turf)17f · Very Soft · 13 ran 9th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J Carayon's strike rate?
J Carayon has won 9 of 185 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does J Carayon do best at?
Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 36 runners (8.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is J Carayon's Fair A/E?
0.95, from 185 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).