As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Aug 2007100% of rides on the flat
Archive record 2005–2007
No rides from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 21 May 2005 to 20 Aug 2007. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8%−0.6
n=50 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +43.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
6.7%−1.9
n=15 · A/E 1.44 · £1 −5.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On Standard (AW) going6.5% vs 8.6% · n=31
When claiming8% vs 8.6% · n=50 · A/E 1.15
In Flat races8.6% vs 8.6% · n=58 · A/E 1.19
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)3126.5%−15.00
Good to Firm9111.1%+58.00
Firm500%−5.00
Good500%−5.00
Soft4125%+5.00
Good to Soft2150%+9.00
Heavy200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW)1400%−14.00
Southwell (AW)10110%+0.00
Wolverhampton (AW)7114.3%−1.00
Yarmouth500%−5.00
Brighton400%−4.00
Nottingham2150%+7.00
Bath2150%+65.00
Sandown200%−2.00
Lingfield200%−2.00
Newmarket100%−1.00
Newcastle100%−1.00
Leicester100%−1.00
Haydock100%−1.00
Folkestone100%−1.00
Epsom Downs11100%+10.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 62827.1%+49.00
Class 52229.1%−7.00
Class 7400%−4.00
Class 42150%+9.00
Class 2100%−1.00
Class 3100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite400%0.00−4.00
2nd–3rd fav6116.7%1.39+0.00
4th–6th fav19315.8%1.84+11.00
7th+ in betting2913.4%1.04+38.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f2114.8%+46.00
1m – 1m1f18422.2%+18.00
6f – 7f1400%−14.00
1m5f – 2m300%−3.00
Under 6f200%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20052129.5%−6.00
20063339.1%+55.00
2007400%−4.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps36411.1%+0.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners30310%+52.00
14-16 runners1417.1%−4.00
8-10 runners1218.3%−1.00
17+ runners100%−1.00
5-7 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 26 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, 2005–2007
JFMAMJJASOND
00·033001305000
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.
Progeny have won 11.1% of 54 runs since 2005 (5 horses).
Great Dane (IRE)14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 5.5% of 182 runs since 2005 (9 horses).
Danehill (USA)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 13.2% of 3,185 runs since 2005 (270 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 9.8% from 358. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 759. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 161.
Sri Pekan (USA)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,088 runs since 2005 (86 horses).
Beckett (IRE)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 5.1% of 761 runs since 2005 (73 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 8.1% from 124.
Grand Lodge (USA)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.6% of 4,249 runs since 2005 (326 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.2% from 910. Weakest on Heavy going: 2.6% from 195. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.7% from 169.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 58 · newest first
The latest 50 of 58 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 May 2005 to 20 August 2007.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Chris Cavanagh's strike rate?
Chris Cavanagh has won 5 of 58 rides between 2005 and 2007, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
What is Chris Cavanagh's Fair A/E?
1.19, from 58 rides with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2007. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Chris Cavanagh·SR 8.6%·A/E 1.19
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