No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
11–284
Wins / Runs
3.9%
Strike rate
n=284
61 (22%)
Placed
0.54
Fair A/E
n=283 · 0.44 incl. margin
−173.00
£1 level stake
n=284 at SP · −60.9%
£53,399
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 60 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.54).
Deterministic profile computed from 284 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFergus Sweeney: 4.4% from 91
The read
The record is strongest at Kempton (AW) (7%, n=71), clear of the yard's 3.9% baseline. Fergus Sweeney rode 32% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.4%, A/E 0.54). The record read poorly off a 8-14-day break — 0% over 76 runners, 3.9pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Lunar River (FR) — 5 wins from 72 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.8%+0.9
n=21 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +0.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
25%
n=8 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.6%−0.3
n=84 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −47.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break0% vs 3.9% · n=76
On Good going0% vs 3.9% · n=36
Over 1m5f – 2m0% vs 3.9% · n=30
At Kempton (AW)7% vs 3.9% · n=71
With James Rogers6.7% vs 3.9% · n=30
Off a 31-60-day break6.1% vs 3.9% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat269103.7%−168.00
Hurdle1417.1%−4.00
Chase100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)188105.3%−87.00
Good to Firm3812.6%−28.00
Good3600%−36.00
Good to Soft1000%−10.00
Soft800%−8.00
Firm300%−3.00
Heavy100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW)7157%−28.50
Wolverhampton (AW)5535.5%−19.00
Lingfield (AW)4924.1%−26.50
Bath1200%−12.00
Chelmsford (AW)1200%−12.00
Lingfield1100%−11.00
Goodwood900%−9.00
Warwick800%−8.00
Windsor800%−8.00
Newbury600%−6.00
Nottingham600%−6.00
Chepstow400%−4.00
Folkestone400%−4.00
Stratford400%−4.00
Sandown400%−4.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 614153.5%−76.50
Class 511643.4%−81.00
Class 42100%−21.00
Class 76233.3%+5.50
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite12216.7%0.88−1.00
2nd–3rd fav4137.3%0.54−24.50
4th–6th fav8633.5%0.44−59.50
7th+ in betting14532.1%0.51−88.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m – 1m1f9544.2%−57.50
6f – 7f8045%−37.50
1m2f – 1m4f6023.3%−39.00
1m5f – 2m3000%−30.00
Under 6f1100%−11.00
2m1f – 2m4f8112.5%+2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20088133.7%−65.00
20096723%−42.00
20106023.3%−31.50
20117045.7%−28.50
2012600%−6.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps241114.6%−130.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners14853.4%−101.50
14-16 runners6534.6%−39.00
8-10 runners5823.4%−29.50
5-7 runners700%−7.00
17+ runners5120%+5.00
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 16 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 16 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive; 7 had their first archived run for this yard.
6 have since run for another yard, most often for Henry Candy (4); 10 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
02014063346300
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
23
Archived wins
£96,420
Prize money
2007
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Tipsy Prince (GB) — Electrolux Handicap Newbury · Jul 2007 · Class 5
£3,562
Lunar River (FR) — Play Games At williamhillarcade.com Fillies' Handicap Lingfield (AW) · May 2007 · Class 6
£3,239
Gazboolou (GB) — Barrettstown Stud Handicap Kempton (AW) · Oct 2008 · Class 5
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,709 runs since 2008 (494 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.9% from 967.
Royal Applause (GB)5.4% · 3–56
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Fath (USA)7.7% · 3–39
Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,349 runs since 2008 (98 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.3% from 112. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.2% from 167.
Kyllachy (GB)0% · 0–33
Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.
Vettori (IRE)0% · 0–26
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,775 runs since 2008 (163 horses).
Great Dane (IRE)5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 4.9% of 61 runs since 2008 (2 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 454 · newest first
The latest 50 of 454 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 25 January 2012.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is David Pinder's strike rate?
David Pinder has won 11 of 284 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Pinder do best at?
Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 71 runners (7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for David Pinder?
Fergus Sweeney, with 91 runners since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (4.4%).
What is David Pinder's Fair A/E?
0.54, from 283 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
David Pinder·SR 3.9%·A/E 0.54
KTB
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