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Trainer profile

David Pinder

284 runners in the lifetime window · 16 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2012 95% of runners on the flat
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
11–284
Wins / Runs
3.9%
Strike rate
n=284
61 (22%)
Placed
0.54
Fair A/E
n=283 · 0.44 incl. margin
−173.00
£1 level stake
n=284 at SP · −60.9%
£53,399
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 60 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.54).

Deterministic profile computed from 284 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fergus Sweeney: 4.4% from 91
The read

The record is strongest at Kempton (AW) (7%, n=71), clear of the yard's 3.9% baseline. Fergus Sweeney rode 32% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.4%, A/E 0.54). The record read poorly off a 8-14-day break — 0% over 76 runners, 3.9pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Lunar River (FR) — 5 wins from 72 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.8%+0.9
n=21 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +0.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
25%
n=8 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.6%−0.3
n=84 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −47.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 0% vs 3.9% · n=76
On Good going 0% vs 3.9% · n=36
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 3.9% · n=30
At Kempton (AW) 7% vs 3.9% · n=71
With James Rogers 6.7% vs 3.9% · n=30
Off a 31-60-day break 6.1% vs 3.9% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 269 10 3.7% −168.00
Hurdle 14 1 7.1% −4.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 188 10 5.3% −87.00
Good to Firm 38 1 2.6% −28.00
Good 36 0 0% −36.00
Good to Soft 10 0 0% −10.00
Soft 8 0 0% −8.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 71 5 7% −28.50
Wolverhampton (AW) 55 3 5.5% −19.00
Lingfield (AW) 49 2 4.1% −26.50
Bath 12 0 0% −12.00
Chelmsford (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Lingfield 11 0 0% −11.00
Goodwood 9 0 0% −9.00
Warwick 8 0 0% −8.00
Windsor 8 0 0% −8.00
Newbury 6 0 0% −6.00
Nottingham 6 0 0% −6.00
Chepstow 4 0 0% −4.00
Folkestone 4 0 0% −4.00
Stratford 4 0 0% −4.00
Sandown 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 141 5 3.5% −76.50
Class 5 116 4 3.4% −81.00
Class 4 21 0 0% −21.00
Class 7 6 2 33.3% +5.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 12 2 16.7% 0.88 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 41 3 7.3% 0.54 −24.50
4th–6th fav 86 3 3.5% 0.44 −59.50
7th+ in betting 145 3 2.1% 0.51 −88.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lunar River (FR)from Ed Dunlop 59 4 17 18 Oct 11
Gazboolou (GB)from K R Burke · then Henry Candy 56 3 19 25 Jan 12
Woolston Ferry (IRE)from Mick Channon · then Henry Candy 39 3 11 25 Jan 12
Adage (GB)from Luca Cumani · then Jim Best 26 0 6 14 Dec 09
Danish Monarch (GB)then Andrew Haynes 19 1 3 16 Jun 09
Golden Brown (IRE) 16 0 2 27 Dec 08
Amber Heights (GB)then Henry Candy 10 0 2 7 Jan 12
Montmartre (USA)from Brian Meehan 10 0 0 25 Mar 10
House of Tudor (GB)from John Gosden 10 0 0 19 May 09
Dream Catcher (FR)from David Nicholls · then Henry Candy 9 0 0 23 Nov 11
Amber Mist (GB) 8 0 0 18 Nov 10
Bellaboolou (GB) 7 0 0 9 May 11
All 16 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 16 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive; 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Henry Candy (4); 10 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
02014063346300
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderFergus Sweeney
32% of all rides
4.4% SR · A/E 0.54
RiderRWSR£1
Fergus Sweeney 91 4 4.4% −57.50
James Rogers 30 2 6.7% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
23
Archived wins
£96,420
Prize money
2007
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Tipsy Prince (GB) — Electrolux Handicap Newbury · Jul 2007 · Class 5
£3,562
Lunar River (FR) — Play Games At williamhillarcade.com Fillies' Handicap Lingfield (AW) · May 2007 · Class 6
£3,239
Gazboolou (GB) — Barrettstown Stud Handicap Kempton (AW) · Oct 2008 · Class 5
£3,238

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Muhtathir (GB) 6.8% · 4–59
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,709 runs since 2008 (494 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.9% from 967.
Royal Applause (GB) 5.4% · 3–56
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Fath (USA) 7.7% · 3–39
Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,349 runs since 2008 (98 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.3% from 112. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.2% from 167.
Kyllachy (GB) 0% · 0–33
Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.
Vettori (IRE) 0% · 0–26
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,775 runs since 2008 (163 horses).
Great Dane (IRE) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 4.9% of 61 runs since 2008 (2 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 454 · newest first

The latest 50 of 454 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 25 January 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Jan 12 Kempton (AW) Gazboolou (GB)J: Fergus Sweeney Kempton For Weddings HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 20/1
04 Jan 12 Kempton (AW) Woolston Ferry (IRE)J: Eddie Ahern Skysports.com HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 8/1
02 Nov 11 Kempton (AW) Gazboolou (GB)J: Luke Morris Racing at skysports.com HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Pinder's strike rate?
David Pinder has won 11 of 284 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Pinder do best at?
Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 71 runners (7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for David Pinder?
Fergus Sweeney, with 91 runners since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (4.4%).
What is David Pinder's Fair A/E?
0.54, from 283 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).