Hughie Morrison
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 250 runners a season, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.90). In Group and Graded company the record reads 17% (89 runs).
It is weakest at Ascot (0% over 39 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 16.9% (n=89, Fair A/E 1.67), but debutants struggle at 5.1% (n=98, Fair A/E 1.12). Rob Hornby rides 10% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.6%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well in Chase races (26.5%, n=34) and over 2m5f – 3m (22.2%, n=36). The market has also underrated the yard on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 1.23 across 148 runners (17.6% strike, +9.73 to a £1 stake). 71 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Al Shaqab Goodwood Cup Stakes at Goodwood (Aug 2023, £283,550). The stable star of the record: Cousin Khee (GB) — 12 wins from 75 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 7,523 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 7,523 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 17 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Hughie Morrison's strike rate?
- Hughie Morrison has won 144 of 1,265 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Hughie Morrison do best at?
- Ffos Las by strike rate: 10 wins from 54 runners (18.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Hughie Morrison?
- Rob Hornby, with 125 runners since 2022 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (9.6%).
- Is Hughie Morrison in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Hughie Morrison's Fair A/E?
- 0.90, from 1,258 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.