Ebbe Verhestraeten
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 80 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.15).
It is weakest at Chantilly (4.1% over 123 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.3% (n=91, Fair A/E 0.55). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 4.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −142.40 to a £1 stake over 205 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Amy Murphy supplies 38% of the rides and beats the rider's average (13.3% vs 7.9%, A/E 1.40) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Good going (15.2%, n=33). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 1.9% over 53 rides, 6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.79 across 184 rides (4.3% strike, −141.30 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Qatar Prix Chaudenay at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2026, £104,310).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
SteadyBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2019→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 564 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 564 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 15 April 2019 to 10 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Ebbe Verhestraeten's strike rate?
- Ebbe Verhestraeten has won 31 of 393 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Ebbe Verhestraeten do best at?
- Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 64 rides (9.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Ebbe Verhestraeten ride most for?
- Amy Murphy, with 150 rides since 2022 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (13.3%).
- Is Ebbe Verhestraeten in form?
- In the last 14 days: 16 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 6.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 7.9% since 2022.
- What is Ebbe Verhestraeten's Fair A/E?
- 1.15, from 393 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.