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Trainer profile

Guillaume Courbot

290 runners in the last 5 seasons · 46 individual horses
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 307 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
26–290
Wins / Runs
9%
Strike rate
n=290
65 (22%)
Placed
1.58
n=289 · 1.32 incl. margin
+53.60
£1 level stake
n=289 at SP · +18.5%
£347k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.58).

Deterministic profile computed from 290 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 25 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fabien Lefebvre: 9.5% from 95 New recruits: 9.1%
The read

The record is strongest at Deauville (FR) (13%, n=100), clear of the yard's 9% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 2.1% (n=47, Fair A/E 0.47). Fabien Lefebvre rides 33% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.5%, A/E 1.42) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (16.1%, n=56). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 3.6% over 84 runners, 5.4pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.3%−4.7
n=70 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −14.10
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.1%+0.1
n=33 · A/E 2.40 · £1 +12.70
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
20%+11.0
n=5 · A/E 5.45 · £1 +15.30
When favourite
44.4%
n=9 · A/E 2.19 · £1 +8.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.1%−6.9
n=47 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −36.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 16.1% vs 9% · n=56
With claiming riders up 2.1% vs 9% · n=47
With C&D winners 14.7% vs 9% · n=75
Off a 15-30-day break 3.6% vs 9% · n=84
At Deauville (FR) 13% vs 9% · n=100
Off a 61-180-day break 5.2% vs 9% · n=58
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 191 20 10.5% +52.60
Soft 44 3 6.8% +5.50
Good to Soft 42 3 7.1% +8.50
Heavy 9 0 0% −9.00
Good 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR) 114 9 7.9% +23.90
Deauville (FR) 100 13 13% +44.40
Saint-Cloud (FR) 40 2 5% −1.30
Longchamp (FR) 33 2 6.1% −10.40
Compiegne (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 4 44.4% 2.19 +8.00
2nd–3rd fav 30 6 20% 1.50 +7.10
4th–6th fav 56 6 10.7% 1.36 +7.90
7th+ in betting 194 10 5.2% 1.60 +30.60
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Landaryna (FR)from P Sogorb · then J Leroy 33 4 6 12 Nov 24
Bienne (FR)from C Boutin · then S Gouvaze 28 3 9 10 Jan 25
Wings Of Fire (FR)from N Clement · then B Koninck 21 1 6 30 Aug 25
Rannan (FR)from C Boutin 19 1 4 5 Dec 23
Ernan Cortes (FR)from Mme Y Vollmer 17 2 2 11 Jan 25
Noble Angel (GB)from R Le Gal · then Andre Hermans 15 0 3 11 Dec 25
El Bnoud (IRE)from Xavier Blanchet 13 0 3 10 Jan 25
Libre (FR)from R Le Gal 12 3 6 5 Dec 23
Aer Turas (FR)from S Cerulis 10 2 3 15 Sep 22
La Javanaise (FR)from J Leroy · then Bart De Koninck 7 1 1 22 Dec 25
Soho Vicky (IRE)from J Leroy · then Bart De Koninck 7 1 1 11 Dec 25
All 46 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 46 horses listed, 42 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J Leroy (4) and R Le Gal (4); 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for B Koninck (6) and S Gouvaze (6); 24 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1191350111318412811
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderFabien Lefebvre
33% of all rides
9.5% SR · A/E 1.42
RiderRWSR£1
Fabien Lefebvre 95 9 9.5% +7.20
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
34
Archived wins
£501k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 8 wins
Bid Adieu (IRE) — Prix de l'Ile de la Jatte (Handicap) (5yo+) (Moyenne Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Jul 2019
£23,423
Bid Adieu (IRE) — Prix des Bouffes Parisiens (Conditions) (4yo+) (Moyenne Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2019
£12,613
Aer Turas (FR) — Prix Riverqueen (Handicap) (4yo+ Fillies & Mares) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Mar 2022
£10,504

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dariyan (FR) 10.8% · 4–37
Progeny have won 6% of 1,114 runs since 2008 (140 horses).
Planteur (IRE) 10.7% · 3–28
Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,517 runs since 2008 (158 horses).
Wings Of Eagles (FR) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 10.1% of 1,012 runs since 2008 (156 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.4% from 291. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.5% from 134.
Style Vendome (FR) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,232 runs since 2008 (150 horses).
Olympic Glory (IRE) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,056 runs since 2008 (264 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.7% from 148.
Manduro (GER) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 10.4% of 4,214 runs since 2008 (410 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 1,095.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 25 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 502 · newest first

The latest 50 of 502 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 May 2018 to 22 December 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Guillaume Courbot's strike rate?
Guillaume Courbot has won 26 of 290 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Guillaume Courbot do best at?
Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 13 wins from 100 runners (13%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Guillaume Courbot?
Fabien Lefebvre, with 95 runners since 2022 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (9.5%).
What is Guillaume Courbot's Fair A/E?
1.58, from 289 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 25 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).