What is Christopher Head's strike rate?

Christopher Head has won 124 of 560 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 22.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Christopher Head do best at?

Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 29 wins from 95 runners (30.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Christopher Head?

Aurelien Lemaitre, with 282 runners since 2022 — 50% of the total. That pairing has won 61 (21.6%).

Is Christopher Head in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Christopher Head's Fair A/E?

1.22, from 560 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Christopher Head

560 runners in the last 5 seasons · 165 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2022

124–560

Wins / Runs

22.1%

Strike rate

n=560

255 (46%)

Placed

1.22

Fair A/E

n=560 · 1.01 incl. margin

−35.93

£1 level stake

n=560 at SP · −6.4%

£7.52m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

22.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 22% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.22). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 29% (31 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 560 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jul 42.9% when favourite Aurelien Lemaitre: 21.6% from 282 Sends off the favourite in 28% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Saint-Cloud (30.5%, n=95), clear of the yard's 22.1% baseline. It is weakest at Chantilly (16.8% over 190 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 29% (n=31, Fair A/E 2.04), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 16.7% (n=36, Fair A/E 1.38). Debutants are the standout value angle: 20.9% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.20 and +0.52 to a £1 stake over 148 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Aurelien Lemaitre rides 50% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (21.6%, A/E 1.24) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (28.5%, n=144) and over 6f – 7f (27.9%, n=183). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 15.5% over 155 runners, 6.6pts below the baseline. 50 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes at Ascot (Oct 2023, £655,709). The stable star of the record: Blue Rose Cen (IRE) — 7 wins from 11 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 22.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

20%−2.1

n=95 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −17.22

New recruits · first run for the yard

13.3%−8.8

n=15 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −8.70

Debutants · first career start

20.9%−1.2

n=148 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +0.52

First-time headgear · true-first definition

29%+6.9

n=31 · A/E 2.04 · £1 +27.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−22.1

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

When favourite

42.9%

n=154 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +1.77

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

16.7%−5.4

n=36 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −1.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

23.8%+1.7

n=206 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −15.44

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 22.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 31.4% vs 22.1% · n=105

At Saint-Cloud 30.5% vs 22.1% · n=95

On Standard (AW) going 15.5% vs 22.1% · n=155

On Good to Soft going 28.5% vs 22.1% · n=144

Over 6f – 7f 27.9% vs 22.1% · n=183

At Chantilly 16.8% vs 22.1% · n=190

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 164 43 26.2% +21.27

Standard (AW) 155 24 15.5% −40.57

Good to Soft 144 41 28.5% +14.44

Good 50 9 18% −10.57

Heavy 40 7 17.5% −13.50

Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly 190 32 16.8% −53.10

Deauville 125 21 16.8% −25.94

Saint-Cloud 95 29 30.5% +26.07

Longchamp (FR) 92 25 27.2% +18.05

Vichy (FR) 8 3 37.5% +0.70

Lyon Parilly (FR) 8 1 12.5% −3.90

Compiegne (FR) 7 5 71.4% +12.28

Clairefontaine (FR) 6 2 33.3% −2.76

Ascot 5 1 20% +1.00

La Teste De Buch (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 3 2 66.7% +5.40

Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Newmarket 2 1 50% +2.00

Nantes (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 210 49 23.3% −19.44

Class 2 8 5 62.5% +3.18

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 154 66 42.9% 1.19 +1.77

2nd–3rd fav 187 45 24.1% 1.46 +45.90

4th–6th fav 158 9 5.7% 0.67 −75.00

7th+ in betting 61 4 6.6% 1.71 −8.60

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ceramic (IRE) 11 0 4 18 Oct 26

Nighttime (FR) 11 4 9 4 Oct 26

Blue Rose Cen (IRE)then Maurizio Guarnieri 11 7 8 1 Oct 23

Maranoa Charlie (FR) 10 6 8 5 Oct 25

Madero (FR) 10 2 3 29 Aug 25

Ramadan (FR) 10 5 5 5 Oct 24

No Tune (GB) 9 3 7 2 Oct 26

Green Spirit (USA) 9 4 6 2 Aug 26

Naked Memories (FR)then Xavier Blanchet 9 1 4 2 Nov 25

Dos Mukasan (FR)then Gerard O'Leary 9 3 3 2 Nov 25

Topgear (FR)from F Chappet 9 3 5 5 Oct 25

Ramatuelle (USA) 9 4 9 6 Oct 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 165 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive; 54 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Maurizio Guarnieri (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

3 from 9

Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

6242220232833182726713

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAurelien Lemaitre

50% of all rides
21.6% SR · A/E 1.24

RiderRWSR£1

Aurelien Lemaitre 282 61 21.6% +3.70

M Guyon 91 25 27.5% −17.03

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

132

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.74m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 31 wins

Big Rock (FR) — Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco) (Group 1) (British Champions Mile) (Str) Ascot · Oct 2023 · Group 1

£655,709

Blue Rose Cen (IRE) — Prix de Diane Longines (3yo Fillies) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2023 · Group 1

£505,664

Blue Rose Cen (IRE) — Emirates Poule d'Essai des Pouliches (3yo Fillies) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · May 2023 · Group 1

£278,115

Notable horses

Blue Rose Cen (IRE) Maranoa Charlie (FR) Ramadan (FR) Big Rock (FR) Nighttime (FR) Ramatuelle (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Wootton Bassett (GB) 28.8% · 21–73

Progeny have won 13.1% of 5,628 runs since 2008 (788 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.1% from 161.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 13.5% · 5–37

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,150 runs since 2008 (1,099 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 953.

Siyouni (FR) 26.9% · 7–26

Progeny have won 13% of 8,320 runs since 2008 (975 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.1% from 453.

No Nay Never (USA) 40% · 8–20

Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,307 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9% from 612. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.6% from 185.

Recoletos (FR) 27.8% · 5–18

Progeny have won 8.9% of 786 runs since 2008 (110 horses).

Churchill (IRE) 47.1% · 8–17

Progeny have won 11% of 4,781 runs since 2008 (458 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 603 · newest first

The latest 50 of 603 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 December 2018 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Alias (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Equidays (Prix Habitat)9.5f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 8/11F

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Ceramic (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De Saint-cyr7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 11th 11/4

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Soutter (FR)J: Lounis Mabrouk Prix Des Bouleaux8f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 8/1

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) House Of Tudor (IRE)J: Lounis Mabrouk Prix Maurice Larraun12f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 5/1

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Hottot (FR)J: C. Soumillon Prix Du Champ De Mars9.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 17/2

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Basha (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Le FabuleuxClass 1 · 9f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 9/2

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Champagne Sunset (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De La Forterelle8f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 25/1

09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Duskwind (IRE)J: Sebastiano Deriu Prix De Jonquieres9f · Very Soft · 16 ran 11th 11/1

09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Merci Mille Fois (IRE)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix De Jaux10f · Very Soft · 10 ran 1st 9/2

06 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Munch (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix De Cuisery8f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 3/1

06 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Vassy (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Oumnaz11f · Soft · 5 ran 3rd 5/6F

04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Nighttime (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Qatar Prix de la Foret (Group 1)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 9/1

04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Big Money Man (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Qatar Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere (Group 1)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 66/1

04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Avec Toi (USA)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Qatar Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere (Group 1)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 11/4

04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Data (GB)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Qatar Prix Marcel Boussac - Criterium Des PoulichesClass 1 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 8/1

02 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Ceramic (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Prix CoronationClass 1 · 8f · Heavy · 13 ran 9th 11/10F

02 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) No Tune (GB)J: Maxime Guyon Prix MatchemClass 1 · 7f · Heavy · 7 ran 1st 5/2

02 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Tortsanlot (GB)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix De Conde Jockey Club De TurquieClass 1 · 10f · Heavy · 8 ran 3rd 5/4F

29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Barramundi (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De Vineuil9f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 7/2

29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Monsieur Charlie (IRE)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix De Villebon8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Christopher Head's strike rate?: Christopher Head has won 124 of 560 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 22.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Christopher Head do best at?: Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 29 wins from 95 runners (30.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Christopher Head?: Aurelien Lemaitre, with 282 runners since 2022 — 50% of the total. That pairing has won 61 (21.6%).
Is Christopher Head in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Christopher Head's Fair A/E?: 1.22, from 560 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.