No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceFirst rides: 14.3%
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 13.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
14.3%+0.6
n=35 · A/E 1.05 · £1 +55.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−13.7
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
10.5%−3.2
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 +31.00
When favourite
20%
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 +18.70
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−13.7
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
16.7%+3.0
n=12 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +20.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)16212.5%−4.50
Soft1100%−11.00
Good to Soft10440%+43.70
Good1000%−5.00
Heavy4125%+25.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Marseille Borely10220%+40.00
Marseille Pont-de-Vivaux8112.5%−2.50
Cagnes-Sur-Mer5120%+1.00
Deauville (FR)400%−4.00
Hyeres400%−2.00
Vichy (FR)300%−3.00
Chantilly (FR)300%−3.00
Aix-Les-Bains2150%—
Longchamp (FR)200%−2.00
Salon-de-Provence200%−1.00
Lyon Parilly2150%+27.00
Saint-Galmier100%−1.00
Carpentras100%—
Maisons-Laffitte (FR)100%−1.00
Saint-Cloud (FR)100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 112216.7%+20.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite11218.2%0.00+17.70
2nd–3rd fav10220%1.78+16.50
4th–6th fav10220%1.70+25.00
7th+ in betting1100%0.00−11.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f28517.9%+40.20
1m – 1m1f1417.1%+14.00
6f – 7f5120%−3.00
1m5f – 2m300%−2.00
Under 6f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200911100%+25.00
20101119.1%−4.30
20119111.1%−5.00
20121218.3%+10.00
201311218.2%+23.50
2014200%−2.00
20155120%+1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps800%−8.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
2-4 runners23313%+8.70
5-7 runners9333.3%+52.50
8-10 runners7114.3%−1.00
14-16 runners600%−6.00
11-13 runners500%−5.00
17+ runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 35 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
03325010017143300170
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Balerina (FR) — Prix Delahnate () Marseille Borely (FR) · Nov 2009 · Listed
£26,699
Kerosin (GER) — Grand Prix de la Riviera Cote d'Azur () (Polytrack) Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) · Feb 2015 · Listed
£23,256
Roi Charles (FR) — Prix Mutuelle France Plus. Prix de l'Été (All-Weather) Marseille Pont-de-Vivaux (FR) · Jun 2013
Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,409 runs since 2008 (394 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.2% from 256. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.3% from 132.
Tertullian (USA)25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,007 runs since 2008 (113 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.8% from 251.
Slickly (FR)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8% of 3,070 runs since 2008 (318 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11% from 310. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.9% from 243.
Progeny have won 8.3% of 785 runs since 2008 (91 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 115. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.5% from 112.
Della Francesca (USA)50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 10% of 1,477 runs since 2008 (172 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13% from 338. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 16% from 100. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.3% from 160.
Progeny have won 9.1% of 910 runs since 2008 (119 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.9% from 202. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13% from 138. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.9% from 127.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 57 · newest first
The latest 50 of 57 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 14 April 2006 to 12 June 2015.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Gerald Pardon's strike rate?
Gerald Pardon has won 7 of 51 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 13.7% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Gerald Pardon·SR 13.7%·A/E 1.05
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