Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceFresh horses: 3.1%
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 1.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.1%+1.3
n=32 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −28.20
New recruits · first run for the yard
11.1%+9.3
n=9 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −5.20
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.8
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
9.1%+7.3
n=11 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −7.20
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 1.75 · £1 +1.80
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−1.8
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
In Flat races1.8% vs 1.8% · n=55 · A/E 0.26
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)3113.2%−27.20
Soft1300%−13.00
Good to Soft500%−5.00
Heavy400%−4.00
Good200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR)1900%−19.00
Chantilly (FR)1516.7%−11.20
Longchamp (FR)1000%−10.00
Saint-Cloud (FR)600%−6.00
Vichy (FR)200%−2.00
Lyon Parilly (FR)100%−1.00
Moulins (FR)100%−1.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR)100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite2150%1.75+1.80
2nd–3rd fav600%0.00−6.00
4th–6th fav1600%0.00−16.00
7th+ in betting3100%0.00−31.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f2500%−25.00
1m – 1m1f1815.6%−14.20
6f – 7f800%−8.00
1m5f – 2m300%−3.00
Under 6f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20222015%−16.20
20231100%−11.00
20241800%−18.00
2025600%−6.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps4112.4%−37.20
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners2500%−25.00
11-13 runners1200%−12.00
8-10 runners1119.1%−7.20
5-7 runners400%−4.00
17+ runners300%−3.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 23 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 23 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C Escuder (3); 14 had their first archived run for this yard.
13 have since run for another yard, most often for Antoine Sanglard (5); 10 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1400000·00000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Bollywood (FR) — Grand Steeple Chase De Lyon Lyon Parilly · Jun 2010 · Listed
£24,637
Pump Pump Boy (FR) — Coupe Des Trois Ans () Lyon Parilly (FR) · May 2011 · Listed
£23,707
La Fibre (FR) — Prix Otto (Handicap) (4yo) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Mar 2018
Progeny have won 12.3% of 1,662 runs since 2008 (218 horses). Strongest on Good going: 16.6% from 391. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 277.
Progeny have won 10% of 6,036 runs since 2008 (384 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 262. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 492. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.3% from 142.
Progeny have won 4.7% of 950 runs since 2008 (133 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.7% from 356.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 602 · newest first
The latest 50 of 602 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 April 2005 to 7 May 2025.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is M Pimbonnet's strike rate?
M Pimbonnet has won 1 of 55 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 1.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is M Pimbonnet's Fair A/E?
0.26, from 55 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
M Pimbonnet·SR 1.8%·A/E 0.26
KTB
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