Giovanni Sias
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 100 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.81). When claiming the record reads 6% (354 rides).
The record is strongest at Longchamp (FR) (7.5%, n=53), clear of the rider's 4.5% baseline. A & G Botti supplies 16% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6%, A/E 0.76). The rider also reads well off a 8-14-day break (8.5%, n=71). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 0% over 85 rides, 4.5pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 516 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 516 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 August 2022 to 2 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Giovanni Sias's strike rate?
- Giovanni Sias has won 23 of 516 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Giovanni Sias do best at?
- Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 4 wins from 53 rides (7.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Giovanni Sias ride most for?
- A & G Botti, with 84 rides since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6%).
- Is Giovanni Sias in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Giovanni Sias's Fair A/E?
- 0.81, from 515 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.