Jack Duern
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.93). Rides mostly for Scott Dixon — 70% of rides in the window.
Scott Dixon supplies 70% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.4%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The market has also underrated the rider over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 1.20 across 53 rides (9.4% strike, +10.87 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 3.1% over 32 rides, 4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.57 across 67 rides (4.5% strike, −13.38 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The standout partner of the record: Lucymai (GB) — 5 wins from 17 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2010→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,118 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,118 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 September 2010 to 28 July 2022.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Jack Duern's strike rate?
- Jack Duern has won 8 of 112 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which yard does Jack Duern ride most for?
- Scott Dixon, with 78 rides since 2022 — 70% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6.4%).
- What is Jack Duern's Fair A/E?
- 0.93, from 112 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.