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Jockey profile

Jack Duern

112 rides in the last 5 seasons · 50 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jul 2022 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
8–112
Wins / Runs
7.1%
Strike rate
n=112
16 (14%)
Placed
0.93
Fair A/E
n=112 · 0.80 incl. margin
−14.63
£1 level stake
n=112 at SP · −13.1%
£103k
Prize money (window)
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.93). Rides mostly for Scott Dixon — 70% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 112 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Scott Dixon: 6.4% from 78 Claiming: 7.4%
The read

Scott Dixon supplies 70% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.4%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The market has also underrated the rider over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 1.20 across 53 rides (9.4% strike, +10.87 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 3.1% over 32 rides, 4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.57 across 67 rides (4.5% strike, −13.38 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The standout partner of the record: Lucymai (GB) — 5 wins from 17 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.3%−1.8
n=38 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −5.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−7.1
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
7.7%+0.6
n=13 · A/E 2.86 · £1 +13.00
When favourite
50%
n=4 · A/E 1.50 · £1 +0.37
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.4%+0.3
n=108 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −10.63
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−7.1
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 3.1% vs 7.1% · n=32
On Standard (AW) going 4.5% vs 7.1% · n=67
Over 6f – 7f 9.4% vs 7.1% · n=53
Off a 8-14-day break 9.4% vs 7.1% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 67 3 4.5% −13.38
Good 27 2 7.4% −18.25
Good to Firm 14 3 21.4% +21.00
Soft 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 27 1 3.7% −1.00
Southwell (AW) 24 1 4.2% +2.00
Lingfield (AW) 16 1 6.3% −14.38
Epsom Downs 9 1 11.1% −1.50
Doncaster 5 0 0% −5.00
Pontefract 4 2 50% +23.50
York 4 1 25% +2.00
Windsor 3 0 0% −3.00
Ascot 3 0 0% −3.00
Ripon 3 0 0% −3.00
Nottingham 3 0 0% −3.00
Yarmouth 2 0 0% −2.00
Goodwood 2 0 0% −2.00
Lingfield 2 1 50% +0.75
Carlisle 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 36 2 5.6% −22.00
Class 6 35 3 8.6% −4.63
Class 4 18 2 11.1% +29.00
Class 2 14 1 7.1% −8.00
Class 3 9 0 0% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 2 28.6% 0.99 −2.63
2nd–3rd fav 18 1 5.6% 0.39 −12.00
4th–6th fav 37 2 5.4% 0.78 −23.00
7th+ in betting 50 3 6% 2.06 +23.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Pablo Del Pueblo (IRE) 10 2 4 21 Jul 22
Coast (GB) 7 1 1 5 Jul 22
Harbour Vision (GB) 6 0 1 9 May 22
Banana (GB) 5 0 1 1 Jul 22
Visibility (IRE) 5 1 1 27 Jun 22
Mykonos St John (GB) 4 0 1 3 Jun 22
Rebel Redemption (GB) 3 0 0 20 Jul 22
Canagat (GB) 3 0 0 14 Jul 22
Blue Beret (GB) 3 0 0 6 Jul 22
Country Charm (GB) 3 0 1 5 Jul 22
Thermometer (IRE) 3 0 0 24 Jun 22
Sociologist (FR) 3 1 1 22 Jun 22
All 50 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
550021413·····
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardScott Dixon
70% of all rides
6.4% SR · A/E 1.01
TrainerRWSR£1
Scott Dixon 78 5 6.4% +7.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
85
Archived wins
£657k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 20 wins
Lucymai (GB) — Bet totetrifecta At totesport.com Fairwood Fillies' Handicap Chelmsford (AW) · Aug 2018 · Class 2
£31,125
Lucymai (GB) — Bet Exacta At Totesport.com Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · May 2018 · Class 2
£16,173
Fine Wine (FR) — Paddy Power 'Making Flat Less Flat' Handicap York · May 2022 · Class 2
£15,462

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Aclaim (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (200 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.8% from 385.
Kodiac (GB) 25% · 3–12
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,515 runs since 2008 (1,664 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Harbour Watch (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,550 runs since 2008 (236 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.5% from 321. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.6% from 463.
Helmet (AUS) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,851 runs since 2008 (351 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 148.
Raven's Pass (USA) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,924 runs since 2008 (452 horses).
Showcasing (GB) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,556 runs since 2008 (995 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 108.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,118 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,118 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 September 2010 to 28 July 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
21 Jul 22 Sandown Pablo Del Pueblo (IRE)T: Jim Boyle Oxshott HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 9th 6/1
01 Jul 22 Doncaster Banana (GB)T: Scott Dixon CNG Switch Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Good · 8 ran 7th 9/1
30 Jun 22 Epsom Downs Blue Beret (GB)T: Jim Boyle Racing Staff Week HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good · 10 ran 6th 9/1
24 Jun 22 Yarmouth Thermometer (IRE)T: Scott Dixon Quinnbet HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Good To Firm · 5 ran PU 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jack Duern's strike rate?
Jack Duern has won 8 of 112 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Jack Duern ride most for?
Scott Dixon, with 78 rides since 2022 — 70% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6.4%).
What is Jack Duern's Fair A/E?
0.93, from 112 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).