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Trainer profile

Laura Mongan

330 runners in the last 5 seasons · 39 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 26 days ago 97% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
14–330
Wins / Runs
4.2%
Strike rate
n=330
42 (13%)
Placed
0.94
Fair A/E
n=330 · 0.80 incl. margin
−72.75
£1 level stake
n=330 at SP · −22.0%
£158k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.94).

Deterministic profile computed from 330 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Luke Morris: 9.3% from 75
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 0% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.00). Luke Morris rides 23% of the entries and beats the yard's average (9.3% vs 4.2%, A/E 1.72) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 0% over 37 runners, 4.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.50 across 66 runners (1.5% strike, −59.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes St Leger Stakes at Doncaster (Sep 2016, £396,970). The stable star of the record: Skidby Mill (IRE) — 9 wins from 63 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.2%−3.0
n=83 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −76.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.9%+1.7
n=17 · A/E 1.78 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.2
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.2
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
13.3%+9.1
n=15 · A/E 2.64 · £1 +3.50
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−4.2
n=37 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −37.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Luke Morris 9.3% vs 4.2% · n=75
Off a 8-14-day break 0% vs 4.2% · n=37
With claiming riders up 0% vs 4.2% · n=37
With C&D winners 7.1% vs 4.2% · n=85
With William Carson 1.5% vs 4.2% · n=68
Off a 61-180-day break 1.5% vs 4.2% · n=66
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 321 14 4.4% −63.75
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00
Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 219 11 5% −58.00
Good to Firm 48 1 2.1% −44.75
Good 42 2 4.8% +51.00
Soft 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Soft 8 0 0% −8.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 154 8 5.2% −64.00
Kempton (AW) 36 1 2.8% −27.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 29 2 6.9% +33.00
Epsom 29 1 3.4% +52.00
Brighton 22 0 0% −22.00
Windsor 16 0 0% −16.00
Lingfield 9 0 0% −9.00
Salisbury 8 2 25% +7.25
Bath 6 0 0% −6.00
Chepstow 4 0 0% −4.00
Newbury 3 0 0% −3.00
Ascot 2 0 0% −2.00
Goodwood 2 0 0% −2.00
Huntingdon 2 0 0% −2.00
Kempton 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 202 10 5% −62.00
Class 5 82 2 2.4% −66.75
Class 4 32 1 3.1% −11.00
Class 3 10 0 0% −10.00
Class 2 4 1 25% +77.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 17 5 29.4% 1.90 +10.25
4th–6th fav 102 6 5.9% 0.89 −25.00
7th+ in betting 209 3 1.4% 0.60 −56.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mount Mogan (GB)from Ed Walker 41 5 10 12 Sep 26
Regal Glory (IRE)then Roger Fell 28 1 4 18 Jun 25
Certain Style (GB) 24 1 2 3 Dec 25
Bowman (IRE)from Mark Johnston · then Danny Brooke 19 1 3 5 Feb 24
Libra Tiger (GB)from Ed Walker 18 1 4 25 Nov 25
Gintini (IRE)then James Owen 14 0 0 5 Feb 24
Blairlogie (GB)from Mick Channon 14 1 3 5 Oct 23
Kanuhura (GB) 14 1 2 12 Jul 23
Pledge Of Peace (IRE)from Charlie Appleby · then Phil McEntee 12 0 2 4 May 23
Millions Memories (GB)from David Lanigan · then Dave Roberts 11 1 1 5 Oct 23
Okami (IRE)from Roger Varian · then Gary & Josh Moore 10 0 0 5 Jun 25
Estehwadh (IRE)from George Boughey 10 0 1 7 Jun 24
All 39 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 39 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from James Owen (3) and Ed Walker (2); 16 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Phil McEntee (2); 26 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
7714007030095
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderLuke Morris
23% of all rides
9.3% SR · A/E 1.72
RiderRWSR£1
Luke Morris 75 7 9.3% +21.50
William Carson 68 1 1.5% +13.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
153
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£1.51m
Prize money
2014
Best season · 16 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Harbour Law (GB) — Ladbrokes St Leger Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Doncaster · Sep 2016 · Group 1
£396,970
First Avenue (GB) — Paddy Power Imperial Cup Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Sandown · Mar 2013 · Listed
£39,865
Bowman (IRE) — Cazoo Derby Festival Handicap Epsom Downs · Jun 2022 · Class 2
£30,924
Notable horses
Skidby Mill (IRE) Alsadaa (USA) With Approval (IRE) First Avenue (GB) Lady Lunchalot (USA) Mount Mogan (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Helmet (AUS) 12.2% · 5–41
Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,852 runs since 2008 (351 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 148.
Cotai Glory (GB) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 11.5% of 3,947 runs since 2008 (389 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.6% from 1,416. Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 425.
Adaay (IRE) 3.7% · 1–27
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,965 runs since 2008 (192 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6% from 499.
Starspangledbanner (AUS) 0% · 0–24
Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,196 runs since 2008 (663 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,195.
Lawman (FR) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,426 runs since 2008 (730 horses).
Territories (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,624 runs since 2008 (349 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 13.7% from 540.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,404 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,404 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 6 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Oct 26 Brighton Lunar Power (IRE)J: Alec Voikhansky Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 50/1
06 Oct 26 Brighton Panama Black (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Follow Matchbook On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 6th 15/2
30 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Beta Reader (GB)J: Alec Voikhansky Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 8th 50/1
23 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Case Study (GB)J: Luke Morris Racing Tv Fillies' Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 8th 125/1
12 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Mount Mogan (GB)J: Luke Morris Happy 60th Jacqueline Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 16/1
18 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) It'sbeenemotional (IRE)J: Georgia Dobie Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 125/1
17 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Beta Reader (GB)J: Georgia Dobie Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 33/1
10 Aug 26 Windsor Gift Box (GB)J: William Carson Fitzdares Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 80/1
30 Jul 26 Epsom Mount Mogan (GB)J: Georgia Dobie Spillers Spectacular Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 66/1
06 Jul 26 Lingfield (AW) Laurasia (GB)J: Georgia Dobie Follow attheraces On Instagram HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 16/1
06 Jul 26 Lingfield (AW) Lunar Power (IRE)J: Georgia Dobie Download The At The Races App Selling HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 33/1
01 Jul 26 Epsom Downs Beta Reader (GB)J: Rose Dawes Betfred 'Bet Builder' Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 8th 40/1
22 Jun 26 Windsor Laurasia (GB)J: Georgia Dobie Vnetrix Cyber Security Solutions HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 80/1
04 Jun 26 Lingfield (AW) Laurasia (GB)J: Georgia Dobie Follow AtTheRaces On X HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 100/1
04 Jun 26 Lingfield (AW) Secret Road (IRE)J: Luke Morris Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 50/1
01 Jun 26 Lingfield (AW) Secret Road (IRE)J: Luke Morris Free Tips On attheraces.com HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 28/1
18 May 26 Lingfield Lunar Power (IRE)J: William Carson Visit Sri Lanka HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 17/2
18 May 26 Lingfield Panama Black (IRE)J: William Carson Sporting Times HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 8th 18/1
07 May 26 Windsor Beta Reader (GB)J: William Carson Get Raceday Ready HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 3rd 25/1
30 Apr 26 Lingfield (AW) Lunar Power (IRE)J: Rhys Clutterbuck Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 6 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Laura Mongan's strike rate?
Laura Mongan has won 14 of 330 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Laura Mongan do best at?
Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 154 runners (5.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Laura Mongan?
Luke Morris, with 75 runners since 2022 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (9.3%).
What is Laura Mongan's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 330 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).