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Trainer profile

Sarah Hollinshead

316 runners in the last 5 seasons · 36 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 21 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)
from 1 Jan 2022
12–316
Wins / Runs
3.8%
Strike rate
n=316
63 (20%)
Placed
0.61
Fair A/E
n=315 · 0.52 incl. margin
−152.50
£1 level stake
n=316 at SP · −48.3%
£146k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.61).

Deterministic profile computed from 316 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 3 Nov 2026
The read

It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (0% over 34 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 2.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.57 and −66.00 to a £1 stake over 139 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 0% over 60 runners, 3.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.79 across 61 runners (6.6% strike, −35.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Castlerea Tess (GB) — 6 wins from 50 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.6%−1.2
n=76 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −46.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.8
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.8
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.8
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.8
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
12.5%
n=8 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.9%−0.9
n=139 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −66.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 8.8% vs 3.8% · n=57
Over 6f – 7f 0% vs 3.8% · n=60
At Southwell (AW) 0% vs 3.8% · n=34
Over 1m – 1m1f 6.6% vs 3.8% · n=61
With a new jockey booking 1.5% vs 3.8% · n=131
Off a 15-30-day break 6.2% vs 3.8% · n=97
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 199 7 3.5% −135.50
Hurdle 105 5 4.8% −5.00
NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 172 7 4.1% −108.50
Good 76 3 3.9% +9.00
Good to Soft 42 1 2.4% −37.00
Soft 15 1 6.7% −5.00
Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 124 7 5.6% −60.50
Southwell (AW) 34 0 0% −34.00
Market Rasen 20 1 5% −7.00
Bangor-on-Dee 18 0 0% −18.00
Uttoxeter 14 1 7.1% −4.00
Huntingdon 11 0 0% −11.00
Stratford 11 1 9.1% +40.00
Ludlow 7 0 0% −7.00
Warwick 7 1 14.3% +14.00
Bath 6 0 0% −6.00
Fontwell 6 0 0% −6.00
Newcastle (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Nottingham 5 0 0% −5.00
Chepstow 5 0 0% −5.00
Cartmel 5 1 20% +0.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 169 7 4.1% −105.50
Class 5 95 2 2.1% −72.00
Class 4 49 3 6.1% +28.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 2 22.2% 0.88 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 43 3 7% 0.50 −10.00
4th–6th fav 92 4 4.3% 0.58 −51.50
7th+ in betting 172 3 1.7% 0.68 −90.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Snooze Lane (IRE) 36 4 15 13 Oct 26
Balmy Breese (GB) 29 0 3 12 May 25
Jenny Ren (GB) 25 3 7 8 Jul 24
Gms Prince (GB) 23 1 6 19 Jun 26
Mr Slicker (FR)from Mme R Edwardsson Giron 21 0 8 10 Mar 26
Quiet Thunder (IRE)from William Knight 21 1 3 9 May 24
Bondi Man (GB)from Richard Hughes 17 0 2 13 Feb 26
Rhodia (IRE)from S Wilson 15 0 2 22 Mar 25
Sinndarella (IRE) 13 1 4 25 May 24
But You Said (IRE)from Denis Gerard Hogan 13 0 1 12 Feb 23
Diamond Joel (GB)from David Dennis 10 0 3 11 Apr 25
Diamond Jill (IRE) 10 0 3 17 Feb 23
All 36 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 36 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrew Hollinshead (4); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
03113430117050
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderGina Mangan
15% of all rides
4.3% SR · A/E 0.76
RiderRWSR£1
Gina Mangan 46 2 4.3% −29.00
Chris Ward 36 2 5.6% +20.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
44
Archived wins
£375k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 9 wins
Zenafire (GB) — Coca Cola Zero Sugar Handicap Chester · Jul 2017 · Class 4
£6,225
La Vish (FR) — Feldon Dunsmore Proudly Employee-Owned Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Warwick · Mar 2026 · Class 4
£5,446
Lookforarainbow (GB) — Every Race Live On Racing Tv Handicap Hurdle Stratford · Jun 2019 · Class 4
£5,133
Notable horses
Castlerea Tess (GB) Zenafire (GB) Jenny Ren (GB) Final Attack (IRE) Uncle Bernie (IRE) Snooze Lane (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Free Eagle (IRE) 11.1% · 4–36
Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,409 runs since 2019 (190 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.1% from 131.
Kayf Tara (GB) 3.2% · 1–31
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,751 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Mayson (GB) 0% · 0–29
Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,384 runs since 2016 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 1,731. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.
Fast Company (IRE) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,599 runs since 2014 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.
Multiplex (GB) 12% · 3–25
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,181 runs since 2011 (291 horses).
Exceed and Excel (AUS) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,032 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,006 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,006 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 February 2015 to 13 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Snooze Lane (IRE)J: William Pyle Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 4/1
18 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Snooze Lane (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell JJX Logistics Going The Distance Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 22/1
08 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee Pretty Darn Quick (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 300/1
19 Jun 26 Market Rasen Gms Prince (GB)J: Robert Dunne ABP Ports Of Hull & Goole Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 10 ran F 14/1
13 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Pretty Darn Quick (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley For Soldiers For Life Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran PU 250/1
20 May 26 Warwick La Vish (FR)J: Sean Bowen Logic Defying Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Good · 7 ran 5th 5/1
16 May 26 Bangor-on-Dee Pretty Darn Quick (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Family Fun Day 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran 10th 250/1
02 May 26 Uttoxeter Pretty Darn Quick (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Support The Stoke City Foundation 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 7th 250/1
23 Apr 26 Perth La Vish (FR)J: Paul O'Brien Download The Free Racing TV App Now Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 18/1
05 Apr 26 Market Rasen Gms Prince (GB)J: Robert Dunne Mariner Packaging Sing When We're Fishing Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 13/2
31 Mar 26 Bangor-on-Dee Seekingrainbows (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 7th 125/1
26 Mar 26 Warwick La Vish (FR)J: Robert Dunne Feldon Dunsmore Proudly Employee-Owned Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 3 ran 1st 20/1
15 Mar 26 Market Rasen Gms Prince (GB)J: Robert Dunne CopyBet Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 4th 10/3
10 Mar 26 Southwell (AW) Mr Slicker (FR)J: Joe Leavy Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 20/1
04 Mar 26 Southwell (AW) Mr Slicker (FR)J: Tyler Heard Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Classified Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 18/1
25 Feb 26 Bangor-on-Dee Seekingrainbows (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Wynnstay Mares' 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 300/1
24 Feb 26 Southwell (AW) Mr Slicker (FR)J: Joe Leavy Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Classified Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 40/1
20 Feb 26 Warwick La Vish (FR)J: Robert Dunne Aston Villa Foundation EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Soft · 4 ran 3rd 50/1
13 Feb 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Bondi Man (GB)J: Alistair Rawlinson Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Classified StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 66/1
05 Feb 26 Huntingdon Pretty Darn Quick (GB)J: Robert Dunne Lockwood Premium British Smocks Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 200/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 13 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 13 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Sarah Hollinshead's strike rate?
Sarah Hollinshead has won 12 of 316 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.8% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sarah Hollinshead do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 124 runners (5.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Sarah Hollinshead's Fair A/E?
0.61, from 315 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).