No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.9%−1.6
n=17 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −14.62
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
66.7%+59.2
n=3 · A/E 3.26 · £1 +3.38
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−7.5
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
100%
n=2 · A/E 3.59 · £1 +4.38
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.5%+0.0
n=40 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −23.62
Big fields · 14+ runners
11.1%+3.6
n=18 · A/E 1.53 · £1 −4.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races10% vs 7.5% · n=30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle30310%−13.62
NH Flat600%−6.00
Chase400%−4.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good15213.3%−2.62
Good to Soft10110%−6.00
Good to Firm700%−7.00
Soft400%−4.00
Heavy200%−2.00
Standard (AW)200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Huntingdon6116.7%+4.00
Cheltenham400%−4.00
Stratford3133.3%−0.62
Uttoxeter300%−3.00
Wincanton300%−3.00
Towcester200%−2.00
Doncaster200%−2.00
Fontwell200%−2.00
Exeter11100%+3.00
Newbury100%−1.00
Ludlow100%−1.00
Lingfield100%−1.00
Leicester100%−1.00
Kempton100%−1.00
Hereford100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 417211.8%−3.00
Class 3900%−9.00
Class 58112.5%−5.62
Class 6500%−5.00
Class 2100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite4250%2.35+2.38
2nd–3rd fav600%0.00−6.00
4th–6th fav1119.1%1.37−1.00
7th+ in betting1900%0.00−19.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m1500%−15.00
2m1f – 2m4f13323.1%+3.38
2m5f – 3m1200%−12.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20082328.7%−9.00
20098112.5%−5.62
2010900%−9.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps2129.5%−7.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners1300%−13.00
14-16 runners9111.1%−5.00
17+ runners9111.1%+1.00
8-10 runners7114.3%−4.62
5-7 runners200%−2.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 19 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
025140000002000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Lordsbridge (USA) — Weatherbys Bloodstock Insurance Handicap Hurdle Exeter · Mar 2008 · Class 4
£4,554
Lordsbridge (USA) — BetChronicle.com For Better Prices Handicap Hurdle Huntingdon · Feb 2008 · Class 4
£2,741
The Good Guy (IRE) — Stratford-on-Avon 'Hands And Heels' Jumps Series Selling Hurdle (Conds/Amats) Stratford · Oct 2009 · Class 5
Progeny have won 9.7% of 31 runs since 2008 (1 horse).
Keen (GB)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 0.8% of 130 runs since 2008 (21 horses).
Shambo (IRE)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.1% of 267 runs since 2008 (36 horses).
Silver Patriarch (IRE)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,609 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.3% from 274. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.3% from 300.
Diktat (GB)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,931 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.4% from 431. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 156.
Rashar (USA)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 6.3% of 997 runs since 2008 (122 horses). Strongest on Good going: 10.4% from 251. Weakest on Heavy going: 2.7% from 219.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 58 · newest first
The latest 50 of 58 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 April 2006 to 8 June 2010.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Jason Favell's strike rate?
Jason Favell has won 3 of 40 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Jason Favell's Fair A/E?
1.13, from 40 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Jason Favell·SR 7.5%·A/E 1.13
1Tap Share in the toolbar2Scroll down the sheet3Tap Add to Home Screen, then Add
1Open your browser's menu (the three dots)2Tap Add to Home screen or Install app
KTB
Cookies on Kickthebookies
We use essential cookies to run the site and remember your betslip. No advertising or tracking cookies, ever. By continuing to use this site, you agree. Cookie policy