No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
2–235
Wins / Runs
0.9%
Strike rate
n=235
25 (11%)
Placed
0.22
Fair A/E
n=233 · 0.19 incl. margin
−213.00
£1 level stake
n=235 at SP · −90.6%
£30,555
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 120 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.22).
Deterministic profile computed from 235 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceMiss Carey Williamson: 1.6% from 64
The read
The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 0.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.13 and −189.00 to a £1 stake over 198 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Miss Carey Williamson rode 27% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (1.6%, A/E 0.45). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 5: Fair A/E 0.00 across 92 runners (0% strike, −92.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was New Perk (IRE) — 6 wins from 19 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 0.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−0.9
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−0.9
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−0.9
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−0.9
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−0.9
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0.5%−0.4
n=198 · A/E 0.13 · £1 −189.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−0.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On Good going2.8% vs 0.9% · n=71 · A/E 0.70
Off a 15-30-day break2.5% vs 0.9% · n=79 · A/E 0.60
In Class 42.3% vs 0.9% · n=86 · A/E 0.55
In Class 50% vs 0.9% · n=92 · A/E 0.00
With horses switching code0% vs 0.9% · n=72 · A/E 0.00
In Flat races0% vs 0.9% · n=67 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle14221.4%−120.00
Flat6700%−67.00
Chase2100%−21.00
NH Flat500%−5.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good7122.8%−49.00
Good to Firm5100%−51.00
Standard (AW)4300%−43.00
Good to Soft4100%−41.00
Soft1800%−18.00
Heavy800%−8.00
Firm300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Fakenham4100%−41.00
Wetherby2200%−22.00
Southwell (AW)1700%−17.00
Huntingdon1400%−14.00
Market Rasen1000%−10.00
Lingfield (AW)1000%−10.00
Fontwell900%−9.00
Plumpton900%−9.00
Kempton (AW)900%−9.00
Stratford800%−8.00
Newmarket700%−7.00
Doncaster700%−7.00
Southwell700%−7.00
Uttoxeter700%−7.00
Catterick700%−7.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 59200%−92.00
Class 48622.3%−64.00
Class 63800%−38.00
Class 31300%−13.00
Class 1400%−4.00
Class 2100%−1.00
Class 7100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite200%0.00−2.00
2nd–3rd fav1700%0.00−17.00
4th–6th fav4412.3%0.39−35.00
7th+ in betting17210.6%0.24−159.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m7811.3%−69.00
2m1f – 2m4f6411.6%−51.00
2m5f – 3m2700%−27.00
1m2f – 1m4f2200%−22.00
1m – 1m1f1900%−19.00
6f – 7f1600%−16.00
Under 6f900%−9.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200818721.1%−165.00
20094800%−48.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps15010.7%−141.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners8500%−85.00
14-16 runners5311.9%−40.00
8-10 runners5311.9%−44.00
5-7 runners2800%−28.00
17+ runners1300%−13.00
2-4 runners300%−3.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 37 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 37 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Jim Boyle (3); 14 had their first archived run for this yard.
18 have since run for another yard, most often for David Bridgwater (4) and Diana Weeden (2); 19 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000001400000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
16
Archived wins
£125k
Prize money
2007
Best season · 8 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
New Perk (IRE) — Tim Barclay Memorial Handicap Chase Fakenham · Mar 2006 · Class 4
£5,855
New Perk (IRE) — Jewson Handicap Chase Fakenham · Nov 2005 · Class 4
£5,075
New Perk (IRE) — Gg.com Novices' Handicap Chase Fakenham · Dec 2005 · Class 4
Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,332 runs since 2008 (251 horses).
Polar Falcon (USA)5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 8% of 261 runs since 2008 (27 horses).
Soviet Star (USA)0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,621 runs since 2008 (171 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5% from 160. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 320.
Lomitas (GB)0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 10.7% of 1,870 runs since 2008 (163 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.6% from 122. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.2% from 319. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.7% from 120.
Observatory (USA)0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 8.4% of 2,276 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.5% from 330.
Teamster (GB)0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 5% of 60 runs since 2008 (8 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 704 · newest first
The latest 50 of 704 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 31 March 2009.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is M J Gingell's strike rate?
M J Gingell has won 2 of 235 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 0.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M J Gingell do best at?
Fakenham by strike rate: 0 wins from 41 runners (0%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M J Gingell?
Miss Carey Williamson, with 64 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.6%).
What is M J Gingell's Fair A/E?
0.22, from 233 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
M J Gingell·SR 0.9%·A/E 0.22
KTB
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