What is Andy Turnell's strike rate?

Andy Turnell has won 104 of 1,055 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Andy Turnell do best at?

Wincanton by strike rate: 15 wins from 78 runners (19.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Andy Turnell?

Nick Scholfield, with 316 runners since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (10.4%).

What is Andy Turnell's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 1,051 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Andy Turnell

1,055 runners in the lifetime window · 117 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Nov 2015

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

104–1,055

Wins / Runs

9.9%

Strike rate

n=1,055

278 (26%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=1,051 · 0.85 incl. margin

−280.41

£1 level stake

n=1,055 at SP · −26.6%

£820k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 130 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,055 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Mar–May 28.9% when favourite Nick Scholfield: 10.4% from 316 Claiming riders: 10% Sent off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wincanton (19.2%, n=78) and Towcester (18.9%, n=37) — all clear of the yard's 9.9% baseline. It is weakest at Cheltenham (0% over 37 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 4.5% (n=44, Fair A/E 0.56). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 9.7% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.20 and +25.75 to a £1 stake over 185 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Nick Scholfield rode 30% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.4%, A/E 0.91). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the totepool Swinton Handicap Hurdle at Haydock (May 2008, £42,758). The stable star of the record was Blue Bajan (IRE) — 10 wins from 49 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Mar–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.7%−0.2

n=185 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +25.75

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.5%−5.4

n=44 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −34.50

Debutants · first career start

8.7%−1.2

n=46 · A/E 1.46 · £1 +6.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.3%−3.6

n=32 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −13.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.7%−6.2

n=27 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −23.25

When favourite

28.9%

n=90 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −9.40

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10%+0.1

n=370 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −46.87

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5%−4.9

n=20 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −16.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 19.3% vs 9.9% · n=109

At Wincanton 19.2% vs 9.9% · n=78

At Cheltenham 0% vs 9.9% · n=37

With Mark Grant 17.5% vs 9.9% · n=103

At Towcester 18.9% vs 9.9% · n=37

With Miss Brodie Hampson 18.4% vs 9.9% · n=38

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 379 44 11.6% −33.44

Chase 354 41 11.6% −134.85

Flat 264 16 6.1% −93.12

NH Flat 58 3 5.2% −19.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 328 42 12.8% −63.84

Good to Soft 240 23 9.6% −65.98

Standard (AW) 160 10 6.3% −49.12

Soft 149 11 7.4% −49.50

Good to Firm 119 14 11.8% −22.97

Heavy 49 3 6.1% −21.50

Firm 10 1 10% −7.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wincanton 78 15 19.2% +0.85

Lingfield (AW) 60 7 11.7% −7.12

Kempton 54 9 16.7% +23.83

Kempton (AW) 49 2 4.1% −6.00

Exeter 46 5 10.9% −17.00

Newbury 45 1 2.2% −30.00

Leicester 43 3 7% −18.75

Chepstow 40 3 7.5% −8.00

Worcester 39 5 12.8% +15.62

Wolverhampton (AW) 38 1 2.6% −23.00

Towcester 37 7 18.9% −9.25

Cheltenham 37 0 0% −37.00

Stratford 34 5 14.7% −5.67

Huntingdon 33 3 9.1% +2.00

Taunton 33 2 6.1% −25.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 380 48 12.6% −44.20

Class 5 251 22 8.8% −72.41

Class 3 176 19 10.8% −63.55

Class 6 150 10 6.7% −30.00

Class 1 64 2 3.1% −55.25

Class 2 31 3 9.7% −12.00

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 120 31 25.8% 0.98 −17.90

2nd–3rd fav 222 41 18.5% 1.18 −1.51

4th–6th fav 309 21 6.8% 0.84 −80.00

7th+ in betting 404 11 2.7% 0.86 −181.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

80.2% completed · 733 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 354 70.6% 25 19 56 1 3

Hurdle 379 89.2% 10 2 28 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sablazo (FR) 39 2 11 31 Mar 14

Aine's Delight (IRE) 36 5 11 3 Jun 12

Bolanderi (USA) 34 2 8 7 Dec 12

Micheal Flips (IRE)then E Bolger 33 6 13 10 May 13

Double The Trouble (GB)from Bob Buckler 33 6 15 26 Feb 12

Lordsbridge (USA)from D P Keane 31 3 14 10 Apr 11

High Jack (IRE)then Sue Smith 28 6 12 4 Jun 11

Connor's Choice (GB) 28 3 7 8 Dec 10

Haar (GB) 27 4 11 21 Jul 13

Bible Lord (IRE) 23 2 6 8 Apr 11

Interactive (IRE)then Dai Burchell 21 1 6 10 Oct 09

Black Phantom (IRE)then Mark Gillard 20 2 6 9 May 12

The 60 most-raced of 117 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 21 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Tom Dascombe (2); 39 had their first archived run for this yard.

27 have since run for another yard, most often for Emma Lavelle (3) and Sally Randell (3); 33 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

11514131363761783

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderNick Scholfield

30% of all rides
10.4% SR · A/E 0.91

RiderRWSR£1

Nick Scholfield 316 33 10.4% −112.20

Mark Grant 103 18 17.5% −4.88

Ed Cookson 84 7 8.3% +1.50

James Banks 78 7 9% −38.50

Miss Brodie Hampson 38 7 18.4% +9.76

Alan Daly 36 1 2.8% −27.00

Simon Pearce 34 4 11.8% +27.00

Gerard Tumelty 32 3 9.4% −8.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

150

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.20m

Prize money

2008

Best season · 34 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Blue Bajan (IRE) — totepool Swinton Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Haydock · May 2008 · Class 1

£42,758

Blue Bajan (IRE) — bet at bluesq.com City And Suburban Handicap Epsom Downs · Apr 2007 · Class 2

£24,928

Micheal Flips (IRE) — Williamhill.com Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle Kempton · Jan 2010 · Class 2

£18,786

Notable horses

Blue Bajan (IRE) High Jack (IRE) Double The Trouble (GB) Micheal Flips (IRE) Dower House (GB) Aine's Delight (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

King's Best (USA) 10.5% · 6–57

Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.

Kayf Tara (GB) 11.8% · 6–51

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,736 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Mister Lord (USA) 17% · 8–47

Progeny have won 8% of 565 runs since 2008 (79 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.9% from 108. Weakest on Soft going: 4% from 151. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 149. Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 4.5% from 111.

Ragmar (FR) 5.1% · 2–39

Progeny have won 10.5% of 418 runs since 2008 (53 horses).

Selkirk (USA) 13.9% · 5–36

Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,371 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 228. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.7% from 143.

Seeking The Gold (USA) 5.9% · 2–34

Progeny have won 10.5% of 544 runs since 2008 (53 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 13.6% from 154. Weakest on Good going: 7.3% from 124.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,476 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,476 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 January 2005 to 17 November 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Nov 15 Fakenham Lady Knight (IRE)J: James Banks Fakenham Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 16/1

16 Nov 15 Plumpton Sergeant Dick (IRE)J: Mr Sam Burton Sicame Amateur Riders' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 25/1

14 Nov 15 Uttoxeter Aristocracy (GB)J: Miss Brodie Hampson Banks's Sunbeam Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Soft · 11 ran PU 25/1

13 Nov 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Eastern Dragon (IRE)J: Noel Garbutt Bet & Watch Every Race At Unibet Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 16/1

12 Nov 15 Taunton Goal (IRE)J: Miss Brodie Hampson Toteexacta Pick The 1st And 2nd Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 14 ran 4th 20/1

10 Nov 15 Huntingdon Sir Albie (GB)J: James Banks Omni Security Guarding 'Junior' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 13.5f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 66/1

04 Nov 15 Warwick Sergeant Dick (IRE)J: James Banks 32red.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 6 ran PU 10/1

04 Nov 15 Warwick Goal (IRE)J: Miss Brodie Hampson 32red Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 11th 33/1

29 Oct 15 Lingfield (AW) Eastern Dragon (IRE)J: Ciaran Mckee Download The Ladbrokes App Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 16/1

16 Oct 15 Wincanton Prince Of Silver (GB)J: James Banks Shepton Mallet Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25f · Good To Firm · 6 ran PU 25/1

13 Oct 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Aristocracy (GB)J: Ciaran Mckee Like Wolverhampton Racecourse On Facebook HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 100/1

01 Oct 15 Chelmsford City (AW) Aristocracy (GB)J: Ciaran Mckee Win A Football Fortune With Scoop6Soccer HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 66/1

29 Sep 15 Southwell Prince Of Silver (GB)J: James Banks Ladbrokes Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 15 ran 8th 25/1

26 Sep 15 Chelmsford City (AW) Eastern Dragon (IRE)J: Ross Atkinson Scoop6soccer The 1 Million Football Bet HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 33/1

25 Sep 15 Worcester Killimordaly (IRE)J: James Banks Pamela Ann Selling HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 5 ran 4th 25/1

17 Sep 15 Chelmsford City (AW) Eastern Dragon (IRE)J: Ciaran Mckee mytotepool.com HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 12/1

14 Sep 15 Stratford Breezy Kin (IRE)J: William Kennedy Paul Webber Stables Visit Tomorrow Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 10/3

08 Sep 15 Perth Count Salazar (IRE)J: Miss Brodie Hampson Crabbie's Alcoholic Ginger Beer Amateur Riders' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 4/1

08 Sep 15 Perth Goal (IRE)J: Miss Brodie Hampson Salutation Hotel Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 6th 12/1

04 Sep 15 Kempton (AW) Eastern Dragon (IRE)J: Noel Garbutt 32red On The App Store HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 3rd 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Andy Turnell's strike rate?: Andy Turnell has won 104 of 1,055 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Andy Turnell do best at?: Wincanton by strike rate: 15 wins from 78 runners (19.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Andy Turnell?: Nick Scholfield, with 316 runners since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (10.4%).
What is Andy Turnell's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 1,051 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.