Jennifer Ferguson
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09). Rode mostly for Edward Creighton — 48% of rides in the window.
First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 2.6% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.51). Edward Creighton supplied 48% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11.3% vs 6.4%, A/E 1.83) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well over 1m – 1m1f (10%, n=30).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 127 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 127 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2005 to 23 May 2014.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Jennifer Ferguson's strike rate?
- Jennifer Ferguson has won 7 of 110 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jennifer Ferguson do best at?
- Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 50 rides (8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Jennifer Ferguson ride most for?
- Edward Creighton, with 53 rides since 2008 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (11.3%).
- What is Jennifer Ferguson's Fair A/E?
- 1.09, from 110 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.