John Best
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 230 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93).
The record is strongest at Chester (18.2%, n=33) and Salisbury (16.1%, n=31) — all clear of the yard's 8.1% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 0% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.67 and −153.39 to a £1 stake over 427 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Kieren Fox rode 23% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.6% vs 8.1%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 8 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Golden Jubilee Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2008, £212,888). The stable star of the record was Berrahri (IRE) — 14 wins from 100 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jan–Feb.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 4,295 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 4,295 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 12 October 2021.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is John Best's strike rate?
- John Best has won 263 of 3,256 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does John Best do best at?
- Epsom by strike rate: 8 wins from 58 runners (13.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for John Best?
- Kieren Fox, with 735 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 85 (11.6%).
- What is John Best's Fair A/E?
- 0.93, from 3,241 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.