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Trainer profile

Chris Dwyer

470 runners in the last 5 seasons · 48 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
52–470
Wins / Runs
11.1%
Strike rate
n=470
138 (29%)
Placed
0.96
Fair A/E
n=469 · 0.82 incl. margin
−165.12
£1 level stake
n=470 at SP · −35.1%
£484k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
11.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96).

Deterministic profile computed from 470 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May 30% when favourite Silvestre De Sousa: 14.7% from 150 Sends off the favourite in 11% of races
The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.00). Silvestre De Sousa rides 32% of the entries and edges the yard's average (14.7% vs 11.1%, A/E 0.93). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (16.5%, n=97) and on Good going (15.7%, n=70). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Bank Of Scotland Corporate Hambleton Handicap at York (May 2008, £20,741). The stable star of the record: Basil Berry (GB) — 10 wins from 59 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.3%−0.8
n=58 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −4.67
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−11.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−11.1
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.5%−6.6
n=22 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −19.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
5.9%−5.2
n=17 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −12.00
When favourite
30%
n=50 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −2.98
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.9%−2.2
n=101 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −44.84
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−11.1
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With debutants 0% vs 11.1% · n=30
With Stefano Cherchi 2.2% vs 11.1% · n=46
Off a 8-14-day break 16.5% vs 11.1% · n=97
With Marco Ghiani 17.6% vs 11.1% · n=34
With Thore Hammer Hansen 5.6% vs 11.1% · n=36
On Good going 15.7% vs 11.1% · n=70
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 465 52 11.2% −160.12
Hurdle 3 0 0% −3.00
Chase 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 236 24 10.2% −72.89
Good to Firm 98 9 9.2% −57.50
Good 70 11 15.7% −10.89
Good to Soft 38 5 13.2% −9.67
Soft 24 2 8.3% −17.17
Heavy 3 1 33.3% +4.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Yarmouth 105 12 11.4% −56.09
Chelmsford City (AW) 60 6 10% −25.00
Kempton (AW) 52 5 9.6% −20.75
Southwell (AW) 46 3 6.5% −14.55
Wolverhampton (AW) 38 4 10.5% −8.50
Lingfield (AW) 28 4 14.3% −9.42
Windsor 18 2 11.1% −8.50
Doncaster 13 2 15.4% −4.17
Newcastle (AW) 12 2 16.7% +5.33
Leicester 11 2 18.2% +0.50
Newmarket 10 0 0% −10.00
Newmarket 10 3 30% +15.00
Brighton 9 2 22.2% −0.50
Lingfield 7 0 0% −7.00
Ascot 7 1 14.3% −2.67

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 185 20 10.8% −80.42
Class 6 138 20 14.5% −18.60
Class 4 101 10 9.9% −51.10
Class 3 30 2 6.7% +1.00
Class 2 13 0 0% −13.00
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 56 18 32.1% 1.10 +3.43
2nd–3rd fav 126 24 19% 1.13 +8.95
4th–6th fav 148 8 5.4% 0.67 −76.50
7th+ in betting 140 2 1.4% 0.47 −101.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Berry Clever (GB) 37 6 16 9 Oct 26
Epic Express (GB)from James Ferguson 36 5 11 19 Nov 24
Sir Oliver (IRE)from Richard Hughes 35 3 11 17 Oct 24
Jimmy Speaking (GB) 32 5 15 23 Sep 26
Style King (IRE)from Roger Varian 23 4 9 19 Oct 26
My Mate Kev (GB) 20 2 5 19 Oct 26
Horse Whisperer (IRE) 20 3 7 27 Sep 24
Cogsworth (GB) 18 2 5 26 Oct 24
Man Of Desert (GB) 17 0 2 19 Oct 26
Twayblade (GB) 17 3 4 17 Jul 24
Cameley Days (GB)from Michael Blake 14 4 6 8 Oct 26
Specialist View (GB) 14 1 3 9 Jul 25
All 48 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 48 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive; 33 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for John Butler (6) and Jessica Macey (2); 32 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 8
Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
250813151091081540
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderSilvestre De Sousa
32% of all rides
14.7% SR · A/E 0.93
RiderRWSR£1
Silvestre De Sousa 150 22 14.7% −39.05
Stefano Cherchi 46 1 2.2% −40.50
Thore Hammer Hansen 36 2 5.6% −23.50
Marco Ghiani 34 6 17.6% +16.99
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
307
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£2.19m
Prize money
2016
Best season · 31 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Mia's Boy (GB) — Bank Of Scotland Corporate Hambleton Handicap (Listed) York · May 2008 · Listed
£20,741
Jimmy Speaking (GB) — Racing League Race 3 Handicap (Trainers Registered to Racing League) Yarmouth · Jul 2025 · Class 4
£18,039
The Third Star (GB) — Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) Southwell (AW) · Apr 2025 · Class 3
£16,200
Notable horses
Basil Berry (GB) Mia's Boy (GB) Rough Rock (IRE) Patriotic (IRE) Foie Gras (GB) Sir Oliver (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Expert Eye (GB) 13.7% · 7–51
Progeny have won 10% of 2,187 runs since 2008 (196 horses).
Territories (IRE) 15.2% · 7–46
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,601 runs since 2008 (348 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 13.3% from 533.
Twilight Son (GB) 13.9% · 5–36
Progeny have won 9.6% of 3,641 runs since 2008 (281 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.6% from 613.
Dark Angel (IRE) 8.6% · 3–35
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,876 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Aclaim (IRE) 17.6% · 6–34
Progeny have won 10% of 2,522 runs since 2008 (200 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.8% from 385.
Study Of Man (IRE) 3.1% · 1–32
Progeny have won 14.6% of 1,152 runs since 2008 (147 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.5% from 128. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 9.4% from 245.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,721 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,721 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Man Of Desert (GB)J: Harry Davies attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 33/1
19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) My Mate Kev (GB)J: Harry Davies Cavani Tailored Champion Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 9/2
19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Style King (IRE)J: Harry Davies Cavani Best Dressed Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 25/1
15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Sable Island (GB)J: Harry Davies Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 16/1
09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Berry Clever (GB)J: Harry Davies Try Unibet's Superboosts Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 1st 7/2
09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Wild Rosie (GB)J: Harry Davies Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 4th 14/1
08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Man Of Desert (GB)J: Silvestre De Sousa Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 14/1
08 Oct 26 Bath Cameley Days (GB)J: Harry Davies Mj Church Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5.5f · Good · 10 ran 9th 12/1
05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Squashy Berry (GB)J: Joe Leavy Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 10th 12/1
05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) My Mate Kev (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 4/1
02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Style King (IRE)J: Harry Davies Franklin Hodge Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 9/2
02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Sable Island (GB)J: Harry Davies Rockspur CIC EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 6/1
28 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Wild Rosie (GB)J: Nicola Currie Free Race Replays On Attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 20/1
26 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Plastic Dream (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Dance Through The Decades Christmas Parties EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 9/2
24 Sep 26 Newmarket Berry Clever (GB)J: Silvestre De Sousa JRA Japan Cup Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 1st 13/2
23 Sep 26 Goodwood Percy's Star (GB)J: Silvestre De Sousa Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 15 ran 1st 8/1
23 Sep 26 Goodwood Jimmy Speaking (GB)J: Silvestre De Sousa Heineken Handicap StakesClass 2 · 8f · Good · 7 ran 7th 100/30
19 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Style King (IRE)J: Billy Garritty Mini Golf At High Gosforth Park Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 12/1
17 Sep 26 Yarmouth Man Of Desert (GB)J: Harry Davies LA Continental Cafe Of Great Yarmouth Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 6th 20/1
17 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Sable Island (GB)J: Silvestre De Sousa Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Chris Dwyer's strike rate?
Chris Dwyer has won 52 of 470 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Chris Dwyer do best at?
Yarmouth by strike rate: 12 wins from 105 runners (11.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Chris Dwyer?
Silvestre De Sousa, with 150 runners since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (14.7%).
Is Chris Dwyer in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Chris Dwyer's Fair A/E?
0.96, from 469 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).