What is Johnny Charron's strike rate?

Johnny Charron has won 108 of 663 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 16.3% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Johnny Charron do best at?

Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 79 wins from 476 rides (16.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Johnny Charron ride most for?

Daniela Mele, with 133 rides since 2022 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 35 (26.3%).

Is Johnny Charron in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 9 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Johnny Charron's Fair A/E?

1.23, from 662 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Johnny Charron

663 rides in the last 5 seasons · 326 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

108–663

Wins / Runs

16.3%

Strike rate

n=663

243 (37%)

Placed

1.23

Fair A/E

n=662 · 1.02 incl. margin

+31.65

£1 level stake

n=663 at SP · +4.8%

£8.05m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 130 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 16% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.23). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 28% (108 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 663 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May 36.2% when favourite Daniela Mele: 26.3% from 133 LTO winners: 27.8% Rides the favourite in 16% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 27.8% (n=108, Fair A/E 1.23), but first rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 11.1% (n=296, Fair A/E 1.05). Rides in big fields of 14 or more are the standout value angle: 13.1% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.70 and +22.00 to a £1 stake over 168 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Daniela Mele supplies 20% of the rides and beats the rider's average (26.3% vs 16.3%, A/E 1.72) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 31-60-day break (23.9%, n=88). 65 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris at Auteuil (FR) (May 2023, £358,407). The standout partner of the record: Losange Bleu (FR) — 10 wins from 19 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 16.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

11.1%−5.2

n=296 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −35.20

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

27.8%+11.5

n=108 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −8.35

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

14.9%−1.4

n=215 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −25.35

When favourite

36.2%

n=105 · A/E 1.10 · £1 +2.35

Big fields · 14+ runners

13.1%−3.2

n=168 · A/E 1.70 · £1 +22.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

17.9%+1.6

n=279 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +6.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 27.8% vs 16.3% · n=108

With Daniela Mele 26.3% vs 16.3% · n=133

With debutants 7.1% vs 16.3% · n=113

With C&D winners 23.7% vs 16.3% · n=190

Off a 31-60-day break 23.9% vs 16.3% · n=88

With M Seror 8.9% vs 16.3% · n=56

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 425 69 16.2% +74.00

Chase 238 39 16.4% −42.35

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Heavy 376 52 13.8% −56.50

Soft 283 55 19.4% +89.40

Good 2 0 0% −2.00

Good to Soft 1 1 100% +1.75

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 476 79 16.6% +59.20

Compiegne (FR) 153 22 14.4% −42.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 11 3 27.3% +5.30

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 7 1 14.3% +3.10

Dieppe (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Pau (FR) 3 1 33.3% +1.30

Cheltenham 3 1 33.3% +12.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Strasbourg (FR) 1 1 100% +1.75

Nantes (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 281 51 18.1% +13.30

Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 4 6 1 16.7% +3.00

Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 108 40 37% 1.13 +4.65

2nd–3rd fav 163 37 22.7% 1.40 +19.60

4th–6th fav 223 23 10.3% 1.20 +18.90

7th+ in betting 169 8 4.7% 1.13 −11.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

87.5% completed · 662 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 237 82.7% 14 7 19 0 1

Hurdle 425 90.1% 13 2 25 0 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Losange Bleu (FR) 19 10 14 11 Oct 26

Pistache Dore (FR) 17 6 8 19 Apr 26

Sel Jem (FR) 13 6 8 22 Sep 26

Kandy Park (FR) 11 7 8 31 May 25

Geelong Sport (FR) 11 2 6 26 Nov 23

Johnny Roque (FR) 9 1 3 11 Oct 26

Apollon Du Luy (FR) 9 2 6 27 Sep 25

French Lover (FR) 8 1 3 17 Oct 26

Forza (FR) 8 1 2 9 Sep 25

Eximia (GB) 8 2 5 8 Oct 23

Villa Rica (FR) 8 1 2 1 Sep 23

Leopard Du Berlais (FR) 7 3 4 26 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 326 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 9

Only 9 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

251014182914001214156

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDaniela Mele

20% of all rides
26.3% SR · A/E 1.72

TrainerRWSR£1

Daniela Mele 133 35 26.3% +83.70

H De Lageneste & G Macaire 71 14 19.7% +8.40

D Cottin 62 9 14.5% −1.25

M Seror 56 5 8.9% −35.90

P & C Peltier 46 5 10.9% −15.70

J Boisnard 45 6 13.3% −16.30

Gabriel Leenders 40 7 17.5% +10.60

Yannick Fouin 32 4 12.5% +16.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

187

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£12.0m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 29 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Rosario Baron (FR) — Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2023 · Grade 1

£358,407

Sel Jem (FR) — Le Defi des Haras - Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2026 · Grade 1

£327,522

Sel Jem (FR) — Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2022 · Grade 1

£310,084

Notable horses

Losange Bleu (FR) Sel Jem (FR) Kandy Park (FR) Pistache Dore (FR) Rosario Baron (FR) Geelong Sport (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kapgarde (FR) 7.7% · 3–39

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,631 runs since 2008 (725 horses).

Martaline (GB) 33.3% · 12–36

Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,347 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.

Cokoriko (FR) 15.2% · 5–33

Progeny have won 13.2% of 2,303 runs since 2017 (379 horses).

Masked Marvel (GB) 30.3% · 10–33

Progeny have won 15.5% of 1,633 runs since 2019 (266 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 20% from 285.

Doctor Dino (FR) 4.2% · 1–24

Progeny have won 16% of 3,224 runs since 2013 (497 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.8% from 562. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.5% from 211. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 694. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.

No Risk At All (FR) 13.6% · 3–22

Progeny have won 14.3% of 3,155 runs since 2016 (438 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.4% from 952.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,286 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,286 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 April 2005 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Irene Has (FR)T: D Cottin Prix Pre Catelan17.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 4th 14/1

29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Nimitz (FR)T: D Cottin Prix Du Theatre Imperial Du Chateau De FontainebleauClass 3 · 18f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 25/1

29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Nikita De Ciergues (FR)T: Giada Menato Prix Patrice QuenedeyClass 4 · 17.5f · Soft · 16 ran 11th 14/1

29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Nar Kanji (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Comte Antoine De Gontaut-bironClass 4 · 17.5f · Soft · 16 ran 7th 22/1

28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Saint Laurus (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix LusignanClass 2 · 17.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 7th 14/1

28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Loustic De Ciergue (FR)T: Giada Menato Prix HunoriskClass 4 · 18f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 25/1

28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Volt Du Berlais (FR)T: D Cottin Prix Maurice D'okhuysenClass 2 · 17.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 7/1

24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Lewis Grey (FR)T: J Boisnard Prix CerillyClass 1 · 17f · Heavy · 12 ran 1st 8/1

24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Lady Lady Lay (FR)T: Gabriel Leenders Prix De Beaune18f · Heavy · 15 ran 7th 18/1

22 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Lagon Bleu (FR)T: J Boisnard Prix General DonnioClass 1 · 22f · Very Soft · 10 ran 3rd 9/2

22 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) House Of Lords (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Emilius18f · Very Soft · 13 ran 11th 7/1

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Chuck Berry (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Jean Des Roches De Chassay21f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 11/4F

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Jazz Manouche (FR)T: Giada Menato Prix Heros XiiClass 1 · 22f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 20/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) French Lover (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix OrcadaClass 1 · 22f · Heavy · 7 ran 3rd 17/2

11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Losange Bleu (FR)T: D Bressou Prix Carmarthen (grade 3)Class 1 · 21.5f · Heavy · 8 ran PU 11/8F

11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Johnny Roque (FR)T: Daniela Mele Prix Montgomery (Groupe Iii)Class 1 · 23.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 6th 12/1

11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Irene Has (FR)T: D Cottin Prix Beaurepaire18f · Heavy · 13 ran REF 11/1

03 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Nextobe Has (FR)T: D Cottin Prix De L'association Des Amis Du Musee Du Cheval MilitaireClass 4 · 18f · Heavy · 8 ran 1st 8/1

03 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Nikita De Ciergues (FR)T: Giada Menato Prix De La Table Du RoiClass 4 · 17.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 6th 12/1

01 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Magicien D'or (FR)T: Giada Menato Prix FezensacClass 2 · 17.5f · Very Soft · 13 ran — 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Johnny Charron's strike rate?: Johnny Charron has won 108 of 663 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 16.3% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Johnny Charron do best at?: Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 79 wins from 476 rides (16.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Johnny Charron ride most for?: Daniela Mele, with 133 rides since 2022 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 35 (26.3%).
Is Johnny Charron in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 9 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Johnny Charron's Fair A/E?: 1.23, from 662 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.