What is Daniela Mele's strike rate?

Daniela Mele has won 125 of 850 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 14.7% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Daniela Mele do best at?

Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 80 wins from 541 runners (14.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Daniela Mele?

L Brechet, with 185 runners since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (16.2%).

Is Daniela Mele in form?

In the last 14 days: 16 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 12.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 14.7% since 2022.

What is Daniela Mele's Fair A/E?

1.21, from 842 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Daniela Mele

850 runners in the last 5 seasons · 248 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 3.1% of 261 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)

from 1 Jan 2022

125–850

Wins / Runs

14.7%

Strike rate

n=850

295 (35%)

Placed

1.21

Fair A/E

n=842 · 1.00 incl. margin

−34.73

£1 level stake

n=848 at SP · −4.1%

£6.81m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 170 runners a season, winning with 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.21). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 22% off breaks of two months or more (247 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 850 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep Fresh horses: 21.5% 37.8% when favourite L Brechet: 16.2% from 185 Sends off the favourite in 13% of races

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 21.5% (n=247, Fair A/E 1.70), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 7.1% (n=70, Fair A/E 0.74). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 16% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.25 and +22.20 to a £1 stake over 231 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. L Brechet rides 22% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (16.2%, A/E 1.33) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 61-180-day break (23.4%, n=167). The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 5% over 40 runners, 9.7pts below the baseline. 42 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris at Auteuil (FR) (May 2023, £358,407). The stable star of the record: Kandy Park (FR) — 8 wins from 15 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

21.5%+6.8

n=247 · A/E 1.70 · £1 +109.85

New recruits · first run for the yard

15.4%+0.7

n=13 · A/E 1.60 · £1 −1.50

Debutants · first career start

9.5%−5.2

n=211 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −33.48

First-time headgear · true-first definition

13.5%−1.2

n=178 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +17.62

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

37.5%+22.8

n=8 · A/E 3.92 · £1 +13.30

When favourite

37.8%

n=111 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +5.07

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.1%−7.6

n=70 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −24.10

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

16%+1.3

n=231 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +22.20

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 31.5% vs 14.7% · n=108

With Johnny Charron 26.3% vs 14.7% · n=133

Off a 61-180-day break 23.4% vs 14.7% · n=167

With Clement Lefebvre 4% vs 14.7% · n=50

With James Reveley 23.6% vs 14.7% · n=72

Off a 8-14-day break 5% vs 14.7% · n=40

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 413 61 14.8% −11.65

Chase 335 45 13.4% −28.86

Flat 100 17 17% −2.02

NH Flat 2 2 100% +7.80

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Heavy 429 60 14% −28.05

Soft 349 51 14.6% −19.88

Standard (AW) 39 7 17.9% +13.70

Good to Soft 24 6 25% +6.70

Good 9 1 11.1% −7.20

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 541 80 14.8% −14.80

Compiegne (FR) 171 21 12.3% −3.10

Deauville (FR) 29 4 13.8% +7.00

Dieppe (FR) 19 2 10.5% −13.76

Pau (FR) 16 1 6.3% −14.00

Saint-Malo (FR) 13 2 15.4% +6.00

Longchamp (FR) 10 2 20% +0.50

Chantilly (FR) 10 3 30% +6.70

Clairefontaine (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00

Craon (FR) 7 1 14.3% −4.62

Saint-Cloud (FR) 6 1 16.7% −2.30

Senonnes-Pouance (FR) 4 2 50% +1.50

Argentan (FR) 4 1 25% −2.20

Moulins (FR) 3 2 66.7% +7.00

Lyon-La Soie (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 235 37 15.7% +18.20

Class 3 11 1 9.1% −8.75

Class 2 9 0 0% −9.00

Class 4 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 5 2 1 50% +1.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 122 47 38.5% 1.35 +13.77

2nd–3rd fav 209 42 20.1% 1.22 +14.60

4th–6th fav 294 25 8.5% 1.02 −52.60

7th+ in betting 223 10 4.5% 1.12 −10.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82% completed · 748 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 335 82.7% 23 12 23 0 0

Hurdle 413 81.4% 19 3 55 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Pistache Dore (FR) 20 6 8 19 Apr 26

Brexit (FR) 19 4 9 1 Mar 26

Johnny Roque (FR) 17 5 7 11 Oct 26

Kandy Park (FR) 15 8 10 12 Oct 26

Zelzari (FR) 14 5 10 11 Oct 26

Amarna (FR) 14 0 3 30 May 26

Youtwo Glass (FR) 13 2 2 8 Mar 25

Inaya Jones (FR) 12 1 2 18 May 25

Kapaca De Thaix (FR) 11 2 5 22 Sep 26

Poulorius (FR) 11 0 3 28 Aug 26

Jeu De Thaix (FR) 11 7 7 15 Nov 25

Rosario Baron (FR) 11 6 9 18 Sep 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 248 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 58 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard; 52 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

2 from 16 12.5% · −2.2pts vs baseline

Last 14 days12.5%

5-season base14.7%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

891615191422171710149

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderL Brechet

22% of all rides
16.2% SR · A/E 1.33

RiderRWSR£1

L Brechet 185 30 16.2% +20.62

Johnny Charron 133 35 26.3% +83.70

Lucas Zuliani 85 8 9.4% −49.50

James Reveley 72 17 23.6% −7.60

Clement Lefebvre 50 2 4% −34.90

Kevin Nabet 40 5 12.5% −11.40

Romain Julliot 37 2 5.4% −18.90

Nicolas Gauffenic 33 4 12.1% −6.90

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→

155

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£8.15m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 35 wins

Rosario Baron (FR) — Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2023 · Grade 1

£358,407

Leader Sport (FR) — Prix Maurice Gillois - Grand Steeple-Chase des 4 ans (Chase) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2025 · Grade 1

£122,727

Pistache Dore (FR) — Prix Alain du Breil - Course de Haies de Printemps des Quatre Ans (Hurdle) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2024 · Grade 1

£108,783

Notable horses

Kandy Park (FR) Rosario Baron (FR) Jeu De Thaix (FR) Pistache Dore (FR) Brexit (FR) Johnny Roque (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Martinborough (JPN) 14.8% · 8–54

Progeny have won 12.1% of 653 runs since 2008 (79 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 16.6% from 157.

Joshua Tree (IRE) 10.2% · 5–49

Progeny have won 11.9% of 832 runs since 2008 (115 horses). Strongest on Good going: 22% from 159. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 17.7% from 124.

Masked Marvel (GB) 18.2% · 8–44

Progeny have won 15.5% of 1,604 runs since 2008 (265 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 19.9% from 282.

Pastorius (GER) 10.8% · 4–37

Progeny have won 12.6% of 744 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.8% from 107.

Ivanhowe (GER) 11.8% · 4–34

Progeny have won 8.6% of 349 runs since 2008 (81 horses).

It's Gino (GER) 9.7% · 3–31

Progeny have won 13.8% of 958 runs since 2008 (126 horses). Strongest on Good going: 23.5% from 221. Weakest on Soft going: 10.1% from 306. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.8% from 226.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,112 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,112 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 October 2019 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Majara (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Px Merc. 21.10.2026-dern. Journ. Des Anim. Equidays(px D.l'et. D.vtes)12f · Heavy · 12 ran 2nd 9/1

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Provokateur (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix Jumna18f · Heavy · 10 ran 6th 5/2J

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Skoaz (FR)J: Lucas Zuliani Prix Jumna18f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 20/1

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Nomade D'ainay (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix De Saint-raphael17f · Heavy · 12 ran 9th 8/1

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Bel Atlantique (FR)J: Mathis Zuliani Prix Saccageur17f · Heavy · 8 ran 2nd 100/30

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Ram Sea (IRE)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix Rieussec15.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 12/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Monsieur Maurice (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Adrien BesnouinClass 2 · 18f · Heavy · 13 ran PU 22/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Monsieur Sun (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix Adrien BesnouinClass 2 · 18f · Heavy · 13 ran PU 14/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Nemes Des Bruyeres (FR)J: Anthony Renard Prix Isopani18f · Heavy · 11 ran 6th 14/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Noirci (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix Isopani18f · Heavy · 11 ran 1st 5/2F

12 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Kandy Park (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Gerard De MarisyClass 3 · 21f · Heavy · 7 ran 1st 5/4F

11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Inlandsis (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix BayonnetClass 1 · 22f · Heavy · 9 ran 2nd 8/1

11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Zelzari (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Grand Prix De L'hippodrome De Lyon-la-soieClass 1 · 9f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 5/1

11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Irish D'aunou (FR)J: Hugo Boutin Prix SareptaClass 3 · 9f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 40/1

11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Caligramme (FR)J: Anthony Renard Prix Montgomery (Groupe Iii)Class 1 · 23.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 9th 22/1

11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Johnny Roque (FR)J: Johnny Charron Prix Montgomery (Groupe Iii)Class 1 · 23.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 6th 12/1

06 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Biasca (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix Sapin17.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 2nd 100/30

01 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Princesukka (FR)J: Lucas Zuliani Prix Julien Decrion17.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran F 7/1

01 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Populas (FR)J: Anthony Renard Prix Julien Decrion17.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran 2nd 9/2

01 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Walk Prince (FR)J: Lucas Zuliani Prix Pride Of Kildare18f · Very Soft · 13 ran 8th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Daniela Mele's strike rate?: Daniela Mele has won 125 of 850 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 14.7% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Daniela Mele do best at?: Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 80 wins from 541 runners (14.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Daniela Mele?: L Brechet, with 185 runners since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (16.2%).
Is Daniela Mele in form?: In the last 14 days: 16 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 12.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 14.7% since 2022.
What is Daniela Mele's Fair A/E?: 1.21, from 842 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.