Skip to content
Jockey profile

Julien Carayon

133 rides in the lifetime window · 80 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Apr 2014 99% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
10–133
Wins / Runs
7.5%
Strike rate
n=133
24 (18%)
Placed
1.41
Fair A/E
n=121 · 1.15 incl. margin
−3.50
£1 level stake
n=125 at SP · −2.8%
£235k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.41). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 13% off breaks of two months or more (32 runs). Rode mostly for T Trapenard — 46% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 133 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 12.5% T Trapenard: 1.6% from 61 Claiming: 9.2%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 12.5% (n=32, Fair A/E 2.69). T Trapenard supplied 46% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (1.6% vs 7.5%, A/E 0.32). The rider also read well off a 15-30-day break (15.6%, n=32). The record read poorly on Heavy going — 4.4% over 45 rides, 3.1pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.3%−1.2
n=80 · A/E 1.44 · £1 −4.90
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
14.3%+6.8
n=7 · A/E 2.47 · £1 +7.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
12.5%+5.0
n=32 · A/E 2.69 · £1 +38.40
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
9.2%+1.7
n=98 · A/E 1.69 · £1 +25.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
11.1%+3.6
n=54 · A/E 2.31 · £1 +25.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.5
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 15.6% vs 7.5% · n=32
With T Trapenard 1.6% vs 7.5% · n=61
On Heavy going 4.4% vs 7.5% · n=45
In Chase races 4.7% vs 7.5% · n=43
When claiming 9.2% vs 7.5% · n=98 · A/E 1.69
On Soft going 9.2% vs 7.5% · n=87 · A/E 1.70
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 89 8 9% +12.00
Chase 43 2 4.7% −14.50
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 87 8 9.2% −1.10
Heavy 45 2 4.4% −1.40
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Enghien (FR) 63 5 7.9% +11.50
Auteuil (FR) 61 4 6.6% −12.00
Pau 5 0 0% −1.00
Compiegne 3 1 33.3% −2.00
Toulouse 1 0 0% —

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 19 2 10.5% 0.92 −5.60
4th–6th fav 26 3 11.5% 1.53 +2.30
7th+ in betting 78 4 5.1% 1.99 +1.80
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
66.7% completed · 132 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 43 62.8% 5 0 9 0 2
Hurdle 89 68.5% 4 0 19 0 5
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Une Par Une (FR) 9 0 4 25 Nov 12
Summer Tango (FR) 6 0 1 21 Nov 12
Belle Eclipse (FR) 6 0 1 4 Jun 12
Tzar Le Terrible (IRE) 6 1 2 6 Jun 11
Volk De Sivola (FR) 4 0 0 2 Oct 12
Nikogeorgio (FR) 4 1 2 23 Nov 11
Sawago (FR) 4 1 1 19 Nov 10
Gardero (FR) 3 0 0 26 Apr 13
Sinndar Lady (IRE) 3 0 1 2 May 12
Uppercut De Sivola (FR) 3 0 0 10 Apr 12
Milord Du Rheu (FR) 3 1 1 19 Sep 11
Argos (FR) 2 0 0 29 Mar 14
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 80 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0047210··109140
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardT Trapenard
46% of all rides
1.6% SR · A/E 0.32
TrainerRWSR£1
T Trapenard 61 1 1.6% −53.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
10
Archived wins
£235k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 6 wins
Sawago (FR) — Prix Mehariste (Claiming Hurdle) (Colts & Geldings) (Turf) (4yo) Enghien (FR) · Apr 2010
£9,345
Daliarose (FR) — Prix Blaviette (Hurdle) (Claimer) (4yo Fillies) (Turf) Enghien (FR) · May 2010
£9,345
Tzar Le Terrible (IRE) — Prix De L'Aisne (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2010
£9,345
Notable horses
Tzar Le Terrible (IRE) Nikogeorgio (FR) Sawago (FR) Milord Du Rheu (FR) Mister Guest (FR) Nascar (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Alberto Giacometti (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11.8% of 578 runs since 2009 (79 horses). Strongest on Good going: 18.8% from 101. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.2% from 112. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 115.
Kapgarde (FR) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,634 runs since 2008 (725 horses).
Le Triton (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.4% of 384 runs since 2008 (58 horses).
Polish Summer (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 8.1% of 408 runs since 2008 (55 horses).
Xaar (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 6.1% of 2,429 runs since 2008 (218 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 10.7% from 122.
Turgeon (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 12.3% of 3,189 runs since 2008 (341 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 268.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 133 · newest first

The latest 50 of 133 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 May 2009 to 11 April 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
11 Apr 14 Enghien (FR) Batna (FR)T: T Civel Prix la Bate (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)16.5f · Very Soft · 14 ran 9th 32/1
29 Mar 14 Auteuil (FR) Argos (FR)T: T Civel Prix Kashnil (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)15f · Very Soft · 11 ran 4th 34/1
19 Mar 14 Enghien (FR) Argos (FR)T: T Civel Prix De La Vanoise (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)15.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran PU 28/1
12 Mar 14 Enghien (FR) Vespanuela (FR)T: T Civel Prix d'Essai des Pouliches (Div II) (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)15.5f · Very Soft · 20 ran 10th 91/1
09 Mar 14 Auteuil (FR) Aussi Princess (IRE)T: Jean-Raymond Breton Prix Rabastens (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 16 ran F 98/1
31 Oct 13 Enghien (FR) Avenant De Sivola (FR)T: T Trapenard Prix Kerlor (Chase) (Claimer) (3yo) (Turf)17f · Very Soft · 9 ran PU 29/1
26 Oct 13 Enghien (FR) Tenor Du Cochet (FR)T: C Le Veel Prix Paiute (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 14 ran PU 118/1
09 Oct 13 Auteuil (FR) Vasylady (FR)T: S Couvreur Prix Gerard Philippeau (Hurdle) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 14 ran PU 40/1
09 Oct 13 Auteuil (FR) Topaze D'Auteuil (FR)T: S Couvreur Prix Claude Le Lorrain (Hurdle) () (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 10 ran 10th 76/1
25 Jun 13 Auteuil (FR) Kinsail (FR)T: P Chevillard Prix D'Acheres (Hurdle) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 73/10
17 Jun 13 Auteuil (FR) Black Velvet (FR)T: A Lamotte D'Argy Prix Burgrave II (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 14 ran 6th 33/1
23 May 13 Auteuil (FR) Magic Guest (FR)T: B Jollivet Prix Melinoir (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 17 ran 10th 101/1
10 May 13 Auteuil (FR) Romandia (FR)T: A Lamotte D'Argy Prix Fauche le Pre (Hurdle) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 14 ran PU 12/1
26 Apr 13 Enghien (FR) Gardero (FR)T: B Jollivet Prix Fils de Reine (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 18 ran PU 132/1
19 Apr 13 Enghien (FR) Magic Guest (FR)T: B Jollivet Prix De Saint-Brieuc (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 10 ran 6th 50/1
12 Apr 13 Enghien (FR) Gardero (FR)T: B Jollivet Prix Largo (Chase) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Jockeys who haven't ridden 35 winners) (Turf)17f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 31/1
12 Apr 13 Enghien (FR) Dona Ballerina (FR)T: B Jollivet Prix des Charentes (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 56/1
10 Apr 13 Auteuil (FR) Poesie De Mars (FR)T: J Clais Prix Champoreau (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)15f · Heavy · 7 ran PU 49/1
05 Apr 13 Auteuil (FR) Africaners (FR)T: J Clais Prix Arthur Veil-Picard (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 8 ran 6th 37/1
02 Apr 13 Enghien (FR) A Suivre (FR)T: A Lamotte D'Argy Prix Aubepine (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo Fillies) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 17 ran F 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Julien Carayon's strike rate?
Julien Carayon has won 10 of 133 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Julien Carayon do best at?
Enghien (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 63 rides (7.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Julien Carayon ride most for?
T Trapenard, with 61 rides since 2008 — 46% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.6%).
What is Julien Carayon's Fair A/E?
1.41, from 121 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).