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Jockey profile

Leah Noreci

132 rides in the last 5 seasons · 45 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 5 days ago 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)
from 1 Jan 2022
6–132
Wins / Runs
4.5%
Strike rate
n=132
27 (21%)
Placed
0.56
Fair A/E
n=132 · 0.47 incl. margin
−72.50
£1 level stake
n=132 at SP · −54.9%
£89,331
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.2%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.56). Rides mostly for James Moffatt — 93% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 132 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance James Moffatt: 4.9% from 123
The read

The record is strongest at Cartmel (9.1%, n=55), clear of the rider's 4.5% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 4.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.56 and −72.50 to a £1 stake over 132 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. James Moffatt supplies 93% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (4.9%, A/E 0.59). The rider also reads well off a 31-60-day break (8.5%, n=47) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (7.7%, n=52). The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.35 across 51 rides (2% strike, −25.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
2.2%−2.3
n=45 · A/E 0.30 · £1 −41.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
25%+20.5
n=8 · A/E 1.47 · £1 −1.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−4.5
n=34 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00
When favourite
11.1%
n=9 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −6.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
4.5%+0.0
n=132 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −72.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
12.5%+8.0
n=8 · A/E 3.06 · £1 +2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Cartmel 9.1% vs 4.5% · n=55
Off a 31-60-day break 8.5% vs 4.5% · n=47
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 7.7% vs 4.5% · n=52
In Class 4 2% vs 4.5% · n=51
In Class 5 6.8% vs 4.5% · n=59
On first rides for the horse 2.2% vs 4.5% · n=45
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 103 5 4.9% −46.50
Chase 24 1 4.2% −21.00
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 72 4 5.6% −34.50
Good to Soft 29 0 0% −29.00
Soft 20 2 10% +2.00
Heavy 8 0 0% −8.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cartmel 55 5 9.1% −5.50
Carlisle 14 0 0% −14.00
Perth 11 0 0% −11.00
Newcastle 10 0 0% −10.00
Hexham 8 0 0% −8.00
Ayr 8 0 0% −8.00
Haydock 7 0 0% −7.00
Kelso 6 0 0% −6.00
Sedgefield 3 0 0% −3.00
Wetherby 3 1 33.3% +7.00
Aintree 3 0 0% −3.00
Catterick 2 0 0% −2.00
Newton Abbot 1 0 0% −1.00
Musselburgh 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 59 4 6.8% −30.50
Class 4 51 1 2% −25.00
Class 3 12 1 8.3% −7.00
Class 2 10 0 0% −10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 1 9.1% 0.40 −8.00
2nd–3rd fav 19 2 10.5% 0.63 −10.50
4th–6th fav 49 3 6.1% 0.94 −1.00
7th+ in betting 53 0 0% 0.00 −53.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
93.7% completed · 127 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 24 87.5% 0 0 3 0 0
Hurdle 103 95.1% 1 1 3 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Book of Secrets (IRE) 10 0 3 27 May 26
Cuzco Du Mathan (FR) 9 1 1 31 Aug 26
Masterminding (IRE) 6 0 4 6 Nov 26
My Chiquita (GB) 6 1 2 14 Oct 26
Judicial Review (IRE) 6 0 1 24 Sep 26
Our Sam (GB) 6 0 0 1 Dec 25
Zumbi (GER) 5 1 3 26 Jun 26
Aristelle (GB) 5 0 0 23 Apr 26
Polish (GB) 5 0 0 11 Feb 25
Dusky Days (IRE) 4 0 1 7 Nov 26
Got Grey (FR) 4 0 0 6 Nov 26
Manhatane (FR) 4 0 0 24 Sep 26
All 45 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 6
Only 6 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000051401400011
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJames Moffatt
93% of all rides
4.9% SR · A/E 0.59
TrainerRWSR£1
James Moffatt 123 6 4.9% −63.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
6
Archived wins
£89,331
Prize money
2026
Best season · 4 wins
My Chiquita (GB) — Hadwins EBF Mares' Handicap Hurdle Cartmel · May 2026 · Class 3
£7,284
Big Gypsy King (GB) — Molson Coors Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Cartmel · Jun 2026 · Class 4
£5,446
Alvesta (GB) — Mountain Goat Tours Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race Cartmel · Aug 2026 · Class 5
£4,198
Notable horses
Cuzco Du Mathan (FR) My Chiquita (GB) Zumbi (GER) Kalo Athena (IRE) Big Gypsy King (GB) Alvesta (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Free Eagle (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,420 runs since 2019 (190 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.1% from 132.
Martaline (GB) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,350 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.
Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,688 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
Born To Sea (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9% of 4,300 runs since 2016 (312 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12% from 977. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 868. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 725.
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,028 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 132 · newest first

The latest 50 of 132 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 June 2022 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Nov 26 Kelso Dusky Days (IRE)T: James Moffatt Graeme Todd Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 12/1
06 Nov 26 Hexham Masterminding (IRE)T: James Moffatt Debra Corner Happy Birthday Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 23.5f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 9/1
06 Nov 26 Hexham Got Grey (FR)T: James Moffatt Sidgwick Memorial Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 25/1
31 Oct 26 Ayr Secret Secret (IRE)T: James Moffatt Hogmanay Ball At Western House Hotel Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 14/1
31 Oct 26 Ayr Great Pepper (FR)T: James Moffatt Bet With Rails Bookmakers On Course Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 14/1
31 Oct 26 Ayr Jet Light (FR)T: James Moffatt Bsb Structural Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 12/1
27 Oct 26 Newcastle Champagne Powder (FR)T: James Moffatt Border Minstrel Dog Friendly Pub Maiden Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 20/1
24 Oct 26 Kelso Evenwood Sonofagun (IRE)T: Lizzie Quinlan Racingtv/freetrial Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle Race (go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier) (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 4 · 22.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 16/1
22 Oct 26 Carlisle Dusky Days (IRE)T: James Moffatt Race Home With Genesis Homes Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 5th 28/1
22 Oct 26 Carlisle Winds Of Winter (IRE)T: George Bewley 50 Years Of The Window Shop Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 6th 5/1
14 Oct 26 Wetherby My Chiquita (GB)T: James Moffatt Over The Rainbow Alison Stretton Birthday Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 4th 5/1
04 Oct 26 Kelso Theirshegoes (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson Join Racing Tv Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 12/1
02 Oct 26 Hexham Bouboule (GB)T: Gillian Boanas Martin Bowler Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 5th 18/1
29 Sep 26 Sedgefield Mr Globalist (IRE)T: Lizzie Quinlan Happy 96th Birthday John Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 6th 28/1
24 Sep 26 Perth Prince Nino (FR)T: Lizzie Quinlan A Place For You Here Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 12 ran PU 14/1
24 Sep 26 Perth Secret Secret (IRE)T: James Moffatt Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 6th 16/1
24 Sep 26 Perth My Chiquita (GB)T: James Moffatt Edinburgh Gin Owner Trainer Jockey Awards Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 11 ran 8th 6/1
24 Sep 26 Perth Judicial Review (IRE)T: James Moffatt Equine Products UK Best Turned Out Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 9 ran PU 25/1
24 Sep 26 Perth Manhatane (FR)T: James Moffatt House Of Bruar Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 7th 50/1
23 Sep 26 Perth Masterminding (IRE)T: James Moffatt Nairn's Oatcakes Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24f · Good · 12 ran 9th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 14 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 22 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Leah Noreci's strike rate?
Leah Noreci has won 6 of 132 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Leah Noreci do best at?
Cartmel by strike rate: 5 wins from 55 rides (9.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Leah Noreci ride most for?
James Moffatt, with 123 rides since 2022 — 93% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (4.9%).
Is Leah Noreci in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Leah Noreci's Fair A/E?
0.56, from 132 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).