What is James Moffatt's strike rate?

James Moffatt has won 71 of 595 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.9% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does James Moffatt do best at?

Hexham by strike rate: 11 wins from 42 runners (26.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for James Moffatt?

Charlotte Jones, with 332 runners since 2022 — 56% of the total. That pairing has won 51 (15.4%).

Is James Moffatt in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is James Moffatt's Fair A/E?

1.11, from 594 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

James Moffatt

595 runners in the last 5 seasons · 71 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 5 days ago 99% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

71–595

Wins / Runs

11.9%

Strike rate

n=595

162 (27%)

Placed

1.11

Fair A/E

n=594 · 0.95 incl. margin

−133.23

£1 level stake

n=595 at SP · −22.4%

£673k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 120 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.11). New recruits from other yards win at 23% first time out (35 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 595 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Aug 43.8% when favourite Charlotte Jones: 15.4% from 332 New recruits: 22.9% Claiming riders: 14.1% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hexham (26.2%, n=42), clear of the yard's 11.9% baseline. It is weakest at Ayr (3% over 33 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 22.9% (n=35, Fair A/E 2.10), but a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 5.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.75). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 14.1% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.25 and +7.04 to a £1 stake over 347 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Charlotte Jones rides 56% of the entries and edges the yard's average (15.4% vs 11.9%, A/E 1.25) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in NH Flat races (21.9%, n=32). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betfred Becher Handicap Chase at Aintree (Dec 2015, £78,598). The stable star of the record: Chief Dan George (IRE) — 9 wins from 34 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.1%−2.8

n=164 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −11.87

New recruits · first run for the yard

22.9%+11.0

n=35 · A/E 2.10 · £1 +64.83

Debutants · first career start

20%+8.1

n=20 · A/E 1.78 · £1 −6.12

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.6%−6.3

n=18 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −12.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.9%−6.0

n=34 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −14.12

When favourite

43.8%

n=48 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +12.63

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

14.1%+2.2

n=347 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +7.04

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−11.9

n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 30.1% vs 11.9% · n=73

At Hexham 26.2% vs 11.9% · n=42

With new recruits 22.9% vs 11.9% · n=35

In NH Flat races 21.9% vs 11.9% · n=32

With Leah Noreci 5.2% vs 11.9% · n=115

At Ayr 3% vs 11.9% · n=33

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 418 40 9.6% −97.22

Chase 137 24 17.5% −29.39

NH Flat 32 7 21.9% +1.38

Flat 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 240 23 9.6% −116.55

Soft 146 22 15.1% −8.54

Good to Soft 144 17 11.8% +25.38

Heavy 53 9 17% −21.52

Good to Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cartmel 287 41 14.3% −61.26

Hexham 42 11 26.2% −1.85

Carlisle 40 4 10% −3.25

Ayr 33 1 3% −29.25

Perth 29 1 3.4% +5.00

Haydock 29 1 3.4% −19.50

Sedgefield 27 2 7.4% +26.88

Newcastle 21 1 4.8% −15.50

Catterick 19 1 5.3% −16.00

Wetherby 15 2 13.3% +0.50

Aintree 12 2 16.7% +2.50

Kelso 11 3 27.3% −2.50

Musselburgh 9 1 11.1% +2.00

Uttoxeter 4 0 0% −4.00

Doncaster 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 251 32 12.7% −26.06

Class 5 177 25 14.1% −27.63

Class 3 93 11 11.8% −20.54

Class 2 53 3 5.7% −38.00

Class 1 13 0 0% −13.00

Class 6 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 58 25 43.1% 1.52 +15.39

2nd–3rd fav 131 27 20.6% 1.16 −5.62

4th–6th fav 220 16 7.3% 0.90 −4.00

7th+ in betting 186 3 1.6% 0.46 −139.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.9% completed · 555 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 137 77.4% 1 3 27 0 0

Hurdle 418 84.7% 7 6 50 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Our Sam (GB) 29 4 9 1 Dec 25

Jelski (GER)from Nigel Twiston-Davies 28 5 8 23 Aug 25

Vocal Duke (IRE)from Toby Lawes 27 1 6 23 Aug 25

Judicial Review (IRE) 26 4 6 24 Sep 26

Secret Secret (IRE)from Neil Mulholland 22 4 8 24 Sep 26

Cuzco Du Mathan (FR)from A Chaille-Chaille 22 3 4 31 Aug 26

Caughtinyourtrance (IRE) 21 4 11 23 Sep 26

Zumbi (GER) 16 3 7 26 Jun 26

Hurricane Ali (IRE)from John Mackie 15 0 4 25 Aug 25

Lunar Discovery (GB)then Robbie Llewellyn 15 4 8 18 Mar 25

Bingoo (GB)then Robbie Llewellyn 15 5 8 15 Feb 25

Mr Rumbalicious (IRE)from Alan King 14 1 2 27 May 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 71 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 40 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Jamie Snowden (3) and Nicky Henderson (3); 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Robbie Llewellyn (2); 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

6761291616150111618

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderCharlotte Jones

56% of all rides
15.4% SR · A/E 1.25

RiderRWSR£1

Charlotte Jones 332 51 15.4% −28.89

Leah Noreci 115 6 5.2% −55.50

Danny McMenamin 33 5 15.2% −9.34

Brian Hughes 31 5 16.1% −10.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

231

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.17m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 25 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Highland Lodge (IRE) — Betfred Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (National Course) Aintree · Dec 2015 · Grade 3

£78,598

Chief Dan George (IRE) — Citroen C6 Sefton Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) Aintree · Apr 2007 · Class 1

£54,169

Chief Dan George (IRE) — William Hill Trophy Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cheltenham · Mar 2010 · Class 1

£45,608

Notable horses

Chief Dan George (IRE) Morning Royalty (IRE) Border Tale (GB) Jelski (GER) Altruism (IRE) Smart Ruler (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Born To Sea (IRE) 15.6% · 5–32

Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,275 runs since 2008 (310 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 963. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 864. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 723.

Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 13.8% · 4–29

Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,682 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.

Dubawi (IRE) 6.9% · 2–29

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,936 runs since 2008 (1,520 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Getaway (GER) 13.8% · 4–29

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,914 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.

Kallisto (GER) 17.9% · 5–28

Progeny have won 12% of 241 runs since 2008 (30 horses).

Vocalised (USA) 3.7% · 1–27

Progeny have won 6.7% of 2,031 runs since 2008 (172 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,789 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,789 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 16 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

16 Oct 26 Redcar Masekela (IRE)J: Miss Natasha Cookson Watch Racing Replays At racingtv.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 11th 50/1

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Got Grey (FR)J: Brian Hughes Watch Race Replays On Racing TV Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 25/1

14 Oct 26 Wetherby My Chiquita (GB)J: Leah Noreci Over The Rainbow Alison Stretton Birthday Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 4th 5/1

28 Sep 26 Hamilton Masekela (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Annual Members Of Hamilton Park Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 100/1

24 Sep 26 Perth Secret Secret (IRE)J: Leah Noreci Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 6th 16/1

24 Sep 26 Perth My Chiquita (GB)J: Leah Noreci Edinburgh Gin Owner Trainer Jockey Awards Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 11 ran 8th 6/1

24 Sep 26 Perth Judicial Review (IRE)J: Leah Noreci Equine Products UK Best Turned Out Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 9 ran PU 25/1

24 Sep 26 Perth Manhatane (FR)J: Leah Noreci House Of Bruar Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 7th 50/1

23 Sep 26 Perth Judicial Review (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Nairn's Oatcakes Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24f · Good · 12 ran 11th 14/1

23 Sep 26 Perth Masterminding (IRE)J: Leah Noreci Nairn's Oatcakes Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24f · Good · 12 ran 9th 12/1

23 Sep 26 Perth Caughtinyourtrance (IRE)J: Leah Noreci Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow David Whitaker Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 4/1

23 Sep 26 Perth Champagne Powder (FR)J: Leah Noreci Harvesting What Matters Most Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 5th 25/1

31 Aug 26 Cartmel Cuzco Du Mathan (FR)J: Leah Noreci Furness Rda Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 100/30

31 Aug 26 Cartmel Jack Sprat (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Fgh Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 21f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 4/1

31 Aug 26 Cartmel Caughtinyourtrance (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Wicks Group Cavendish Cup Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 2nd 15/8F

31 Aug 26 Cartmel Enya (GER)J: Leah Noreci Campbell & Rowley Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 22f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 28/1

31 Aug 26 Cartmel Secret Secret (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Campbell & Rowley Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 22f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 3/1

29 Aug 26 Cartmel Halfway House Lad (GB)J: Brian Hughes Cengiz Sadik Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (For The Cengiz Sadik Memorial Trophy)Class 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 8th 8/1

29 Aug 26 Cartmel Judicial Review (IRE)J: Leah Noreci Cengiz Sadik Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (For The Cengiz Sadik Memorial Trophy)Class 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 7th 100/30

29 Aug 26 Cartmel Got Grey (FR)J: Brian Hughes Molson Coors Cartmel Cup Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 6th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James Moffatt's strike rate?: James Moffatt has won 71 of 595 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.9% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Moffatt do best at?: Hexham by strike rate: 11 wins from 42 runners (26.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for James Moffatt?: Charlotte Jones, with 332 runners since 2022 — 56% of the total. That pairing has won 51 (15.4%).
Is James Moffatt in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is James Moffatt's Fair A/E?: 1.11, from 594 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.