What is Lizzie Quinlan's strike rate?

Lizzie Quinlan has won 33 of 537 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Lizzie Quinlan do best at?

Perth by strike rate: 5 wins from 39 runners (12.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Lizzie Quinlan?

Sean Quinlan, with 280 runners since 2022 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (5.7%).

Is Lizzie Quinlan in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Lizzie Quinlan's Fair A/E?

0.84, from 536 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Lizzie Quinlan

537 runners in the last 5 seasons · 56 individual horses

As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)

from 1 Jan 2022

33–537

Wins / Runs

6.1%

Strike rate

n=537

100 (19%)

Placed

0.84

Fair A/E

n=536 · 0.71 incl. margin

−162.34

£1 level stake

n=537 at SP · −30.2%

£355k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.84).

Deterministic profile computed from 537 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 24 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Sean Quinlan: 5.7% from 280 Claiming riders: 7.1%

The read

The record is strongest at Cartmel (12.1%, n=91), Perth (12.8%, n=39) and Catterick (12.2%, n=41) — all clear of the yard's 6.1% baseline. Sean Quinlan rides 52% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.7%, A/E 0.71). The yard also reads well in Class 4 (10.2%, n=167). The stable star of the record: City Derby (IRE) — 5 wins from 30 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5%−1.1

n=120 · A/E 1.04 · £1 +9.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.2%−1.9

n=48 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −26.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−6.1

n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−6.1

n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.8%−2.3

n=26 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −17.00

When favourite

29.2%

n=24 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −1.34

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.1%+1.0

n=113 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −31.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 15.2% vs 6.1% · n=33

At Cartmel 12.1% vs 6.1% · n=91

At Perth 12.8% vs 6.1% · n=39

With C&D winners 11.6% vs 6.1% · n=69

At Catterick 12.2% vs 6.1% · n=41

In Class 4 10.2% vs 6.1% · n=167

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 326 22 6.7% −77.59

Chase 134 9 6.7% −39.75

Flat 68 2 2.9% −36.00

NH Flat 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 224 13 5.8% −76.00

Good to Soft 136 10 7.4% +18.88

Soft 111 10 9% −39.22

Heavy 30 0 0% −30.00

Standard (AW) 28 0 0% −28.00

Good to Firm 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cartmel 91 11 12.1% −9.84

Hexham 65 2 3.1% −41.00

Carlisle 50 2 4% −34.00

Sedgefield 47 1 2.1% −42.00

Catterick 41 5 12.2% +14.50

Perth 39 5 12.8% +68.00

Ayr 37 3 8.1% +3.00

Musselburgh 26 2 7.7% −8.00

Newcastle (AW) 26 0 0% −26.00

Newcastle 22 0 0% −22.00

Wetherby 21 2 9.5% +7.00

Kelso 21 0 0% −21.00

Uttoxeter 9 0 0% −9.00

Bangor-on-Dee 8 0 0% −8.00

Market Rasen 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 280 12 4.3% −100.50

Class 4 167 17 10.2% −21.84

Class 3 37 1 2.7% −24.00

Class 6 34 2 5.9% −2.00

Class 2 18 1 5.6% −13.00

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 28 8 28.6% 1.11 −0.84

2nd–3rd fav 72 7 9.7% 0.60 −29.50

4th–6th fav 184 11 6% 0.84 −55.00

7th+ in betting 253 7 2.8% 0.95 −77.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.7% completed · 460 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 134 76.9% 4 3 23 1 0

Hurdle 326 86.5% 3 0 41 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Blended Stealth (GB)from Nigel Twiston-Davies 32 1 8 13 Apr 26

Restandbethankful (GB)from Rebecca Menzies 31 2 9 27 May 26

City Derby (IRE)from Fergal O'Brien 30 5 12 25 Aug 25

Prince Nino (FR)from Harry Derham 25 3 6 24 Sep 26

Mr Globalist (IRE)from S Slevin 24 0 3 7 Oct 26

Evenwood Sonofagun (IRE)from Fergal O'Brien 23 4 8 18 Jul 26

One More Bottle (GB) 22 1 5 1 Oct 26

Heritier (FR)from Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero 22 1 6 4 Apr 26

Getaway Luv (IRE)from Clive Boultbee-Brooks 20 5 6 27 May 24

Fourofakind (IRE)from Harry Derham 18 2 2 22 Oct 26

Natzor (FR)from David O'Meara 15 0 1 2 Sep 26

She's Got Bottle (GB)from Roger Fell & Sean Murray 15 0 1 10 Aug 26

All 56 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 56 horses listed, 48 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Barbara Butterworth (6) and Fergal O'Brien (6); 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 55 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

510421446184542

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSean Quinlan

52% of all rides
5.7% SR · A/E 0.71

RiderRWSR£1

Sean Quinlan 280 16 5.7% −154.34

Peter Kavanagh 86 4 4.7% −56.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→

Archived wins

£355k

Prize money

2024

Best season · 10 wins

City Derby (IRE) — AF Connell Ltd Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cartmel · Aug 2024 · Class 2

£10,926

Getaway Luv (IRE) — Bobby Renton Handicap Chase Wetherby · Oct 2023 · Class 3

£8,450

Getaway Luv (IRE) — Game On! And Go Challenge Handicap Chase Carlisle · Mar 2024 · Class 4

£5,677

Notable horses

City Derby (IRE) Getaway Luv (IRE) Evenwood Sonofagun (IRE) Prince Nino (FR) Restandbethankful (GB) Fourofakind (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Getaway (GER) 11.6% · 5–43

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,921 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.5% from 132.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 3.1% · 1–32

Progeny have won 13.3% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (691 horses).

Califet (FR) 6.5% · 2–31

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,789 runs since 2008 (399 horses).

Ask (GB) 16.7% · 5–30

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,215 runs since 2008 (283 horses).

It's Gino (GER) 12% · 3–25

Progeny have won 13.7% of 963 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Good going: 23.4% from 222. Weakest on Soft going: 10.1% from 308. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.7% from 227.

Highland Reel (IRE) 0% · 0–24

Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,508 runs since 2008 (161 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.4% from 144.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 537 · newest first

The latest 50 of 537 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 October 2022 to 22 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Fourofakind (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Race Home With Genesis Homes Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 7th 14/1

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Am Still Here (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Race Home With Genesis Homes Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 8th 18/1

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Cinnamon Storm (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Class Of '63: 63 Years On Novices' Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 13 ran 11th 200/1

20 Oct 26 Hexham Bobby Socks (GB)J: Sean Quinlan Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 14/1

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Rauzan (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Ginetta Clothing British Menswear Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 24f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 15/2

10 Oct 26 Hexham Bogha Baiste (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Hitz Novices' Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 4th 11/4

08 Oct 26 Ayr West Tyrone (GB)J: Cian Horgan Stella Artois Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Heavy · 12 ran 10th 14/1

07 Oct 26 Sedgefield Mr Globalist (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Winning Connections Conference Hire Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 5th 8/1

01 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) One More Bottle (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Follow @attheraces On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 40/1

29 Sep 26 Sedgefield Mr Globalist (IRE)J: Leah Noreci Happy 96th Birthday John Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 6th 28/1

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) One More Bottle (GB)J: Aiden Brookes Mwh Treatment Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 40/1

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Game Management (GB)J: Shane Gray Esh Stantec Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 28/1

24 Sep 26 Perth Prince Nino (FR)J: Leah Noreci A Place For You Here Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 12 ran PU 14/1

24 Sep 26 Perth Am Still Here (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan A Place For You Here Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 5th 20/1

24 Sep 26 Perth Ribble River (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh House Of Bruar Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 8th 33/1

23 Sep 26 Perth Autumn Getaway (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Nairn's Oatcakes Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24f · Good · 12 ran PU 80/1

23 Sep 26 Perth Rauzan (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Lord Mansfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 8th 11/1

19 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) South Shore Island (IRE)J: Billy Garritty Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 11/1

14 Sep 26 Sedgefield Mr Globalist (IRE)J: Leah Noreci Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 14/1

11 Sep 26 Chester West Tyrone (GB)J: Shane Gray HRS Cladding Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 100/30J

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lizzie Quinlan's strike rate?: Lizzie Quinlan has won 33 of 537 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lizzie Quinlan do best at?: Perth by strike rate: 5 wins from 39 runners (12.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Lizzie Quinlan?: Sean Quinlan, with 280 runners since 2022 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (5.7%).
Is Lizzie Quinlan in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Lizzie Quinlan's Fair A/E?: 0.84, from 536 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.