What is Leo-Paul Brechet's strike rate?

Leo-Paul Brechet has won 70 of 632 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.1% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Leo-Paul Brechet do best at?

Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 14 wins from 112 rides (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Leo-Paul Brechet ride most for?

D Mele, with 195 rides since 2022 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (15.9%).

Is Leo-Paul Brechet in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Leo-Paul Brechet's Fair A/E?

1.14, from 628 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Leo-Paul Brechet

632 rides in the last 5 seasons · 376 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)

from 1 Jan 2022

70–632

Wins / Runs

11.1%

Strike rate

n=632

179 (28%)

Placed

1.14

Fair A/E

n=628 · 0.95 incl. margin

−48.30

£1 level stake

n=632 at SP · −7.6%

£3.95m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 130 times a season, winning on 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.14). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (57 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 632 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug Fresh horses: 12.3% 29.4% when favourite D Mele: 15.9% from 195 LTO winners: 19.3% Claiming: 13% Rides the favourite in 8% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.3% (n=57, Fair A/E 1.25). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 12.3% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.28 and +49.95 to a £1 stake over 171 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. D Mele supplies 31% of the rides and edges the rider's average (15.9% vs 11.1%, A/E 1.30) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 5.3% over 38 rides, 5.8pts below the baseline. 15 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Maurice Gillois - Grand Steeple-Chase at Auteuil (FR) (Nov 2023, £141,372). The standout partner of the record: Leader Sport (FR) — 5 wins from 7 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10.4%−0.7

n=375 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −40.53

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.3%+8.2

n=57 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +11.30

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

12.3%+1.2

n=171 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +49.95

When favourite

29.4%

n=51 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −4.40

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

13%+1.9

n=77 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +31.90

Big fields · 14+ runners

8.3%−2.8

n=180 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −43.40

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.8%−2.3

n=170 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −33.10

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Yannick Fouin 21.2% vs 11.1% · n=52

On last-time-out winners 19.3% vs 11.1% · n=57

With D Mele 15.9% vs 11.1% · n=195

On Good to Soft going 5.3% vs 11.1% · n=38

Over 1m – 1m1f 5.9% vs 11.1% · n=34

In Class 3 5.9% vs 11.1% · n=34

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 302 32 10.6% +34.65

Chase 201 25 12.4% −40.48

Flat 128 13 10.2% −41.47

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 289 32 11.1% −16.45

Heavy 280 33 11.8% −7.05

Good to Soft 38 2 5.3% −32.50

Standard (AW) 20 3 15% +12.70

Good 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 350 37 10.6% −10.00

Compiegne (FR) 112 14 12.5% +10.10

Clairefontaine (FR) 28 3 10.7% −3.05

Dieppe (FR) 22 1 4.5% −19.38

Deauville (AW) 19 3 15.8% +13.70

Saint-Cloud (FR) 18 0 0% −18.00

Craon (FR) 14 2 14.3% −7.12

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 11 4 36.4% +16.95

Chantilly (FR) 9 0 0% −9.00

Nantes (FR) 9 1 11.1% −6.00

Longchamp (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00

Angers (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 6 1 16.7% −1.50

Saint-Malo (FR) 5 1 20% +3.00

Senonnes-Pouance (FR) 3 2 66.7% +2.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 170 15 8.8% −33.10

Class 3 34 2 5.9% −26.25

Class 4 26 4 15.4% −2.75

Class 2 13 1 7.7% +28.00

Class 5 1 1 100% +2.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 55 17 30.9% 1.13 −1.65

2nd–3rd fav 130 26 20% 1.25 +12.55

4th–6th fav 201 17 8.5% 1.02 −19.60

7th+ in betting 246 10 4.1% 1.11 −39.60

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.3% completed · 502 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 200 82% 16 4 15 1 0

Hurdle 302 80.8% 14 0 44 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Kapaca De Thaix (FR) 10 2 4 22 Sep 26

Lou Fast (FR) 9 0 3 7 Mar 26

Liskaria (FR) 8 3 6 22 Oct 26

Inlandsis (FR) 7 1 1 4 Nov 26

Leader Sport (FR) 7 5 6 22 Mar 26

Adrenalyne (FR) 7 2 3 11 Mar 26

Ram Sea (IRE) 6 0 2 8 Nov 26

Scatar (FR) 6 0 1 19 Jun 25

Amy Du Kiff (FR) 6 2 3 28 Sep 24

Greatta (FR) 6 1 3 15 Jun 24

Brexit (FR) 5 1 1 1 Mar 26

Lureka Du Noyer (FR) 5 0 0 29 Nov 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 376 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 14

Only 14 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

00191164211311121211

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardD Mele

31% of all rides
15.9% SR · A/E 1.30

TrainerRWSR£1

D Mele 195 31 15.9% +15.00

Gabriel Leenders 107 12 11.2% −15.40

Yannick Fouin 52 11 21.2% +60.40

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.04m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 37 wins

Amy Du Kiff (FR) — Prix Maurice Gillois - Grand Steeple-Chase (Chase) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2023 · Grade 1

£141,372

Leader Sport (FR) — Prix Maurice Gillois - Grand Steeple-Chase des 4 ans (Chase) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2025 · Grade 1

£122,727

Six Figures (IRE) — Prix Amadou (Hurdle) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2025 · Grade 2

£64,711

Notable horses

Leader Sport (FR) Liskaria (FR) Kapaca De Thaix (FR) Adrenalyne (FR) Amy Du Kiff (FR) Dolut (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Martinborough (JPN) 20% · 6–30

Progeny have won 12% of 668 runs since 2020 (79 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 16.7% from 162.

Pastorius (GER) 20% · 4–20

Progeny have won 12.5% of 757 runs since 2017 (118 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.6% from 108.

Bathyrhon (GER) 0% · 0–18

Progeny have won 12.4% of 1,203 runs since 2019 (186 horses).

Masked Marvel (GB) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 15.4% of 1,651 runs since 2019 (270 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 19.8% from 293.

Nirvana Du Berlais (FR) 38.9% · 7–18

Progeny have won 12.4% of 386 runs since 2024 (105 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.5% from 142.

Doctor Dino (FR) 0% · 0–17

Progeny have won 15.9% of 3,242 runs since 2013 (500 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.9% from 567. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 212. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 699. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 667 · newest first

The latest 50 of 667 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 19 October 2019 to 13 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Dorianello (FR)T: C Boutin Prix Du Pays D'yvelines8f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 3/1F

13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Majara (FR)T: Daniela Mele Prix De La Goubiniere12f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 4/1F

09 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Caligramme (FR)T: Daniela Mele Grande Course De Haies d'Automne - Prix Geely Nantes19.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 2/1

09 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Natif De Cartigny (FR)T: Daniela Mele Grande Course De Haies De l'Ouest17.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 2nd 4/1

09 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Incentive Victory (FR)T: C Lotoux Prix De l'Automne12f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 11/4

09 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Khamephis Game (FR)T: M Brasme Prix Du Chateau des ducs de Bretagne12f · Heavy · 13 ran 6th 6/1

08 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Ram Sea (IRE)T: Daniela Mele Prix Sagaro15.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 10th 7/1

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Ojibwe (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix Leopold Bara18f · Heavy · 13 ran PU 8/1

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Bigood Has (FR)T: Yannick Fouin Prix Pre Catelan17.5f · Heavy · 13 ran F 18/1

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Biasca (FR)T: Daniela Mele Prix Haras Du Reuilly17.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 1st 3/1

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Inlandsis (FR)T: Daniela Mele Prix Triquerville22f · Heavy · 6 ran 5th 13/2

02 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Dollar Des Bois (FR)T: E Libaud Prix Alexandre Roussel8f · Heavy · 14 ran 9th 7/1

02 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Keanu (FR)T: Kevin Plisson Prix Madame Claude RougetClass 4 · 8f · Heavy · 16 ran 9th 12/1

02 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Toocoolforschool (FR)T: Maximilien Justum Prix Go InterimClass 4 · 8f · Heavy · 15 ran 15th 10/1

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Newton Le Dun (FR)T: Daniela Mele Prix Point BleuClass 3 · 17f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 5/1

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Don Dino (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Prix Point BleuClass 3 · 17f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 100/30J

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Karioitahi (IRE)T: F Alloncle Prix EcouflantClass 4 · 11.5f · Soft · 15 ran 6th 11/1

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Stormy Night (FR)T: F Alloncle Prix RabelaisClass 4 · 11.5f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 11/1

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Big Five (GB)T: Armel Lotout Handicap De La MaineClass 3 · 20f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 4/1

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Heliuna (FR)T: Nicolas Le Roch Prix La Koumia10f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Leo-Paul Brechet's strike rate?: Leo-Paul Brechet has won 70 of 632 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.1% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Leo-Paul Brechet do best at?: Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 14 wins from 112 rides (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Leo-Paul Brechet ride most for?: D Mele, with 195 rides since 2022 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (15.9%).
Is Leo-Paul Brechet in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Leo-Paul Brechet's Fair A/E?: 1.14, from 628 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.