What is Leo Roussel's strike rate?

Leo Roussel has won 42 of 469 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Leo Roussel do best at?

Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 10 wins from 78 rides (12.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Leo Roussel ride most for?

E D Monfort, with 161 rides since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (5%).

Is Leo Roussel in form?

In the last 14 days: 20 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 20%. That is above the baseline of 9% since 2022.

What is Leo Roussel's Fair A/E?

1.07, from 467 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Leo Roussel

469 rides in the last 5 seasons · 290 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

In form — 4 winners last 14 days Last ride yesterday 99% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2022

42–469

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=469

145 (31%)

Placed

1.07

Fair A/E

n=467 · 0.85 incl. margin

+9.29

£1 level stake

n=469 at SP · +2.0%

£883k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 90 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07). The rider is in form now — 4 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 469 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 36.7% when favourite E D Monfort: 5% from 161 First rides: 9.5% Rides the favourite in 6% of races

The read

It is weakest at Chantilly (FR) (1.8% over 55 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.8% (n=124, Fair A/E 0.69). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 9.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.19 and +80.40 to a £1 stake over 285 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 6.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.66 and −36.90 to a £1 stake over 104 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the rider is firing: 4 winners from 20 rides in the last 14 days (20%, 11pts above the 9% baseline). E D Monfort supplies 34% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (5% vs 9%, A/E 0.58). The rider also reads well on Soft going (14.5%, n=145) and on Heavy going (16.2%, n=37). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 3.5% over 170 rides, 5.5pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the The Aga Khan Studs Prix des Greniers a Sel at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2025, £21,033).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.5%+0.5

n=285 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +80.40

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

15.4%+6.4

n=26 · A/E 1.45 · £1 +7.80

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.8%−4.2

n=124 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −59.40

When favourite

36.7%

n=30 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −1.46

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

6.7%−2.3

n=104 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −36.90

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.9%−2.1

n=189 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +3.66

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.8%−5.2

n=26 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Chantilly (FR) 1.8% vs 9% · n=55

On Standard (AW) going 3.5% vs 9% · n=170

On Soft going 14.5% vs 9% · n=145

On Heavy going 16.2% vs 9% · n=37

With E Libaud 15.4% vs 9% · n=39

With E D Monfort 5% vs 9% · n=161

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 465 41 8.8% +0.29

NH Flat 4 1 25% +9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 170 6 3.5% −40.10

Soft 145 21 14.5% +72.89

Good to Soft 86 7 8.1% −14.98

Heavy 37 6 16.2% +7.10

Good 31 2 6.5% −15.62

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (AW) 144 8 5.6% +13.60

Saint-Cloud (FR) 78 10 12.8% +28.00

Chantilly (FR) 55 1 1.8% −51.60

Longchamp (FR) 26 2 7.7% −4.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 23 1 4.3% +11.00

Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) 19 3 15.8% −5.08

Saint-Malo (FR) 16 4 25% +21.91

Craon (FR) 15 0 0% −15.00

Le Mans (FR) 14 5 35.7% +37.83

Dieppe (FR) 11 2 18.2% +13.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 10 0 0% −10.00

Angers (FR) 10 2 20% +3.00

Senonnes-Pouance (FR) 7 1 14.3% −4.62

Vichy (FR) 7 1 14.3% −4.25

Compiegne (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 44 3 6.8% −29.50

Class 1 29 2 6.9% −11.50

Class 3 24 3 12.5% −3.50

Class 2 7 2 28.6% +44.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 32 11 34.4% 1.32 −3.46

2nd–3rd fav 84 6 7.1% 0.47 −53.55

4th–6th fav 140 17 12.1% 1.48 +42.50

7th+ in betting 213 8 3.8% 1.16 +23.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Goguen Spaise (FR) 9 0 1 21 Oct 26

Noce D'or (FR) 9 0 3 11 Sep 26

Lili Star (FR) 7 2 6 10 Sep 26

Rigel (FR) 6 0 1 31 Oct 26

Bid For Chester (IRE) 6 1 2 13 Jul 26

Parmenide (FR) 5 0 2 19 Oct 26

Calypso (IRE) 5 0 2 18 Dec 25

Heracles (FR) 5 0 1 12 Dec 25

Princess Zaltana (FR) 4 0 2 4 Nov 26

The Last Foal (FR) 4 1 1 22 Oct 26

Ladiva (FR) 4 1 1 25 Sep 26

Monsieur Shelby (FR) 4 0 1 22 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 290 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

4 from 20 20% · +11.0pts vs baseline

Last 14 days20%

5-season base9%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

468581413871627

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardE D Monfort

34% of all rides
5% SR · A/E 0.58

TrainerRWSR£1

E D Monfort 161 8 5% −108.14

E Libaud 39 6 15.4% +58.90

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£908k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 26 wins

O'Wood (FR) — The Aga Khan Studs Prix des Greniers a Sel (Handicap) (4yo+) (Round Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2025

£21,033

Lili Star (FR) — Prix d'Estruval (National Hunt Flat) (AQPS (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Apr 2026 · Grade 3

£13,913

Black Mor — Prix Claude Munet - Grand Prix D'angers Angers (FR) · Oct 2026 · Class 1

£13,700

Notable horses

Lili Star (FR) Neuf De Paques (FR) Black Mor Bid For Chester (IRE) The Last Foal (FR) Team Building (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Al Wukair (IRE) 0% · 0–21

Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,103 runs since 2021 (162 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.4% from 210.

Dabirsim (FR) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,167 runs since 2017 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 256. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.7% from 146.

Anodin (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 8.8% of 2,444 runs since 2018 (275 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.4% from 116.

Goken (FR) 16.7% · 2–12

Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,101 runs since 2020 (247 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.7% from 245. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15% from 200.

Cloth Of Stars (IRE) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,248 runs since 2022 (198 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 190.

Galiway (GB) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 11.6% of 1,750 runs since 2019 (288 horses). Strongest on Good going: 15.4% from 267. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 397. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 234. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.5% from 487.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 491 · newest first

The latest 50 of 491 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 November 2020 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Flamboyante (FR)T: O Regley Prix De Berd'huisClass 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 10th 20/1

05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Run Victoria (FR)T: G Pannier Prix De L'Abbaye De La Victoire8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 22/1

05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Andresy (FR)T: G Pannier Prix Du Labyrinthe De Buis8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 12/1

05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Appen (FR)T: G Pannier Prix De La Croix D'anleuClass 2 · 6.5f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 28/1

04 Nov 26 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Princess Zaltana (FR)T: Edouard Monfort Prix De La Rue Fouquet Lelong5.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 9/2

02 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Fillette Du Houley (FR)T: Y Barberot Prix Alexandre Roussel8f · Heavy · 14 ran 6th 11/4

02 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Pomme Surette (FR)T: J Boisnard Prix Madame Claude RougetClass 4 · 8f · Heavy · 16 ran 5th 4/1F

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Olleron'k (FR)T: L & M Viel Prix Tello10f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 18/1

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Black MorT: Erwan Grall Prix Claude Munet - Grand Prix D'angersClass 1 · 15f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 7/2

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Rigel (FR)T: Edouard Monfort Prix RabelaisClass 4 · 11.5f · Soft · 16 ran 4th 100/30F

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Kenchak (FR)T: Adrien Fouassier Handicap De La MaineClass 3 · 20f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 15/2

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Sismique (USA)T: Edouard Monfort Prix La Koumia10f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 8/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Lucas Trezy (FR)T: Adrien Fouassier Prix Du Chateau De BeaufosseClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 14th 10/1

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) L'hosmes (FR)T: Y Barberot Prix Ici Maine (Prix Des Hunaudieres)8f · Heavy · 11 ran 1st 14/1

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Kamakura One (FR)T: Adrien Fouassier Prix Jean MenandClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 1st 13/2

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Amkar (FR)T: N Leenders Prix Du Conseil DepartementalClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 5th 8/1

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Le Roi Leon (FR)T: G Pannier Grand Prix Du MansClass 1 · 9.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 6th 10/1

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Brivida Flore (FR)T: Edouard Monfort Prix Adolphe Besnard16f · Heavy · 14 ran 11th 18/1

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) On Lockdown (FR)T: G Pannier Prix Marcel CoutardClass 4 · 7f · Heavy · 13 ran 7th 6/1

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Nofix (IRE)T: Edouard Monfort Prix Omaha Beach6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 2nd 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Leo Roussel's strike rate?: Leo Roussel has won 42 of 469 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Leo Roussel do best at?: Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 10 wins from 78 rides (12.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Leo Roussel ride most for?: E D Monfort, with 161 rides since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (5%).
Is Leo Roussel in form?: In the last 14 days: 20 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 20%. That is above the baseline of 9% since 2022.
What is Leo Roussel's Fair A/E?: 1.07, from 467 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.