What is Erwan Grall's strike rate?

Erwan Grall has won 46 of 480 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Erwan Grall do best at?

Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 16 wins from 109 runners (14.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Erwan Grall?

Raphael Mayeur, with 89 runners since 2022 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (10.1%).

Is Erwan Grall in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Erwan Grall's Fair A/E?

1.12, from 477 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Erwan Grall

480 runners in the last 5 seasons · 179 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 93% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)

from 1 Jan 2022

46–480

Wins / Runs

9.6%

Strike rate

n=480

128 (27%)

Placed

1.12

Fair A/E

n=477 · 0.93 incl. margin

+18.41

£1 level stake

n=477 at SP · +3.9%

£2.02m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.12). With a claiming rider up the record reads 17% (118 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 480 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–May Fresh horses: 10.8% 40.6% when favourite Raphael Mayeur: 10.1% from 89 New recruits: 11.8% Claiming riders: 16.9% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Compiegne (FR) (14.7%, n=109), clear of the yard's 9.6% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 16.9% (n=118, Fair A/E 1.88), but debutants struggle at 6% (n=133, Fair A/E 0.89). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 10.8% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.29 and +63.30 to a £1 stake over 157 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Raphael Mayeur rides 19% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.1%, A/E 1.35) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 61-180-day break (14.3%, n=84). 8 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grande Course de Haies de Printemps Handicap) at Auteuil (FR) (Apr 2025, £64,711). Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10.8%+1.2

n=157 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +63.30

New recruits · first run for the yard

11.8%+2.2

n=34 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +1.00

Debutants · first career start

6%−3.6

n=133 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −28.59

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6%−3.6

n=133 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −42.99

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−9.6

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

When favourite

40.6%

n=32 · A/E 1.67 · £1 +10.51

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

16.9%+7.3

n=118 · A/E 1.88 · £1 +107.90

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.2%−2.4

n=83 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +29.10

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With claiming riders up 16.9% vs 9.6% · n=118

With Thomas Journiac 17.6% vs 9.6% · n=34

At Compiegne (FR) 14.7% vs 9.6% · n=109

With Geoffrey Re 4.8% vs 9.6% · n=83

Off a 61-180-day break 14.3% vs 9.6% · n=84

With debutants 6% vs 9.6% · n=133

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 365 35 9.6% +8.71

Chase 78 7 9% −19.20

Flat 32 3 9.4% +29.60

NH Flat 5 1 20% −0.70

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Heavy 233 24 10.3% +19.00

Soft 226 21 9.3% −8.59

Good to Soft 11 1 9.1% +18.00

Good 5 0 0% −5.00

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 265 18 6.8% −34.60

Compiegne (FR) 109 16 14.7% +62.30

Pau (FR) 21 1 4.8% −12.50

Clairefontaine (FR) 11 2 18.2% +19.91

Saint-Malo (FR) 9 1 11.1% −6.80

Dieppe (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00

Saint-Cloud (FR) 8 1 12.5% −3.70

Longchamp (FR) 8 1 12.5% +6.60

Fontainebleau (FR) 7 2 28.6% +0.60

Nantes (FR) 5 2 40% +3.60

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

La Teste De Buch (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Moulins (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Deauville (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 83 6 7.2% +29.10

Class 2 5 1 20% +12.00

Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 3 3 2 66.7% +3.91

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 33 13 39.4% 1.63 +9.51

2nd–3rd fav 83 10 12% 0.80 −29.00

4th–6th fav 156 13 8.3% 1.03 −6.90

7th+ in betting 205 9 4.4% 1.31 +44.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

80.5% completed · 442 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 78 75.6% 9 2 7 0 1

Hurdle 364 81.6% 15 5 47 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Hedenn Bihoue (FR) 12 1 5 16 Nov 25

Jaguar Du Berlais (FR)from Yannick Fouin 10 2 7 30 Sep 26

Hupeca De Thaix (FR) 10 2 6 17 Nov 24

Just Happy (FR) 9 1 2 17 Oct 26

Saint Bath (FR)from J Merienne 9 3 6 11 Mar 26

Kesius Du Granit (FR) 8 0 3 17 Oct 26

Jumper Sacre (FR) 8 1 1 24 Dec 25

Jeune Soldat (FR) 8 1 3 19 Jun 25

Gilou Cat (FR)from Adrien Fouassier · then Herve Jumelle 8 2 6 22 Apr 25

Indulgente (FR) 8 1 3 17 Nov 24

Jasmine De Corton (FR) 8 2 4 19 May 24

Graine De Beaute (FR) 7 1 2 9 Sep 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 179 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Francois Nicolle (2); 48 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 14

Only 14 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

175131411561381170

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRaphael Mayeur

19% of all rides
10.1% SR · A/E 1.35

RiderRWSR£1

Raphael Mayeur 89 9 10.1% +16.40

Geoffrey Re 83 4 4.8% −21.90

Thomas Beaurain 35 5 14.3% +5.40

Thomas Journiac 34 6 17.6% +57.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.39m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 15 wins

Jaguar Du Berlais (FR) — Grande Course de Haies de Printemps (Hurdle) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2025 · Grade 3

£64,711

Jaguar Du Berlais (FR) — Prix Romati (Chase) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · May 2026 · Grade 3

£54,783

Jasmine De Corton (FR) — Prix Santo Pietro (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2023 · Listed

£43,805

Notable horses

Fences (FR) Hupeca De Thaix (FR) Saint Bath (FR) Jaguar Du Berlais (FR) Jasmine De Corton (FR) Gilou Cat (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Cokoriko (FR) 11.1% · 4–36

Progeny have won 13.2% of 2,280 runs since 2008 (376 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.2% from 507.

Masked Marvel (GB) 11.5% · 3–26

Progeny have won 15.5% of 1,603 runs since 2008 (265 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 19.9% from 282.

Bathyrhon (GER) 29.4% · 5–17

Progeny have won 12.3% of 1,165 runs since 2008 (185 horses).

No Risk At All (FR) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 14.4% of 3,107 runs since 2008 (430 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.4% from 941.

Kapgarde (FR) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,607 runs since 2008 (723 horses).

Choeur Du Nord (FR) 21.4% · 3–14

Progeny have won 13.7% of 767 runs since 2008 (134 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 18.5% from 119.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 634 · newest first

The latest 50 of 634 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 November 2019 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Riskman (FR)J: Thomas Journiac Prix Francois De Chevigny23.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 2nd 7/2

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Elle A Tout Ca (FR)J: Theo Chevillard Prix Jumna18f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th 9/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Koktail Bresilien (FR)J: K Michel Prix Soulange-bodin21.5f · Heavy · 18 ran 8th 33/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Kesius Du Granit (FR)J: Theo Chevillard Prix Soulange-bodin21.5f · Heavy · 18 ran 6th 11/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Just Happy (FR)J: Theo Chevillard Prix Pierre De LassusClass 1 · 19.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 28/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Pinot Blanc (FR)J: Thomas Journiac Prix Pierre De LassusClass 1 · 19.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 3rd 25/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Mitsuko (FR)J: Theo Chevillard Prix Adrien BesnouinClass 2 · 18f · Heavy · 13 ran PU 28/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Nico Team (FR)J: Thomas Journiac Prix Isopani18f · Heavy · 11 ran 4th 16/1

16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Rue Daguerre (FR)J: Hugo Mouesan Prix De La Societe Des Courses De CraonClass 4 · 15f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 14/1

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Princesse Irona (FR)J: A Blais Prix De Distre17.5f · Heavy · 14 ran UR 50/1

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Extragalactic (FR)J: Thomas Journiac Prix Des Conscrits17.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 1st 11/2

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Ginger Tonic (FR)J: A Blais Prix Archy Bald19f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 14/1

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Kimfly (FR)J: A Blais Prix Des Societaires19.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 1st 11/10F

09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Black MorJ: Leo Roussel Derby Du Languedoc - Fonds Europeen De L'elevageClass 1 · 12f · Very Soft · 7 ran 6th 11/1

03 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Idealgador (FR)J: Thomas Journiac Prix De L'ecole Militaire D'equitationClass 3 · 23f · Heavy · 6 ran 1st 4/1

01 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Lion Blue (FR)J: Thomas Journiac Prix MarittimoClass 2 · 18f · Very Soft · 10 ran PU 40/1

01 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Apolloka (FR)J: Theo Chevillard Prix Pride Of Kildare18f · Very Soft · 13 ran 9th 18/1

30 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Balkiolo De Paix (FR)J: A Blais Prix Bay Archer18f · Heavy · 12 ran 8th 10/1

30 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Jaguar Du Berlais (FR)J: Thomas Journiac Prix De La Gascogne (grade 3)19f · Heavy · 8 ran 7th 17/2

30 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Just Happy (FR)J: Theo Chevillard Prix Bucheur18f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Erwan Grall's strike rate?: Erwan Grall has won 46 of 480 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Erwan Grall do best at?: Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 16 wins from 109 runners (14.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Erwan Grall?: Raphael Mayeur, with 89 runners since 2022 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (10.1%).
Is Erwan Grall in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Erwan Grall's Fair A/E?: 1.12, from 477 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.