Mme I Pacault
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.74). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 19% off breaks of two months or more (36 runs).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 19.4% (n=36, Fair A/E 2.88). The yard also reads well on Heavy going (19%, n=58). The market has also underrated the yard in Chase races: Fair A/E 1.54 across 57 runners (14% strike, +82.20 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 6.1% over 49 runners, 6.4pts below the baseline. 24 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Zeturf Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris at Auteuil (FR) (May 2019, £332,432). The stable star of the record: Toutancarmont (FR) — 10 wins from 27 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 12.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 760 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 760 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 22 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mme I Pacault's strike rate?
- Mme I Pacault has won 14 of 112 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.5% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mme I Pacault do best at?
- Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 9 wins from 66 runners (13.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Is Mme I Pacault in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Mme I Pacault's Fair A/E?
- 1.74, from 110 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.