What is N Leenders's strike rate?

N Leenders has won 9 of 146 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does N Leenders do best at?

Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 61 runners (4.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is N Leenders in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is N Leenders's Fair A/E?

0.84, from 146 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

N Leenders

146 runners in the last 5 seasons · 39 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 96% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

9–146

Wins / Runs

6.2%

Strike rate

n=146

35 (24%)

Placed

0.84

Fair A/E

n=146 · 0.70 incl. margin

−45.00

£1 level stake

n=146 at SP · −30.8%

£231k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

16.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.84).

Deterministic profile computed from 146 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

The read

The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 36 runners, 6.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.81 across 64 runners (4.7% strike, −1.30 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Roland Fougedoire at Fontainebleau (Oct 2013, £22,927).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.5%−0.7

n=55 · A/E 0.85 · £1 +7.70

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−6.2

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Debutants · first career start

9.1%+2.9

n=22 · A/E 1.40 · £1 −6.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.8%−2.4

n=26 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −18.50

When favourite

50%

n=4 · A/E 1.60 · £1 +0.30

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.5%−1.7

n=22 · A/E 0.66 · £1 +1.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.1%+2.9

n=11 · A/E 0.84 · £1 +2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m – 1m1f 0% vs 6.2% · n=36

On Good to Soft going 2.9% vs 6.2% · n=35

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 8.4% vs 6.2% · n=83

On Standard (AW) going 4.7% vs 6.2% · n=64 · A/E 0.81

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 140 8 5.7% −52.00

NH Flat 6 1 16.7% +7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 64 3 4.7% −1.30

Good to Soft 35 1 2.9% −27.50

Soft 27 3 11.1% −10.70

Heavy 17 1 5.9% −15.50

Good 3 1 33.3% +10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (AW) 61 3 4.9% +1.70

Saint-Cloud (FR) 22 2 9.1% −6.20

Longchamp (FR) 21 0 0% −21.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 12 2 16.7% +4.00

Craon (FR) 9 1 11.1% −4.00

Chantilly (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

Le Mans (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Nantes (FR) 4 1 25% −2.50

Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Saint-Malo (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Chateaubriant (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 11 1 9.1% +2.00

Class 4 9 1 11.1% −4.00

Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 4 2 50% 1.60 +0.30

2nd–3rd fav 22 1 4.5% 0.31 −17.00

4th–6th fav 39 4 10.3% 1.23 +13.60

7th+ in betting 81 2 2.5% 0.67 −41.90

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ker Welen (FR) 25 0 4 19 Oct 26

Ker Stormy (FR) 13 0 4 16 Jan 26

Lili Star (FR) 10 2 7 10 Sep 26

Woodwind Davis (FR) 8 0 1 4 Jul 24

Springboks (FR) 6 0 2 23 Jan 25

Kalamazoo River (FR) 6 1 2 29 Dec 23

Fetarde (FR) 6 0 0 7 Jan 23

Amkar (FR) 5 0 2 13 Oct 26

Qerdie Des Roses (FR) 4 0 2 13 Oct 26

Moon Night (FR) 4 1 1 27 Sep 26

Marillawood (FR) 4 0 0 5 Jul 25

Norqui Des Roses (FR) 4 0 1 2 Jul 23

All 39 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 39 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 38 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

000179001375011

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Arnaud Bourgeais 26 1 3.8% −17.50

Hugo Lebouc 16 2 12.5% +11.80

Augustin Madamet 14 0 0% −14.00

Leo Roussel 13 3 23.1% +4.30

Alexandre Roussel 11 1 9.1% +7.80

Maximilien Justum 10 0 0% −10.00

Soufiane Saadi 8 0 0% −8.00

Ludovic Boisseau 5 0 0% −5.00

Mme Laura Poggionovo 5 0 0% −5.00

Aurelien Lemaitre 4 0 0% −4.00

Maxence Marquette 4 1 25% +19.60

Mme Maryline Eon 4 0 0% −4.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.82m

Prize money

2012

Best season · 11 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Malki D'Aze (FR) — Prix Roland Fougedoire (Handicap) (Turf) (3yo) Fontainebleau · Oct 2013

£22,927

Tres Belaffair (FR) — Prix du Hong-Kong Jockey Club (Handicap) (3yo) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2017

£22,094

Malki D'Aze (FR) — Prix du Grand Camp () (Turf) Lyon Parilly (FR) · Nov 2014 · Listed

£21,667

Notable horses

Chika Dream (FR) Eos Quercus (IRE) Irish Storm (FR) Fellini (GER) Mousafir (GB) Malki D'Aze (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dariyan (FR) 0% · 0–25

Progeny have won 6% of 1,108 runs since 2008 (140 horses).

Stormy River (FR) 5.3% · 1–19

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,223 runs since 2008 (253 horses).

Birchwood (IRE) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 4.7% of 952 runs since 2008 (133 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.7% from 356.

Madhmoon (IRE) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 5.6% of 72 runs since 2008 (19 horses).

Team Flight (FR) 20% · 2–10

Progeny have won 8.3% of 24 runs since 2008 (7 horses). A small sample.

Morandi (FR) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 7.9% of 556 runs since 2008 (75 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,065 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,065 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 April 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Ker Welen (FR)J: Leo Roussel Prix Du Marais Vernier9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 16th 40/1

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Noga Star (FR)J: Leo Roussel Prix Courant D'air12f · Heavy · 5 ran 1st 1/2F

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Chester Sky (GB)J: Anthony Bernard Prix Madhmoon8f · Heavy · 13 ran 4th 28/1

13 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Qerdie Des Roses (FR)J: O Andigne Prix Paul Et Jean Colins9.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 12/1

13 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Amkar (FR)J: Leo Roussel Prix Geores Batiot9.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 15/2

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Amkar (FR)J: Mr Thomas Guineheux Prix Capitaine Riquet - Handicap ChallengeClass 4 · 12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 16/1

05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Ker Welen (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix De La Chapelle-Saint-AubinClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 7/1

05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Lacra (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix De Sarge-Les-Le-MansClass 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 9/1

28 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Qerdie Des Roses (FR)J: Soufiane Saadi Prix Pigeon Tp Loire Anjou (Prix Yves Lalleman)12f · Very Soft · 13 ran 6th 5/1

27 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Moon Night (FR)J: Mr Thomas Guineheux Prix V And B (handicap De Craon - Challenge Apgo)Class 4 · 15f · Very Soft · 10 ran 1st 4/1

13 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Ker Welen (FR)J: Mme Laura Poggionovo Prix De La Place D'estienne D'orvesClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 14/1

11 Sep 26 Le Mans (FR) Lacra (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix Claude BrosseauClass 2 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 9/1

10 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Lili Star (FR)J: Leo Roussel Prix De CraonClass 1 · 12f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 9/4

06 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Noga Star (FR)J: Arnaud Bourgeais Prix Association Des Aqps (Prix Richard De Gennes)12f · Soft · 5 ran 2nd 9/4

05 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Amkar (FR)J: Mme Laura Poggionovo Prix # Race And CareClass 4 · 11f · Heavy · 16 ran 12th 15/2

05 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Ame Divine (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix Equidia - Bar Des Halles (Prix De La Touche)Class 4 · 11f · Heavy · 16 ran 10th 22/1

31 Aug 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Moon Night (FR)J: Mme Laura Poggionovo Prix de l'Avenue PyramideClass 3 · 12f · Heavy · 15 ran 4th 7/1

28 Aug 26 Saint-Malo (FR) Qerdie Des Roses (FR)J: Soufiane Saadi Prix Mauritius Turf Club (Prix Robert Surcouf)12.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 7/1

20 Aug 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Ker Welen (FR)J: Mme Laura Poggionovo Prix De La Rentree By Super U Pays Lionnais (Prix Kaldoun)Class 3 · 7f · Soft · 15 ran 7th 12/1

20 Aug 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Moon Night (FR)J: Soufiane Saadi Prix France Galop15f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is N Leenders's strike rate?: N Leenders has won 9 of 146 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does N Leenders do best at?: Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 61 runners (4.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is N Leenders in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is N Leenders's Fair A/E?: 0.84, from 146 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.