What is Louis Bouton's strike rate?

Louis Bouton has won 3 of 39 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

What is Louis Bouton's Fair A/E?

0.78, from 39 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Louis Bouton

39 rides in the last 5 seasons · 33 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 359 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)

from 1 Jan 2022

3–39

Wins / Runs

7.7%

Strike rate

n=39

11 (28%)

Placed

0.78

Fair A/E

n=39 · 0.65 incl. margin

−21.00

£1 level stake

n=39 at SP · −53.8%

£70,198

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15.4%

KTB at a glance First rides: 9.1% Claiming: 7.9%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.1%+1.4

n=33 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −15.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

0%−7.7

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.3%−1.4

n=16 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −11.40

When favourite

16.7%

n=6 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −1.90

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.9%+0.2

n=38 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −20.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

0%−7.7

n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 27 2 7.4% −18.30

Soft 6 0 0% −6.00

Good to Soft 3 1 33.3% +6.30

Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Good 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly (FR) 15 2 13.3% −1.10

Deauville (FR) 15 1 6.7% −10.90

Saint-Cloud (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Dieppe (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Longchamp (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Le Croise-Laroche (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 6 1 16.7% 0.63 −1.90

2nd–3rd fav 6 1 16.7% 1.09 −1.40

4th–6th fav 9 1 11.1% 1.36 +0.30

7th+ in betting 18 0 0% 0.00 −18.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Inattendu (FR) 4 0 2 24 Oct 24

Questura (IRE) 2 0 1 7 Aug 25

Betise (FR) 2 0 0 10 Jul 25

Exit (FR) 2 0 0 13 Jan 24

Michonne (GB) 1 1 1 18 Nov 25

Pokrov (FR) 1 0 0 7 Nov 25

Cameron (FR) 1 0 1 26 Sep 25

Prince Des Dunes (FR) 1 0 0 2 May 25

Golden Splendour (GB) 1 1 1 2 May 25

Docteur Safi (FR) 1 0 0 11 Apr 25

Ganzeville (FR) 1 0 0 21 Mar 25

Shining Yellow (FR) 1 0 1 7 Mar 25

All 33 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

00003300000330

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

TrainerRWSR£1

F-H Graffard 21 3 14.3% −3.00

Mme A Budka 8 0 0% −8.00

Mme C Barande-Barbe 2 0 0% −2.00

Maurizio Guarnieri 2 0 0% −2.00

A Schutz 1 0 0% −1.00

L Viel 1 0 0% −1.00

M Munch 1 0 0% −1.00

J-C Bertin 1 0 0% −1.00

S Ghys 1 0 0% −1.00

Jeremy Da Silva 1 0 0% −1.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→

Archived wins

£70,198

Prize money

2025

Best season · 2 wins

Golden Splendour (GB) — Prix de Manse (Maiden) (Unraced 3yo Fillies) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · May 2025

£11,157

Alpamayo (USA) — Prix de Roiville (Conditions) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Nov 2024

£10,000

Michonne (GB) — Prix du Chateau de Pierrefonds (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Nov 2025

£9,917

Notable horses

Michonne (GB) Golden Splendour (GB) Alpamayo (USA)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Anodin (IRE) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 8.8% of 2,457 runs since 2018 (276 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.4% from 116.

Le Havre (IRE) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 12.4% of 5,892 runs since 2013 (750 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296.

Intello (GER) 0% · 0–2

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,506 runs since 2017 (393 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.5% from 235. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 185.

Romanised (IRE) 0% · 0–2

Progeny have won 8.5% of 658 runs since 2024 (115 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.3% from 227. Weakest on Soft going: 4.7% from 149.

Birchwood (IRE) 0% · 0–1

Progeny have won 4.9% of 980 runs since 2021 (133 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.6% from 369.

Cracksman (GB) 100% · 1–1

Progeny have won 11.4% of 1,826 runs since 2022 (240 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 105. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.9% from 270.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 39 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Louis Bouton's 39 archived rides, from 20 December 2023 to 18 November 2025, newest first — 3 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Nov 25 Chantilly (FR) Michonne (GB)T: F-H Graffard Prix du Chateau de Pierrefonds (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)16f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 18/5

07 Nov 25 Deauville (FR) Pokrov (FR)T: Jeremy Da Silva Prix Geoff Lewis (Conditions) (3yo) (Apprentice & Young Jockeys) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 17/1

26 Sep 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Cameron (FR)T: M Munch Prix Bill Williamson (Claimer) (4yo+) (Apprentice & Young Jockeys) (Turf)10f · Very Soft · 10 ran 3rd 37/1

07 Aug 25 Deauville (FR) Questura (IRE)T: F-H Graffard Prix de la Lezarde (Maiden) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Slow · 11 ran 2nd 7/10F

10 Jul 25 Longchamp (FR) Betise (FR)T: F-H Graffard Prix Lester Piggott (Handicap) (3yo) (Apprentices & Young Jockeys) (Moyenne Course: 2nd Post) (Turf)10.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 66/10

20 Jun 25 Chantilly (FR) Betise (FR)T: F-H Graffard Prix Charles Semblat (Conditions) (3yo) (Apprentice & Young Jockeys) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Slow · 8 ran 5th 39/10

02 May 25 Chantilly (FR) Prince Des Dunes (FR)T: Mme C Barande-Barbe Prix de Baron (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 9th 28/1

02 May 25 Chantilly (FR) Golden Splendour (GB)T: F-H Graffard Prix de Manse (Maiden) (Unraced 3yo Fillies) (Turf)10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 83/10

11 Apr 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Docteur Safi (FR)T: Mme C Barande-Barbe Prix Jean Massard (Claimer) (3yo) (Apprentice & Young Jockeys) (Turf)7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 37/1

21 Mar 25 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Ganzeville (FR)T: Maurizio Guarnieri Prix Robert Diers (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf)9f · Good · 14 ran 10th 33/1

07 Mar 25 Fontainebleau (FR) Shining Yellow (FR)T: A Schutz Prix de Moret-Sur-Loing (Conditions) (4yo+) (Apprentice & Young Jockeys) (Turf)8f · Soft · 12 ran 2nd 61/1

28 Feb 25 Chantilly (FR) Kalinago (FR)T: F-H Graffard Prix du Carrefour de Constantine (Maiden) (3yo Fillies) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 22/1

27 Feb 25 Chantilly (FR) Astromare (IRE)T: Maurizio Guarnieri Prix Gerard Bonici (Claimer) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 27/1

30 Dec 24 Chantilly (FR) Zryan (FR)T: F-H Graffard Prix de Clermont-de-l'Oise (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 9/1

30 Dec 24 Chantilly (FR) Seremini (GB)T: F-H Graffard Prix de la Piste Sea Bird (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 10/1

20 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) Mehgaway (FR)T: S Ghys Prix Se Salouel (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 36/5

15 Nov 24 Saint-Cloud (FR) Anodymus (IRE)T: J-C Bertin Prix Maurice Larraun (Claimer) (3yo) (Apprentice & Young Jockeys) (Turf)10f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 36/1

08 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) Purple Lion (IRE)T: F-H Graffard Prix de la Banche (Claimer) (2yo) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 7/5F

08 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) Alpamayo (USA)T: F-H Graffard Prix de Roiville (Conditions) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 31/10F

24 Oct 24 Deauville (FR) Inattendu (FR)T: Mme A Budka Prix d'Audrieu (Claimer) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Louis Bouton's strike rate?: Louis Bouton has won 3 of 39 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Louis Bouton's Fair A/E?: 0.78, from 39 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.